Winners Circle

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  • UnDeRDaWg
    SBR High Roller
    • 04-15-09
    • 137

    #36
    My picks are

    Washington ML
    Houston ML
    Arizona ML
    Atlanta ML
    Chicago Cubs ML

    NYY Over team total 5
    Padres Over team total 3.5
    Comment
    • Smith
      SBR High Roller
      • 04-07-09
      • 182

      #37
      I completely Understand about the Cubs/Cards matchup. Thats why i only put .5 Unit on that. I really like the over in the NYY game more than any. Im just looking into the possibilities of Z throwing with some guys out of the clubhouse with injuries. He doesnt keep his cool all the time, and i think that the Cards may have one big inning and throw him off today.
      So take the Cards game lightly, but If you just want to have some fun, throw down a 2 gamer on St. Louis and Indians: dont put up too much, just a little excitement
      .25 Units to win 1.3 Units. Just took it.
      Comment
      • G's pks
        Restricted User
        • 01-01-09
        • 22251

        #38
        Good luck today Smith I like the Cubs...
        Comment
        • Smith
          SBR High Roller
          • 04-07-09
          • 182

          #39
          Thanks a ton G! Same to you! Got alot of Tempting ones out there!
          I know its not a good thing to like a WHOLE LOT of games, but i really Like these picks.
          What do yall think?
          Florida - 130
          Atl +105
          SD + 150
          SD under 8.5
          Houston -150
          LAA/Min Over 9
          Dodgers - 155
          Detroit +105
          Arizona -150

          I know thats alot, any insight on these matchups. I've been doing good. My Thread is Winners Circle. Any advice is good advice. Thanks
          Comment
          • TheCommish
            SBR MVP
            • 03-23-09
            • 1013

            #40
            With you on all your sides (although Atlanta scares me... bats are cold, 2 of their better hitters are out, and middle relief is awful).
            Comment
            • Smith
              SBR High Roller
              • 04-07-09
              • 182

              #41
              I was thinking the same thing. After looking into the game, i feel like they will have a better shot than the Pirates with the pitching matchup. Scares me too. but the others? They all stand out strong in my book. Any advice out there is welcome
              Comment
              • Smith
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-07-09
                • 182

                #42
                Big Plays
                Florida - 130 3 Unit
                Dodgers - 155 2 Units
                Detroit +105 2 Units
                Arizona -150 2 Units
                SD + 150 1 Unit
                SD under 8.5 1 Unit


                Small Plays
                Houston -150 1 Unit
                LAA/Min Over 9 1 Unit


                Parlay: Detroit and SD 1 Unit to win 2.7 Units
                Comment
                • G's pks
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-01-09
                  • 22251

                  #43
                  Originally posted by G's pks
                  Good luck today Smith I like the Cubs...

                  And the Cubs win! I am 3-0 this week as posted in my thread...good luck the rest of the day...
                  Comment
                  • Unitage
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 02-24-09
                    • 218

                    #44
                    gl smith
                    hows your record/units YTD?
                    Comment
                    • Alexander
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 08-17-08
                      • 223

                      #45
                      Haha
                      Comment
                      • Alexander
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 08-17-08
                        • 223

                        #46
                        Detroit sucks
                        Comment
                        • Smith
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 04-07-09
                          • 182

                          #47
                          Originally posted by Smith
                          Early Picks:-
                          Cleveland Indians: +185 2 Units -2 Units
                          Over 8.5 2 Units + 2 Units

                          Joba is throwing for the Yankees and should do a good job, but if he gets in any trouble around 5th or 6th expect a weak bullpen to come in. The Indians have had at least 10 hits in five straight games. I like the odds. They put on a show in the 7th inning yesterday and played a good game all around. They were selective at the plate with CC throwing, so expect some baserunners from Joba walks.

                          St. Louis Cardinals +161 .5 Units
                          Over 8.5 1 Unit + 1 Unit

                          I know that Z is tossing for the Cubs, but they have some banged up guys and St. Louis is hot hitting the ball lately. 8.5 is a hard total with someone like Z throwing but i still think that this could be a 5 - 4 game at least.

                          Bad, Bad, day Friday! Ive been out of town all weekend and didnt get to make up any for the errors on Friday. But New Orleans is alot of fun and i might have had my mind somewhere else on Friday Either way. Early Games was a + .5 Unit and so close to hitting it big with the dawgs.


                          YTD
                          +24.73 + .5= +25.23 Units
                          Comment
                          • Smith
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 04-07-09
                            • 182

                            #48
                            Originally posted by Smith
                            Big Plays
                            Florida - 130 3 Unit +2.3 Units
                            Dodgers - 155 2 Units +1.55 Units
                            Detroit +105 2 Units -2 Units
                            Arizona -150 2 Units -2 Units
                            SD + 150 1 Unit +1.5 Units
                            SD under 8.5 1 Unit -1 Unit

                            Small Plays
                            Houston -150 1 Unit -1.5 Units
                            LAA/Min Over 9 1 Unit + 1 Unit


                            Parlay: Detroit and SD 1 Unit to win 2.7 Units - 1 Unit


                            +25.23 Units
                            - 1.15 for the late

                            YTD
                            +24.08 Units
                            Comment
                            • Smith
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-07-09
                              • 182

                              #49
                              Looks like it may be some rain outs later.

                              Picks for 4-20-2009

                              Atlanta - 145 3 Units
                              Fl/Pitt Over 9 1 Unit
                              Cinci/Houston Under 8 1 Unit
                              Col/Ariz Unider 10.5 2 Units

                              Good Luck to everyone
                              Comment
                              • Smith
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 04-07-09
                                • 182

                                #50
                                Originally posted by Smith
                                Looks like it may be some rain outs later.

                                Picks for 4-20-2009

                                Atlanta - 145 3 Units - 4.3 Units
                                Fl/Pitt Over 9 1 Unit - 1 Unit
                                Cinci/Houston Under 8 1 Unit + 1 Unit
                                Col/Ariz Unider 10.5 2 Units + 2 Units

                                Good Luck to everyone

                                Monday: - 1.3 Units

                                YTD: +22.78
                                Comment
                                • Smith
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 04-07-09
                                  • 182

                                  #51
                                  Chicago W Sox vs Baltimore O’s: I love the W Sox here. Contreras is taking the mound vs Bergesen. Contreras hasn’t looked very strong so far, but the bats of the WSox look a lot better than those of the O’s. The White Sox took three of four, scoring 28 runs and hitting eight homers over the weekend vs Tampa. Tampa’s pitchers are a lot more reliable than this Bergesen who is making his MLB debut tonight. Look for the WSox to get on him early and then put up a few more with the tired bull pen (from playing the RedSox over the weekend). Pick WSox – 110

                                  A’s vs Yankees: Yankees – 275 to open!!!! Yeah! Really! They just split with the Indians there and controversy surrounds them! With ESPN constantly talking about the price gouging of seats in the new stadium to them bringing in new engineers to fix the air flow in the stadium! Shut up and play baseball! Shit they even have laptops in the dugouts! Lets GO A’s! Ill take the points right now! Yeah Pettitte is throwing, but ill still lean with the A’s!

                                  Marlins vs Pitt: I went with the over here last night, and it looked perfect when you see that Pitt put up 8 runs. The Marlins were held to 2 hits. It’s the first really bad game so far this year for the fish, so expect them to learn how to react tonight when they face Karstens on the mound. Look at his stats!!!! Im all over the Fish here! This kid has given up too much to shut down a good hitting team on a 2nd consecutive night! Pick Fish -130

                                  http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/player...playerId=28552

                                  Texas vs Toronto: I am not going to avoid this game, but the only reason I mentioned it is to tell you to be careful here. Texas has some good hitters and sends someone who can give them a chance to win to the mound tonight. Toronto looks like the dominant play with Halladay, but something tells me to avoid it with the dangerous Rangers. No Play for me.

                                  Cinci vs Cubs: Everything in this game is pointing towards an Over. With the total set at 8, I don’t see why not. Both names on the hill (Owings vs Harden) look good to the eye, but both have struggled. With the Cubs having 2 days off they may have a little more pop. -240 is too strong for me, but ill take that over and cash it in!

                                  Dodgers vs Stros: I really like the young arm in Kershaw going for the Dodgers. And also an even more impressive fact for you about the Dodgers team is 1st in the NL with 89 runs scored and 1st in the majors with 302 batting avg. The Stros have scored 39 runs all year are 2nd to last. Seems like a good matchup. Take the Dodgers!

                                  Detroit vs Angels: This has the makeup to be a great game. 2 really good pitchers in Galarrage and Weaver. When looking at the team stats, Detroit holds a gripping lead on overall BA at .283 while the Angels are sitting at .250. Also the Tigers have scored 16 more runs this year than the Angels. Look for a good pitchers duel in this one. Pick: Detroit.
                                  Tampa vs Mariners: This is going to be a game that comes down to the late innings. It could go either way, but with Sonnananstine and Washburn taking the mound, and considering that the Mariners have only scored more than 3 runs once in their last 7 games. Sonnanstine is 1-1 with a 2.66 ERA in three starts against the Mariners, so look for it to be decided by the penn. Going Under 8.5.
                                  These are the games im looking at closely. I will post my final picks shortly.
                                  Comment
                                  • Smith
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 04-07-09
                                    • 182

                                    #52
                                    Todays Picks
                                    All Road Teams but i like what i see!
                                    Florida - 140 1 Unit
                                    WSox -110 2 Units
                                    Dodgers - 170 2 Units
                                    Detroit -110 1 Unit

                                    Underdogs of the day: Oakland +185 and Texas +200:
                                    .5 Unit 2 game parlay
                                    Comment
                                    • Smith
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 04-07-09
                                      • 182

                                      #53
                                      Tampa Under 8.5 2 Units
                                      Comment
                                      • Smith
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 04-07-09
                                        • 182

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by Smith
                                        Todays Picks
                                        All Road Teams but i like what i see!
                                        Florida - 140 1 Unit -1.4 Units
                                        WSox -110 2 Units - 2.2 Units
                                        Dodgers - 170 2 Units -3.4 Units
                                        Detroit -110 1 Unit -1.1 Units

                                        Underdogs of the day: Oakland +185 and Texas +200:
                                        .5 Unit 2 game parlay - .5 Units
                                        Tampa Under 8.5 2 Units +2 Units

                                        Tuesday: -6.6 Units
                                        YTD: +16.18 Units
                                        Comment
                                        • Smith
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 04-07-09
                                          • 182

                                          #55
                                          Leans for Wednesday
                                          Early Games:
                                          Min vs Boston: I like Wake here. He had a great performance last week flirting with the no-no. Boston’s Bats are heating up with Big P and Little P getting going in the last game. Baker is starting off slow this year. Im a Boston fan, so I refuse to put money on them unless it’s a lock, and with the weather (rain for 2 or so days) the air is still wet and going to change Wakes knuckler a little. May make it nasty, but may make it float. That’s why im going with the over here at 9.5.

                                          Fl vs Pitt: I like the bats of Florida a lot more than those of Pitt, but they have been cold in this series. Pitt has the pitching matchup today and even has some momentum. Look for them to want this more than the fish and finish off a sweep at home. There is one factor that I think plays a role in a game like this. In the first game on Monday Night, I was listening to ESPN radio and they were discussing the whole Yanks stadium and seat prices. Anyway, they brought up Pitt and how u can get a great seat their for like 30 – 60 dollars, yet nobody was at the opening game on Monday. Against the hottest team in baseball over the first 2 weeks. The reason I even mention this is, todays a day game on a Wednesday, NOBODY will be there this could be a big game for the hitters as they feel relaxed. Look for some runs either way it goes. Lean with Pitt and the over.

                                          Col vs Ariz: Haren has had no help for the Ariz O this season. He had a little fit in the dugout last game over starting 0 - 3but still has an era of 1.89!!!!! Yeah, that’s right! Ok, if he is shutting them down and the offense isn’t hitting, then why would the total go over 10! BET THE HOUSE AND GO WITH THE UNDER 10!

                                          SD vs SF: Young vs Zito: Young had a bad start in his last outing and has an ERA of 4+ while Zito has an ERA of 10.00. Here is a game that features the LUCKIEST guy in baseball. Zito!!! He has it all thought out perfect. Start a career as good as he was, sign the biggest contract for any pitcher at that point and then lose 75% of your games over the next few years, the’ll ditch you eventually and stay ritch! He loves baseball, but he doesn’t care that he gets ripped! Watch him during a game! He counting the $430 per pitch he makes every game! Young will win and give up 3 or 4 so that makes this total of 8 go over. Lean SD and Over!

                                          Hope you all agree, but if not “any advice is good advice” let me hear it
                                          YTD: +16.18
                                          Comment
                                          • Smith
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 04-07-09
                                            • 182

                                            #56
                                            Ill leave my wages in about 10 Minutes looking over everything one last time.
                                            Comment
                                            • Smith
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 04-07-09
                                              • 182

                                              #57
                                              Early Picks:
                                              Boston Over 9.5 1 Unit

                                              Pitt -110 1 Unit

                                              NYY Under 10 2 Units

                                              SD - 130 2 Units

                                              SD Over 9 2 Units

                                              Ariz Under 9 1 Unit

                                              Good Luck to everyone. Ill post my other picks throughout the day. Lets see how we do early on
                                              Comment
                                              • Smith
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 04-07-09
                                                • 182

                                                #58
                                                Late Picks

                                                Atl - 140 2 Units
                                                Tex/Tor Over10 1 Unit
                                                W Sox -110 2 Units
                                                Comment
                                                • Smith
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                  • 182

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Smith
                                                  Early Picks:
                                                  Boston Over 9.5 1 Unit + 1 Unit

                                                  Pitt -110 1 Unit +1 Unit

                                                  NYY Under 10 2 Units -2 Units

                                                  SD - 130 2 Units - 2.6 Units (Still cant believe this)

                                                  SD Over 9 2 Units - 2 Units (Still cant believe this once again)

                                                  Ariz Under 9 1 Unit + 1 Unit

                                                  Good Luck to everyone. Ill post my other picks throughout the day. Lets see how we do early on
                                                  Wednesday
                                                  Early Games:-3.6 Units
                                                  YTD: 12. 58 Units
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Smith
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                    • 182

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Smith
                                                    Late Picks

                                                    Atl - 140 2 Units + 1.4 Units
                                                    Tex/Tor Over10 1 Unit +1 Unit
                                                    W Sox -110 2 Units + 2 Units
                                                    Late Picks: +4.4 Units
                                                    YTD: +16.98 Units

                                                    Didnt put it down but even hit a 1 Unit 4 gamer with these 3 and the Red Sox Over 9.5 for the late night!!!! Hell of a Night! Good luck to everyone and hope you all won big tonight!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Smith
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 04-07-09
                                                      • 182

                                                      #61
                                                      Good Day overall!! Its looks like a great day for baseball and guys we are over the hump! Weekend will be here before you know it! Im currently breaking down some of the matchups for today: Early and Late, but their is one game i am going to go ahead and jump on and if you do not agree, please let me know why. I may be missing something here, but Detroit vs LAA tonight! Detroit is -135! I love it!

                                                      Throwing for Detroit is Jackson (1-0, 2.14 ERA). Pitched 7 2-3 impressive innings despite flu-like symptoms in Detroit's 2-0 win over Seattle on Saturday.

                                                      Throwing for LAA Palmer had an 8.53 ERA in three starts for San Francisco last year, and has allowed 10 runs in 7 2-3 innings in the minors to start this season.

                                                      Any information i may be missing?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mriswith
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 03-20-09
                                                        • 76

                                                        #62
                                                        For completion's sake :

                                                        The right-hander ( Jackson ) has allowed just 12 hits in 21 innings this season, but he hasn't had as much success against the Angels. In three starts against them while pitching for Tampa Bay the last two seasons, Jackson went 1-2 with a 5.60 ERA, giving up 32 hits in 17 2-3 innings.

                                                        OVER looks good...

                                                        rgz,
                                                        Mris
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smith
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 04-07-09
                                                          • 182

                                                          #63
                                                          I like the info, Could be on to something. I think that Jackson is def the advantage in the matchup, just looks like a great pick. I just dont know if can rely on LAA hitting the ball on back to back nights.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SportsChic
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-11-09
                                                            • 1161

                                                            #64
                                                            Hey smith, I had a horrible day yesterday and Im looking to rebound today. I was just on Ck's thread and he has picked Milwaukee, Cincy, and Kansas City today. You think that would be a good parlay?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Smith
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 04-07-09
                                                              • 182

                                                              #65
                                                              Hows it going. Actually SpC if you look at all 3 of those games, the dogs have the upper hand in pitching matchups (by stats anyway), but all 3 are on the road. If you had a bad day yesterday, dont ever rely on a parly to cheer you up or bring you back, just find the one game that you like the most and put down your max bet, but what i like to do also. When 3 dogs matchup with these numbers and pitching matchups, put a very small parlay on them. I mean, this 3 gamer would pay out somewhere around x10. Im still looking into a few games myself, ill have them up shortly. Hope i helped. Who would you say is your #1 pick today?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SportsChic
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-11-09
                                                                • 1161

                                                                #66
                                                                My number one play is the Royals I believe. I do really like the Reds today as well, but not sure about Brewers. If I put one unit on this three teamer, it will pay just a bit over 10 units. Not sure what do do here. I do want to get back what I have lost. CK is usually solid.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Smith
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 04-07-09
                                                                  • 182

                                                                  #67
                                                                  like i said, go for a small parly with these 3. (it will pay over x10) and go outside these 3 games and find the best matchup you like and put a decent wager on it. If i can offer, look into the Detroit game tonight before it starts moving. They look like a steal right now.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Smith
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 04-07-09
                                                                    • 182

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Picks for Thursday

                                                                    Early:
                                                                    Reds/Cubs Under 10.5 2 Units
                                                                    KC/Clev Under 8.5 1 Unit
                                                                    Parlay: KC +100/Mill +150/NYM +120 1 Unit

                                                                    Late so far:
                                                                    Detroit - 135 5 Units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • SportsChic
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-11-09
                                                                      • 1161

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Thanks for the advice smith
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • SportsChic
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-11-09
                                                                        • 1161

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Smith I just booked the same parlay..mil, nym, and kc. I hadnt even looked at your post and thats what I played. Put .5 units on it...hopefully it cashes!
                                                                        Comment
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