on3's MLB 2015 Opening Day System Thread

[on3]

+26.10 units over the last 12 days, the run is in effect

[jcygts6]

How about Milwaukee brewers?

[on3]

*MIL was a play yesterday, closed at -147

UPDATED for 7/7/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 77-5; Profit: +11.92 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-34; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 17-14; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 9-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
26-26-36-24
10-10-25-31
x-25-25-x

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/7/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) SEA -185 to win 41
(B) MIL -175 to win 35

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 7/8/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 78-5; Profit: +10.92 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-34; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-15; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 9-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
26-26-36-24
x-15-20-15
x-25-25-46

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/8/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(C) MIL -140 to win 71

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[TenCount]

What a comeback

[on3]

UPDATED for 7/9/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 79-5; Profit: +14.42 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-34; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-15; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 10-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
26-26-36-24
x-15-20-15
x-25-x-x

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/9/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none
watch for MIA at -143 right now

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[analyzer]

Unless the line drops it appears MIA will qualify. Using your lines posted for the labby the play would be for 26?

[analyzer]

Oops - sorry line now falling (currently down to -142 @ five dimes)

[on3]

UPDATED for 7/10/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 79-5; Profit: +14.42 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-34; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-15; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 10-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
28-28-28-28
x-15-20-15
x-25-x-x

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/10/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) CHC -150 to win 28
(A) LAD -155 to win 28
(A) SF -160 to win 28
(A) CLE -164 to win 28
watch out for NYM, MIN, TEX (filtered too) -- these would be to win 20 if they qualify

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 7/10/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 79-5; Profit: +14.42 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 51-34; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-15; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 10-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
28-28-28-28
x-15-20-15
x-25-x-x

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/10/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) CHC -150 to win 28
(A) LAD -155 to win 28
(A) SF -160 to win 28
(A) CLE -164 to win 28
watch out for NYM, MIN, TEX (filtered too) -- these would be to win 20 if they qualify

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

(B) CHC -110 to win 51

[on3]

(C) CHC -164 to win 70

[on3]

UPDATED for 7/13/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 83-5; Profit: +17.22 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 54-35; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-16; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
x-x-21-28
11-15-20-36
x-x-x-x

shuffle w/ new units

17-17-17-17
15-16-15-16
15-15-15-15

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/13/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

Short post, I'm adding a little to the A line

SD, NYY, TOR, HOU, OAK all to win 27 if eligible. SD, TOR, HOU are all borderline.

[on3]

(B) OAK -163 to win 54

[Rossi58]

Really appreciate all the time you spend on this system. Wondering why Oak a play since filter stated at beginning of thread stated no plays on teams after All Star break under .500 at home or overall. Thanks for clarification.

[on3]

Really appreciate all the time you spend on this system. Wondering why Oak a play since filter stated at beginning of thread stated no plays on teams after All Star break under .500 at home or overall. Thanks for clarification.

you know what, you are absolutely correct. i was updating from my phone and forgot to apply the .500 filter. i wont count it to the official record and have an "unofficial win"

[on3]

UPDATED for 7/20/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 85-5; Profit: +19.92 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 56-35; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-16; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
13-13-13-13
15-10-15-10
15-15-15-15

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/20/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none
ARI on the border for an unofficial play

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

looks like ARI closed above -145 everywhere, but 5dimes. congrats if you played it

**i will be out of town from 7/25 through 8/2, if someone can please post the plays that would be appreciated. the labby is pretty tame right now -- just add two numbers from a line together to get the "to win" amount. if it loses, take the loss and put half on the next line and keep half on the current line. rinse and repeat.

i'll check in periodically, but wi-fi signal in a costa rican jungle might be sparse.**

UPDATED for 7/21/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 85-5; Profit: +19.92 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 56-35; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-16; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
13-13-13-13
15-10-15-10
15-15-15-15

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/21/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

edit never mind angels line dropped

[J.M. Disciple]

Only possible play tomorrow is in PIT vs washington in a 4 game series. Tread carefully if the line stays above -145. Washington swept them the last two series they played against each other.

PIT (A) to win $26 if line stays above -145.

[grecycle99]

Hey JM, how about Dodgers they playing mets and are -210 right now, San Diego are -155?

THanks

[sportscreep1]

Hey JM, how about Dodgers they playing mets and are -210 right now, San Diego are -155?

THanks

Dodgers on road so no play (has to be home team for system)
SD doesn't qualify cuz of their record.

[on3]

Thanks JM, PIT is the only play today

[J.M. Disciple]

wait right before game time for first pitch. Right now 5 dimes line is at -188 so if it hits -190 it becomes a RL (-1.5) play. Line has moved 39c over night.

[J.M. Disciple]

5 dimes closed exactly at -190, but they won 7-3 anyways and banked 1.3u for the system. Will update the list next post.

[J.M. Disciple]

UPDATED for 7/24/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 86-5; Profit: +21.22 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +3 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 57-35; 3-1
Game 2 (B) win = 18-16; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
13-13-x-x
15-10-15-10
15-15-15-15

Filtered labby
x-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 7/24/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
PIT -1.5 (RL) to win $26 (7/23/15)

CHC RL -1.5 (4:05pm ET) 7/24/15
KC ML if -145 or above
STL ML if -145 or above
SF ML if -145 or above

Filtered
none

5/2
none

some o/u are not listed yet, but teams like STL are at 8 right now, so keep an eye out for the o/u to reach 9 to be come a filtered play. I am not sure how on3 runs his labby with possible multiple plays but only 2 #s on the line for A. I am thinking to win $25 on 2 of the plays from line B and $26 on one of the plays from line A. Hopefully on3 can chime in and assign bet sizing amount for possible plays tomorrow. I have removed any home team that is -145 with a losing record. All possible plays have been listed for tomorrow.

[J.M. Disciple]

Plays for 7/24/2015

CHC RL -1.5 (4:05pm ET) to win $26
STL ML -182 (8:15pm ET) to win $25

LAA ML if -145 or above currently -143 (5 dimes) to win $25
SF ML if -145 or above currently -121(5 dimes) to win $20

[J.M. Disciple]

stl closed at -191 @ 5 dimes so RL play -1.5
LAA is still on the border @ -143. Anyone have a 5 dimes account since covers has not updated the line for a while?

SF wont make the cut as they are floating in the 130s.

Either way the series prices on LAA, CHC, & STL were the 3 highest all above -200 so up to you if you want to play it. I have been using a filter for series price and has worked out well for me. Also starting to play 1st 5 inning as well as whole game, so kinda break even on the cubs - juice but hopefully win STL 1st 5 and whole game.

[J.M. Disciple]

7/24/2015 Recap
STL -1.5 to win $25 W (+1.25)
CHC -1.5 (-120) to win $26 L (-1.56u) Also was a filtered play (-1.2u)

UPDATED for 7/25/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 86-5; Profit: +20.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +1.8 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: +2 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 58-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-16; 0-1; 0-1
Game 3 (C) win = 11-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
13-13-16-x
x-x-15-25
15-15-15-15

Filtered labby
12-10-10-12

REGULAR FOR 7/25/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

B) CHC (-182 currently) (4:05pm ET) to win $40


Filtered
B) CHC (-182 currently) (4:05pm ET) to win $22

5/2
CHC (-182 currently) (4:05pm ET) to win $100

[J.M. Disciple]

hopefully everyone took RL as 5 dimes closed above -200

[J.M. Disciple]

UPDATED for 7/26/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 86-5; Profit: +19.21 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units)
Filtered System: 4-0-0; Profit: +0.87 units
5/2 chase: 1-0-0; profit: -2.23 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 58-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-5; 1-0; 1-0

Labby Line
13-13-16-x
x-17-15-25
15-15-15-32

Filtered labby
12-19-19-12

REGULAR FOR 7/26/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

C) CHC (-1.5) to win $47


Filtered
C) CHC (-1.5) to win $31

5/2
CHC given odds yesterday were +118 on RL it should be to win $125 so it shows 2u profit

All records and profit have been updated based on +118 odds for chc today. Not too bad of a series considering both A & B were RL plays. I added $34 (17/17) over B & C for regular labby, and $18 onto filtered labby. Bets are small enough where I do not think we need to add a 5th #.

[analyzer]

Any place for tonight?

[J.M. Disciple]

Any place for tonight?

Going through them all right now. Will update in next 10 minutes.

[J.M. Disciple]

UPDATED for 7/27/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 86-6; Profit: +15.11 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 4-1-0; Profit: -1.84 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 58-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
22-22-22-22
22-22-22-22
22-22-22-22

Filtered labby
29-29-29-29

REGULAR FOR 7/27/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

CHC (-143 currently) to win $44 if it closes -145 or higher
STL (-152 currently) to win $44 if it closes -145 or higher
SF (-168 currently) to win $44

Filtered
None

5/2
None


CHC really hurt the system on all the levels regular, filtered, and 5/2. I based it off closing line -175 for 5 dimes. I averaged out the labby for filtered and regular since it was a C loss and it is a lot more manageable being averaged out.