on3's MLB 2015 Opening Day System Thread

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/13/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 5-1-0; Profit: -2.46 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 4-2; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 1-1; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-1; 0-0; 0-0

REGULAR FOR 4/13/2015
(A) NYM -165
(A) STL -175
(A) SD -147 (wait for closing line for play to be official)

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[jcygts6]

Thx

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/14/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 5-1-0; Profit: -1.96 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open: -1.65 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 5-4; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 1-1; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-1; 0-0; 0-0

REGULAR FOR 4/14/2015
(B) STL TBD (play tomorrow)
(B) SD -130

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/15/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 6-1-0; Profit: -1.74 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open: -.88 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 5-4; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-1; 0-0; 0-0

REGULAR FOR 4/15/2015
(B) STL -160

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[takethepnts]

Thanks for posting the system and your time . Keep up the great work . Cheers from Ont. Canada :-)

[md3324]

...

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/16/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 8-1-0; Profit: -1.62 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 5-4; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 3-1; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-1; 0-0; 0-0

REGULAR FOR 4/16/2015
(A) SF -175

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

Early game on DET

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/17/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 8-1-0; Profit: -1.62 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open: -.88 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 5-5; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 3-1; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 0-1; 0-0; 0-0

REGULAR FOR 4/17/2015
(B) SF -146
(A) LAD -270/-105 -- play RL
(A) DET -153
(A) SEA -151 (wait closer to game time to be official)
(A) TOR -149 (wait closer to game time to be official)

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

(c) sf -141
(b) tor -170
(b) sea -200/-110

[jcygts6]

Thanks lots at stake today

[J.M. Disciple]

Great way to finish off the week. Hopefully get some more plays for Monday.

[J.M. Disciple]

Where can we look up MLB series prices? We attempted to use this as a filter towards the end of last season.

[imotiv8]

First 2 weeks over!

[on3]

The Labouchere system is a money management system. Instead of chasing your losses, you divide them up over the following set of plays. After past errors where unit counts got out of hand, I wil update the lines and units everyday and not "bank" them so that the unit count will be day-to-day accurate. Here is the wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Labouch%C3%A8re_system

I run it on a $20/unit basis, so "to win 20" really means to "to win 1 unit". Any questions, please ask.

UPDATED for 4/20/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 13-1-0; Profit: +.54 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 7-7; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 5-2; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line
10-10-10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/20/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) KC -152 to win 20
(A) SEA -161 to win 20
(A) LAA -150 to win 20

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

Will Sea have a late rally? please????

5 dimes also closed at -205 so they would be RL play.

[J.M. Disciple]

Couple new series starting tomorrow. Really Excited about NYM game 1, probably will be putting a little extra on it.

[dlunc3]

was kc a play?

[on3]

was kc a play?

KC closed under -145, so it wasnt an official play.

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/21/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 13-1-0; Profit: -2.57 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open: -3.11 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 7-9; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 5-2; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line
10-10-25-26
10-10-25-26
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/21/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) SEA -105 to win 36
(B) LAA -119 to win 35
(A) NYM -147 to win 36

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[J.M. Disciple]

hindsight both TOR and NYM were above -150 for the series and crushed the "A" bets, even though Tor wasn't a system play.

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/22/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 15-1-0; Profit: -.91 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open: -3.5 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 8-9; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 1-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line
x-10-25-x
x-10-x-35
10-10-10-39

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/22/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(C) SEA -159 to win 49

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[sportsbetter21]

wow
looks like seatlle is trying to lose for the 3rd night in a row

[J.M. Disciple]

wow
looks like seatlle is trying to lose for the 3rd night in a row

bullben is terrible! Playing all games RL think I am down just a little bit, but lost 4-5 games now RL where ML had won.

Side note possible play on cws tomorrow vs kc. Looks like line is moving wrong direction though

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/23/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 16-1-0; Profit: +1.59 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 8-9; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line
x-10-25-x
x-10-x-35
x-10-10-x

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/23/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) CWS -151 to win 35

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/24/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 16-1-0; Profit: -1.06 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open: -2.65 units

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 8-10; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 6-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line
x-30-x-31
x-20-17-35
x-10-10-x

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/24/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) CWS -108 to win 55
(A) LAA -175 to win 30
(A) SEA -190/+120 to win 31 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[md3324]

Anyone have thoughts on how to proceed with the CWS resumed game? My book cancelled the bet. I was thinking if they lose the resumed game, play today's game as the B and tomorrow's as the C; if they win the resumed game I was gonna eat the A loss?

[Andy3568]

Anyone have thoughts on how to proceed with the CWS resumed game? My book cancelled the bet. I was thinking if they lose the resumed game, play today's game as the B and tomorrow's as the C; if they win the resumed game I was gonna eat the A loss?

Check your book. They may allow you to bet on the completion of the game. If not, I would play it exactly how you suggested.

[on3]

I'm replaying the B bet

[TenCount]

Late check in... but back for round two boys.

[on3]

UPDATED for 4/27/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 19-1-0; Profit: +4.74 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 10-10; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 7-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line (with new units added)
10-10-10-10
9-9-9-10
x-10-10-x

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/27/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
*NO PLAYS ARE OFFICIAL YET, LINES ARE TOO CLOSE
(A) STL -145 to win 20
(A) LAD -143 to win 20
(A) CLE -146 to win 20
(A) BAL -141 to win 20
(A) NYY -141 to win 20

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

looks like STL and LAD are the only eligible teams left, the rest have dropped well below.

[on3]

I hate when the -145 fluctuates throughout the day. LAD was the only play yesterday.

UPDATED for 4/28/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 20-1-0; Profit: +5.74 units (MIA -4.53 units)
Filtered System: 0-0-0; Profit: 0 units
5/2 chase: 0-0-0; profit: 0 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 11-10; 0-0
Game 2 (B) win = 7-3; 0-0; 0-0
Game 3 (C) win = 2-1; 0-0; 0-0

Labby Line (with new units added)
x-10-10-x
9-9-9-10
x-10-10-x

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 4/28/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none

Filtered
none

5/2
none

[on3]

its been a slow week. back on it tomorrow!

[md3324]

Early game with CHC currently at -191 which makes them a RL -1.5 play but watch for the closing line. Game is at 2:20 EST.