on3's MLB 2015 Opening Day System Thread

**J.M. Disciple** · 07-28-15, 12:19 AM

UPDATED for 7/28/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 86-6; Profit: +19.51 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 4-1-0; Profit: -1.84 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 60-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
X-X-X-X
22-22-22-22
22-22-22-22

Filtered labby
29-29-29-29

REGULAR FOR 7/27/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

None

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**J.M. Disciple** · 07-30-15, 03:45 PM

possible plays today each to win $44. Right now STL looks like the only qualifying play. All lines seem to be dropping out of system(s) favor.

BAL (-140) o/u 8.5 line was above -145 but quickly dropped. (7:05et) to win $44
STL (-183)
Hou (-143)

**J.M. Disciple** · 07-30-15, 05:55 PM

I see BAL at (-142) so going to call it a no play. Hou dropped to -130 so no play as well. STL is at -188 so getting closer to -1.5 (RL) play.

**J.M. Disciple** · 07-31-15, 05:55 AM

UPDATED for 7/31/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 87-6; Profit: +21.71 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 4-1-0; Profit: -1.84 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 61-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
X-X-X-X
x-x-22-22
22-22-22-22

Filtered labby
29-29-29-29

REGULAR FOR 7/31/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

LAD -1.5 (RL)

Filtered
None

5/2
None

STL closed at -188 so didnt' meet the RL for the system so chalk it up as a system win and add 2.2u to the system. I am not seeing much tomorrow besides LAD which is currently -200+. These types of RL games are scary being that the o/u is 6 usually means it will be a close game. Hopefully Kershaw can get something like a 3-1 win.

**J.M. Disciple** · 07-31-15, 03:10 PM

Looks like Hou has made the cutoff. Currently -146

Also LAD is dropping, so if they go below -190 play them ML. currently -192.

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-01-15, 11:15 AM

UPDATED for 08/01/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 88-6; Profit: +23.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 4-1-0; Profit: -1.84 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 62-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
X-X-X-X
x-x-x-x
22-22-22-22

Filtered labby
29-29-29-29

REGULAR FOR 08/01/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

none

Filtered
None

5/2
None

LAD became a ML play yesterday and HOU dropped out of contention. System is really starting to clean up this week, at least the regular system. Filtered and 5/2 both took a loss on CHC, but regular system made a full recovery with the labby. No plays today.

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-02-15, 10:47 AM

UPDATED for 08/02/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 88-6; Profit: +23.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 4-1-0; Profit: -1.84 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 62-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
X-X-X-X
x-x-x-x
22-22-22-22

Filtered labby
29-29-29-29

REGULAR FOR 08/02/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)

none

Filtered
None

5/2
None

New series start on 8/3/2015

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-03-15, 02:43 PM

Can't post today. Someone post the plays? Labby is updated above.

**on3** · 08-03-15, 03:03 PM

TOR was the only early AM play today that won. I will resume updating tomorrow. Thanks JMD.

**analyzer** · 08-03-15, 03:13 PM

Thanks on3 - welcome back. How was CR?

**on3** · 08-04-15, 12:40 PM

Originally posted by analyzer

Thanks on3 - welcome back. How was CR?

CR was great, surprisingly dry for rainy season. only rained hard one day. i highly recommend staying at tamarindo beach on the west coast.

**on3** · 08-04-15, 12:46 PM

UPDATED for 08/04/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 92-6; Profit: +25.01 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 4-1-0; Profit: -1.84 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 63-36; 3-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
14-14-14-14
14-14-14-14
14-14-14-14

Filtered labby
29-29-29-29

REGULAR FOR 08/04/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) NYY -174 to win 28

Filtered
(A) NYY -174 to win 58

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-05-15, 06:16 PM

no plays today (obviously), will be back tomorrow. good hit last night.

**on3** · 08-06-15, 12:29 PM

UPDATED for 08/06/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 93-6; Profit: +26.41 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 64-36; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-14-14-x
14-14-14-14
14-14-14-14

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/04/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
None

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-07-15, 12:14 PM

UPDATED for 08/07/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 93-6; Profit: +26.41 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 64-36; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-14-14-x
14-14-14-14
14-14-14-14

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/07/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) WAS -174 to win 28
look out for SD -141 (unofficial), KC -141

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-07-15, 06:45 PM

KC now at -150, -155. should be a play to win 28

**on3** · 08-08-15, 03:53 PM

WAS RL is the only play today to win 58

**alexknyc** · 08-10-15, 04:50 AM

Originally posted by on3

UPDATED for 08/07/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 93-6; Profit: +26.41 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-0; Profit +.41 units
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 64-36; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 18-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-14-14-x
14-14-14-14
14-14-14-14

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/07/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) WAS -174 to win 28
look out for SD -141 (unofficial), KC -141

Filtered
None

5/2
None

Didn't SD close at -147 on 5Dimes?

**jcygts6** · 08-10-15, 10:07 AM

SD should have been a series lost. They closed at -147 gm 1 at 5d.

**J.M. Disciple** · 08-10-15, 01:00 PM

Originally posted by jcygts6

SD should have been a series lost. They closed at -147 gm 1 at 5d.

They would have to qualify as a play first. They are under .500 so they do not qualify. We use a .500 home filter after all star break on this system.

**on3** · 08-10-15, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by jcygts6

SD should have been a series lost. They closed at -147 gm 1 at 5d.

unofficial series, under .500

**on3** · 08-10-15, 01:43 PM

UPDATED for 08/10/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 95-6; Profit: +28.31 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 65-37; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 19-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
12-12-12-12
x-14-14-x
14-14-14-14

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/10/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) NYM -170 to win 24
(A) KC -210/+110 to win 24 -- play RL
look out for SD -142 (unofficial), ARI -143 (.500 record at home)

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-11-15, 12:57 PM

a nice 3-0 day yesterday

UPDATED for 08/11/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 98-6; Profit: +31.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 68-37; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 19-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
10-10-10-10
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/11/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) TOR -183 to win 20
look out for STL -138
TB not a play with only a 2 game series

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**alexknyc** · 08-11-15, 03:24 PM

Cubs are at -140, we should keep an eye on them as well.

**on3** · 08-12-15, 11:34 AM

cubs closed at -144, but congrats if you played it

UPDATED for 08/12/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 99-6; Profit: +32.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 69-37; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 19-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-10-10-x
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/12/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-13-15, 03:38 PM

UPDATED for 08/13/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 99-6; Profit: +32.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 69-37; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 19-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-10-10-x
x-10-10-x
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/13/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) LAD -177 to win 20

Filtered
None

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-14-15, 01:25 PM

UPDATED for 08/14/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 99-6; Profit: +32.91 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 69-37; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 19-17; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 11-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
10-10-10-17
x-10-10-18
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/13/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) LAD -166 to win 28
(A) STL -200/+110 to win 23 -- play RL
(A) BAL -177 to win 24
(A) TOR -225/-105 to win 20 -- play RL
(A) HOU -210/+100 to win 20 -- play RL

Filtered
watch out for BAL, currently -177 and 8.5 -120, if eligible, to win 29 (not playing to win 58, juice is too high to lay 5+ units)

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-15-15, 12:37 PM

I forgot today was an early game, it was (B) TOR -127 to win 21

**on3** · 08-16-15, 02:58 AM

(C) TOR to win 36

**on3** · 08-17-15, 12:45 PM

UPDATED for 08/17/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 104-6; Profit: +37.06 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 5-1-0; Profit: +1.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 1-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 72-38; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 20-18; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 12-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
10-10-10-10
10-10-11-11
x-10-10-x

Filtered labby
x-29-29-x

REGULAR FOR 08/17/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) PIT -203 to win 20
(A) STL -153 to win 20
(A) NYY -153 to win 20
(A) HOU -165 to win 20
*watch out for LAA -142 to win 20
*MIL, SD would be unofficial if they stay above -145

Filtered
possible NYY -153, o/u currently at 8.5 to win 29

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-18-15, 02:24 PM

just noticed that i forgot to put 'PLAY RL' next to the PIT play yesterday -- but everyone knows the rules, right?? LAA was a play. NYY filtered was a play.

UPDATED for 08/18/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 107-6; Profit: +37.41 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 2-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 75-40; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 20-18; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 12-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-x-x-x
x-x-38-37
x-10-10-x

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/18/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) PIT -190/+110 to win 37 -- play RL
(B) HOU -120 to win 38
MIL unofficial

Filtered
none

5/2
None

**boycali01** · 08-18-15, 05:23 PM

hey On u do nfl and college football? please attach the links thanks

**on3** · 08-19-15, 01:55 PM

UPDATED for 08/19/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 108-6; Profit: +37.41 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 2-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 75-40; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 21-19; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 12-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
x-x-x-x
x-x-x-37
x-10-47-x

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/19/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) PIT -153 to win 57
MIL unofficial

Filtered
none

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-20-15, 12:00 PM

UPDATED for 08/20/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 109-6; Profit: +40.26 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 3-1
Current open:

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 75-40; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 21-19; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 13-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
10-10-10-10
12-12-12-11
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/20/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) CHC -265/-120 to win 20 -- play RL
(A) BAL -166 to win 20
watch out for PIT -138, NYY -143 if qualify to win 20

Filtered
none

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-21-15, 01:12 PM

UPDATED for 08/21/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 110-6; Profit: +38.16 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 3-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 76-42; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 21-19; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 13-6; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
10-10-14-16
12-12-27-28
10-10-10-10

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/21/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) BAL -152 to win 39
(B) NYY -138 to win 40

Filtered
none

5/2
None