The Florida Marlins Season Project

FrozenMAN · 04-07-09, 09:24 AM

game 2

marlins ML -153 WINNER

bet 1.53 units to win 1.0

i think we jump on the ex-fish scott olsen, who's gonna wana show off to his old team and i think that will lead to over throwing and mistakes that hanley wont let him get away with

austintx05 · 04-07-09, 10:10 AM

fish looked good on opening day, keep it rollin'

TheLock · 04-07-09, 10:29 AM

I hope you got in on MARLINS over 76 games this year in futures. They'll win at least 80

The HOFF · 04-07-09, 12:52 PM

I am doing the same thing with Florida. I'm going to try a chase system and increase bet size after a loss. The Marlins longest losing streak of last season was only 4 games.

FrozenMAN · 04-07-09, 10:32 PM

Originally posted by TheLock

I hope you got in on MARLINS over 76 games this year in futures. They'll win at least 80

i got over 75.5 wins
hanley over 95 rbi's
nolasco over 12.5 wins

FrozenMAN · 04-07-09, 10:33 PM

Originally posted by The HOFF

I am doing the same thing with Florida. I'm going to try a chase system and increase bet size after a loss. The Marlins longest losing streak of last season was only 4 games.

i did the same thing last year with my fish and started with 10 a game and towards the end got up there, i ended up like about a g

da FISH ARE MY BOYS

FrozenMAN · 04-08-09, 10:16 AM

Game 3
Florida Marlins -155 WINNER
risk 1.55 to win 1

jagaf22 · 04-08-09, 04:38 PM

Congrats Frozen on a nice start. I'm curious to follow this thread all season long. We get a lot of the Marlins games here in the Tampa area on FSN. Do you only bet on the Marlins or will you bet against them occasionally? Also do you play every Marlins game?

FrozenMAN · 04-08-09, 09:41 PM

i bet every marlins game, either ML/RL/ or O/U for either the fish or who they play. i mostly base everything off of trends, pitching research, and past performances. like i said i did this last year and ended up about a g in the end. i started with $10 a game and as the season progressed it increased, but in that time i did have some modest losing streaks (4-5 games) but i never ended up below .500( -units) in my picks for a month, though 1 month i was hovering just above the red......

FrozenMAN · 04-10-09, 10:55 AM

Game 4
Marlins +1.5 (-145) WINNER
risk 1.45 to win 1.00

i wanted to take the fish ML today but i just dont know which annibal will show up, plus cantu though he's SUPPOSED to play, will most likely have a good bruise on that hand and may not be the same at the plate. hermida though has fared well against maine, hittin .455 in 11 career ab's vs him. i can see this game pretty much going either way, so playin it safe with the RL

FrozenMAN · 04-10-09, 09:47 PM

wow we wanted to give that game away and we shoulda with that HORRIFIC performance by the pen, but LUCKILY MY BOY JORGE AND HANLEY SAVED US

SOLID W after a total collapse over the last 3 innings
lets take it to livan tomorrow and then johan

FrozenMAN · 04-11-09, 11:19 AM

Game 5
Florida Marlins -138 LOSS
risk 1.385 to win 1.0

today we see MR 1997 WORLD SERIES MVP LIVAN HERNANDEZ go against MR 2009 CY YOUNG WINNER RICKY NOLASCO, where nolasco is already getting hsi 2nd start cause the fish are usign a 4 man rotation at the moment. the pen stunk yesterday and tried to give the game away so they will wana bounce back today if they get the chance. the mets have hit ricky decently and he's 2-6 all time vs him with an era over 6 vs the mets, while the fish though many have not hit him, they have faired decently vs livan.
the fish will most likely be without lidrstrom tonight if they need the game closed out given hes throwin over 55 pitches total in 2 of the last 3 days, plus he's been kinda shakey, for the 2 innings he's come in for. livan is makign his debut and even last year he can be off and on and rather unpredictable
with all that said, i think we can get it done again today but its gonna be close and like yesterday will most likely come down to our pen.

The HOFF · 04-11-09, 02:37 PM

This is going very well so far!!

FrozenMAN · 04-11-09, 03:38 PM

dont jinx it dude,

i hate how we're getting all the hype now, whenever my teams get it they freak and fall apart (illinois fball and wake bball)

FrozenMAN · 04-11-09, 07:26 PM

really bad game, we couldnt time that garbage livan was throwin, one came in at 56, U KIDDIN ME

bounce back tomorrow

FrozenMAN · 04-12-09, 11:15 AM

Game 6
New York Mets vs. Florida Marlins Under 8 (-120) WINNER
risk 1.20 to win 1.00

FrozenMAN · 04-12-09, 02:17 PM

Jj throws a gem!

The HOFF · 04-12-09, 07:49 PM

Good call on the under. I just played the ML and got a bit worried in the 9th when Johnson almost gave it away.

FrozenMAN · 04-14-09, 09:25 AM

Game 7
Florida Marlins +130 WINNER
risk 1.00 unit to win 1.30

liking mr volstad today, though he's got a 4.50 era vs the braves in 2 starts last year. with this long roadie we're gonna see if this fish team is for real

TPowell · 04-14-09, 10:32 AM

generous line today, Volstad is much better than Vasquez (coming from a Brave homer)

FrozenMAN · 04-14-09, 12:11 PM

well he hasnt faired well in the past vs hotlanta plus its the 1st road gajme of the year and vazquez took it to usa in the wbc, well see, hopefully we can get the W

FrozenMAN · 04-14-09, 08:48 PM

volstad with another GEM

jagaf22 · 04-14-09, 08:54 PM

Volstad was SOLID!

TheLock · 04-14-09, 10:16 PM

Originally posted by FrozenMAN

really bad game, we couldnt time that garbage livan was throwin, one came in at 56, U KIDDIN ME

bounce back tomorrow

I know this is late but FLA doesn't do well against slow throwing junkballers (see J Moyer)

TheLock · 04-14-09, 10:19 PM

As some of you know I'm a Marlins homer and I'm not a big fan of RL's but tommorow is the day to take a serious look at ATL -1.5 (+115)

Andrew Miller has potential but he is awful right now and has no business not being in AA.

FrozenMAN · 04-14-09, 10:38 PM

A. they blow vs slow shit like livan and moyer cause its young kids and no patience and
B. miller is solid dude, and once he fully commits to that new delivery=WATCH OUT

that game is not gonna be a romp tomorrow, miller has pitched very well against the braves in his few big league starts, plus the ground ball pitching of lowe combines to give us a good UNDER for tomorow at first glance

FrozenMAN · 04-15-09, 11:45 AM

Game 8
Florida Marlins +156 WINNER
risk 1.00 unit to win 1.56

nobody gives any love to andrew miller, which at times he deserves but this is a new pitcher this year. in the offseason he chnages his mechanics and this should gretaly lessen his walks by slightly chnaging his arm angles and furthering his delivery. with this said i wanted to take the UNDER 9 but it dropped to 8.5 so i said what the heck, fish ml based soley on 2 things.

1) lowe is a ground ball pitcher and with our speed i think we can use that to our advantage though for most teams that means death. also lowe is 4-3 with a 4.59 ERA in eight career starts against the Marlins. During his only outing against them last year, he allowed 6 runs, 3 earned and 8 hits in five innings.

2) MILLER HAS EXCELLED VS HOTLANTA: he's 2-0 with a 0.69 ERA in four career games against the Braves, all coming last year

FrozenMAN · 04-15-09, 09:57 PM

miller was surprisingly good for 4 innings, but after we took that 4-1 lead he showed his problems, but luckily he got out of it with letting em only tie and then our pen shut the door, meyer looked real good

TheLock · 04-15-09, 10:40 PM

Miller was his usual self. Got out of some big jams too. I'll be fading him all year until the FO has had enough of him.

Congrats on the cash though.

kmarinouofm · 04-15-09, 10:58 PM

as a loyal fish fan , this thread has been a lot of fun following.. glad we have all been able to grab some really generous lines...

FrozenMAN · 04-15-09, 11:06 PM

seems like everyone is a fish fan now LOLOL jk

dude im BIGGEST IN CHICAGO, probably biggest in ILLINOIS too

wait till miller finially molds into that new delivery then he'll be SICK NASTY

kmarinouofm · 04-15-09, 11:14 PM

born and raised in the 305... when the fish were up against the cubs in 03 i was there.. i went to school at UofM a 4 hour drive from the friendly confines... man a boo's and beers tossed my way on the way home that day ....

FrozenMAN · 04-15-09, 11:29 PM

yeah i was at the bartman game UNREAL, greatest comeback/game i;ve ever seen live or on tv, my dad wouldnt talk to me on the whole way back home or the next few days. that series almost led to a war in the house with dad beign monster cubs fan and me liking the fish LOL

TheLock · 04-16-09, 09:43 AM

<-----------Has lived in the Miami area since 1989.

I've been to 8 Marlin playoff games including the game where Conine gunned down JT Snow to advance to NLCS.

And like other intelligent Marlins fans, Ive been killing their season win total for years as they are undervalued constantly.