Ali & Hayduke's Base Pickers

[mitch51]

tailing lad over

[mitch51]

06.09.15 ALI DOGS

7:00pm ET
903 PHI/Harang +122 1.00/1.22
905 SFG/Heston +110 1.00/1.10
929 CUBS/Lester +110 1.00/1.10


HAYDUKE

None



UMPIRES STREAKING

7:00pm ET
904 CIN/PHI OV 8 -115 1.15/1.00
ump-Hamari 7W/5L 8ov/4un 66.7% over

908 ATL/SD OV 7 -115 1.15/1.00
ump-Meals 9W/3L 6ov/4un 60.0% over

10:00pm ET
912 LAD/AZ OV 7.5 -105 1.05/1.00
ump-Cuzzi 5W/5L 6ov/4un 60.0% 0ver


GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

UPDATE:

ALI DOGS
1-2 -.90u
55-68 -3.96u 44.72%


HAYDUKE
44-49 -2.42u 47.31%


UMPIRES STREAKING
2-1 +.95u
13-7 +2.78u 65.0%


Good night


Ali & Hayduke

[RollinDo]

I will keep posting my Unders in here...they seem to do well at this address...so far.
Wed. I like (pre-Ump check):
KC-Minny (U 8)***
Wash - NYY (U 8.5)...only if Under ump
Hou - ChiSox (U 8.5)...Quintana games tend to go Under and he's been great lately, while Stros bats in a funk...especially vs lefties.
SD - ATL (U 7.5 / 8)...depending on line movement....know very little about Braves starter...Both games in series went Over, so like chance for Under with T Ross.

Like Cards to get back on track today...they got their pass from espn Sunday night mlb game hangover.
Gonna roll with O's again most likely.

[mitch51]

Good morning all


For the early games:

06.10.15


HAYDUKE

12:30pm ET
975 MIA/Koehler FF +125 1.00/1.25


Be back later.


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

[bossman71]

From past seasons. When is the timeframe tend to real start hit for the dogs? We have been pretty steady for the past month I'd say. How does this year compare to tr past 2 as far as comparison, just curious? Thanks and GL

[upscope]

From past seasons. When is the timeframe tend to real start hit for the dogs? We have been pretty steady for the past month I'd say. How does this year compare to tr past 2 as far as comparison, just curious? Thanks and GL

What??

[mitch51]

From past seasons. When is the timeframe tend to real start hit for the dogs? We have been pretty steady for the past month I'd say. How does this year compare to tr past 2 as far as comparison, just curious? Thanks and GL

We've been getting our butts kicked this year. This hasn't happened before, uncharted territory.

[posey]

I think he wants to know if there is a proven time when the dogs do better (than they did) or something like that, based on what Mitch experienced in the past. Or if there are times over the season when they do better or worse.

[mitch51]

Heads up will be adding afternoon games below in game post.

Ali

[upscope]

I think he wants to know if there is a proven time when the dogs do better (than they did) or something like that, based on what Mitch experienced in the past. Or if there are times over the season when they do better or worse.

Ohh I see.....

Maybe, if you guys just posted games on the days they win & don't bother posting when the games r going to lose??
Thanks kindly.....

[mitch51]

I think he wants to know if there is a proven time when the dogs do better (than they did) or something like that, based on what Mitch experienced in the past. Or if there are times over the season when they do better or worse.

The dogs in the past have been better in April/June/August/September. The other months have been worse. This year has been odd. We did find that doing preseason was good which surprised us.

[mitch51]

Ohh I see.....

Maybe, if you guys just posted games on the days they win & don't bother posting when the games r going to lose??
Thanks kindly.....

That's just it, you don't know. We didn't post some games last year and they ended up winning. At the end of the season last year the dogs went 50/50. 2014 186-186 +26.23u

[posey]

Still enough time to turn it around and make profit. Season looks rather strange to date. And you aren't down a bunch. Only need a little streak and all is good.

[mitch51]

Adding afternoon games in bold

Good morning all


For the early games:

06.10.15 ALI DOGS

7:00pm ET
955 MIL/Lohse +125 1.00/1.25
967 LAA/Weaver +100 1.00/1.00



HAYDUKE

12:30pm ET
975 MIA/Koehler FF +125 1.00/1.25

8:00pm ET
971 HOU/Velasquez +105 1.00/1.05



UMPIRES STREAKING

7:00pm ET
958 NYM/SFG OV 7 +105 1.00/1.05
ump-West 13games 8ov/5un 61.5%

966 CLE/SEA UN 8.5 -110 1.10/1.00
ump-Iassogna 13games 4ov/8un 66.7%


8:00pm
970 MIN/KC UN 8 -105 1.05/1.00
ump-Ripperger 10games 2ov/8un 80.0%






GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

[mitch51]

Still enough time to turn it around and make profit. Season looks rather strange to date. And you aren't down a bunch. Only need a little streak and all is good.

I hear you on that. We're hoping that it's only variance.

GL

[mitch51]

06.10.15 ALI DOGS

7:00pm ET
955 MIL/Lohse +125 1.00/1.25
967 LAA/Weaver +100 1.00/1.00



HAYDUKE

12:30pm ET
975 MIA/Koehler FF +125 1.00/1.25

8:00pm ET
971 HOU/Velasquez +105 1.00/1.05



UMPIRES STREAKING

7:00pm ET
958 NYM/SFG OV 7 +105 1.00/1.05
ump-West 13games 8ov/5un 61.5%

966 CLE/SEA UN 8.5 -110 1.10/1.00
ump-Iassogna 13games 4ov/8un 66.7%


8:00pm
970 MIN/KC UN 8 -105 1.05/1.00
ump-Ripperger 10games 2ov/8un 80.0%






GLTA

Ali & Hayduke





UPDATE:

ALI DOGS
0-2 -2.00u
55-70 -5.96u 44.0%


HAYDUKE
0-2 -2.00u
44-51 -4.42u 46.32%


UMPIRES STREAKING
1-2 -1.10u
14-9 +1.68u 60.87%


Good night

Ali & Hayduke

[RollinDo]

I got a beat down yesterday too...oh well...strayed from my original picks and went with Zona TT (U 3) and Under in Tigers game...not even close!
2-4 yesterday and back to square one.
Sick because night before didn't follow through with my plays and then forced these extra 2 yesterday.

[brandcorytoby]

1-6 yesterday ouch!

[RollinDo]

Bounce back Thursday...

Orioles
Giants +1.5 (large)
Texas - Oak (U 4 - FF)
Texas +1
Bos - Balt (U 8.5)

Possibly Under 8 in Miami...both teams struggling to score...will check ump tomorrow

[RollinDo]

Let's shake it off and come up big the rest of the week!

[RollinDo]

Finally the day has come to hit the dogs hard.
Texas +1 (-105) and Giants +1.5 (LARGE)...will be playing SF to win 1.5 units - normally make 1 unit bets to win .75 to 1 unit.
Go hard or Go home

[mitch51]

Good morning


Since the dogs are not having a hay day season, we hope you are taking as you wish-fade, no play, etc.

06.11.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
905 SFG/Lincecum +102 1.00/1.02



HAYDUKE
One Early game 12pm ET play is:
902 ATL/Teheran +100 1.00/1.00

3:30pm ET
913 TX/Gonzalez - FF +150 1.00/1.50

7pm ET
916 BAL/Tillman -106 1.06/1.00

8pm ET
909 WAS/Roark -115 1.15/1.00



UMPIRES STREAKING
None




GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

[larry040681]

I believe in a system that works for years.. I'm just waiting for that to happen on your part.. as for me, waiting game will end soon..

[mitch51]

I believe in a system that works for years.. I'm just waiting for that to happen on your part.. as for me, waiting game will end soon..

We'll be taking a few small faves along with the dogs until the dogs turn around. This pretty much sucks, but has to be done. I'd be fading these dogs right now.

[twestacott]

We'll be taking a few small faves along with the dogs until the dogs turn around. This pretty much sucks, but has to be done. I'd be fading these dogs right now.

Chin up..... it'll turn around for you

[posey]

I don't want to talk into your strategy or betting style, but always when I went off my 'plan' and made things I usually don't do, only to make more profit, the only thing I did was hurt me more.

If I calculated it right, Ali's Dogs have produced a ROI of about -5%, Haydukes picks have a ROI of about -4.5%. That's really far from being too bad to be turned around. As I said, you only need some streaks. Look, your plays didn't hit well lately (you even went 1-6 yesterday) and you are still only at about -5% ROI.

[twestacott]

I don't want to talk into your strategy or betting style, but always when I went off my 'plan' and made things I usually don't do, only to make more profit, the only thing I did was hurt me more.

This^^

Plus paying the juice is the path to the dark side

[mitch51]

Posting afternoon games in game post 1212.

Ali

[mitch51]

Repost for afternoon games

Ali

Good morning


Since the dogs are not having a hay day season, we hope you are taking as you wish-fade, no play, etc.

06.11.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
905 SFG/Lincecum +102 1.00/1.02



HAYDUKE
One Early game 12pm ET play is:
902 ATL/Teheran +100 1.00/1.00

3:30pm ET
913 TX/Gonzalez - FF +150 1.00/1.50

7pm ET
916 BAL/Tillman -106 1.06/1.00

8pm ET
909 WAS/Roark -115 1.15/1.00



UMPIRES STREAKING
None




GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

[RollinDo]

On every one of these dogs today...except Nats, who I like too - just have too many plays!
Under FF in Oakland too.

[mitch51]

Since the dogs are not having a hay day season, we hope you are taking as you wish-fade, no play, etc.

06.11.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
905 SFG/Lincecum +102 1.00/1.02



HAYDUKE
One Early game 12pm ET play is:
902 ATL/Teheran +100 1.00/1.00

3:30pm ET
913 TX/Gonzalez - FF +150 1.00/1.50


7pm ET
916 BAL/Tillman -106 1.06/1.00


8pm ET
909 WAS/Roark -115 1.15/1.00




UMPIRES STREAKING
None




GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

UPDATE:

ALI DOGS
0-1 -1.00u
55-71 -6.96u 43.65%


HAYDUKE
1-3 -2.15u
45-54 -6.57u 45.45%


UMPIRES STREAKING
14-9 +1.68u 60.87%


Good night


Ali & Hayduke

[alamo]

I actually took your advice yesterday and faded the plays. In all honesty I got insanely lucky. No idea how ATL or WAS lost. I genuinely felt bad winning those plays. Two sick losses for you.

[posey]

I actually took your advice yesterday and faded the plays. In all honesty I got insanely lucky. No idea how ATL or WAS lost. I genuinely felt bad winning those plays. Two sick losses for you.

(Notice: I will exaggerate here!)
Atlanta's loss definately has to do with their bullpen. And that's not uncommon this season. It seems that in 50% of the games at least one bullpen blows it completely. That makes it hard to predict.

[RollinDo]

Well enough dogging for a while for me.
Fortunately I won SF +1.5, but that came with risk.
May hit up Nats today though as a slim dog.
I like KC too, but tough to bet vs Cards at Busch.

[posey]

Maybe try to continue betting on paper. When you recognize an improvement then hit money on it.