Ali & Hayduke's Base Pickers

mitch51 · 03-21-15, 11:13 AM

Good morning all

03.21.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

HOU +105
TOR +100
BOS +100
AZ +105
KC +105
CIN +105
SF +110

Have a super day!

Ali & Hayduke

amitaf0 · 03-21-15, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by funnyman

Discipline is the key.

Funnyman is right

mitch51 · 03-21-15, 11:53 AM

Originally posted by amitaf0

Funnyman is right

Yup. We straight flat bet these at one unit per game, although due to the success the last few years we are gonna bet these at 2% of our bankroll instead of 1%. Doesn't sound like a huge change, but for us it is. You have to be very conservative betting baseball as far as money management or you're dead in the water by June.

amitaf0 · 03-21-15, 01:27 PM

thank you Mitch. I appreciate the advice.

grey area · 03-21-15, 02:50 PM

I might learn not to go against you one day lol, think up one or two still when in other dugout

mitch51 · 03-21-15, 03:57 PM

Originally posted by grey area

I might learn not to go against you one day lol, think up one or two still when in other dugout

All kinds of people in our thread went against us last year, taking a bunch of faves. It makes it fun. When you take faves, you have to win a lot more games to turn a profit. Took us a while to learn this. It was so hard betting these dogs to begin with. Betting games that are supposed to lose...not the easiest road sometimes, but the most profitable.

mitch51 · 03-21-15, 06:34 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

03.21.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

HOU +105 Lost
TOR +100 Won
BOS +100 Push
AZ +105 Won
KC +105 Lost
CIN +105 Lost
SF +110 Lost

Have a super day!

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

2-4-1 -1.95u

34-35-6 +1.40u 49.28%

Enjoy your afternoon and evening wherever you be!

Ali & Hayduke

Kubala · 03-21-15, 10:46 PM

Ali!

Again, your work is tremendously appreciated. I have built up bank roll all winter to follow guys.
Do you have a twitter account? (in case tragedy strikes and some bum figures out a way to kill this thread)

Thank-you

mitch51 · 03-21-15, 11:41 PM

Originally posted by Kubala

Ali!

Again, your work is tremendously appreciated. I have built up bank roll all winter to follow guys.
Do you have a twitter account? (in case tragedy strikes and some bum figures out a way to kill this thread)

Thank-you

Don't worry no one will kill this thread.

SBR Contests · 03-22-15, 12:43 AM

Originally posted by Kubala

Ali!

Again, your work is tremendously appreciated. I have built up bank roll all winter to follow guys.
Do you have a twitter account? (in case tragedy strikes and some bum figures out a way to kill this thread)

Thank-you

No twitter addresses please.

Kubala · 03-22-15, 02:30 AM

Understood; Sorry.

funnyman · 03-22-15, 08:42 AM

Now that we have all that straightened out let's PLAY BALL! lol.

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by funnyman

Now that we have all that straightened out let's PLAY BALL! lol.

Geez. I never knew the preseason could drag on this long. Props to grey area for betting these games like a boss. It can be done. I think he may bet with real money, too. April will eventually get here. Ali is on top of her game already. All systems are good to go.

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 10:19 AM

Originally posted by Kubala

Understood; Sorry.

You only have five posts. No problem. Welcome aboard, Kubala. As long as you have access to the hallowed halls of SBR, you're golden.

grey area · 03-22-15, 10:26 AM

Looks like we both had a lack luster day, Let's get them back

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 10:28 AM

Rise and shin

everyone and good morning!

03.22.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

PHI +115
NYM +105
SD +105
CLE +115
CWS +100
CO +105

Enjoy your day.

Ali & Hayduke

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by grey area

Looks like we both had a lack luster day, Let's get them back

Lots of lack luster days when you bet nothing but dogs. We're used to it. Just the way it is.

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

03.22.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

PHI +115 Lost
NYM +105 Won
SD +105 Won
CLE +115 Won
CWS +100 Lost
CO +105 Won

Enjoy your day.

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

4-2 +2.30u

38-37-6 +3.70u 50.66%

Enjoy your evening!

Ali & Hayduke

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 07:20 PM

Good day with the dogs. Our goal is 50%, and we are a little above that now. We actually did bet one game today with real money, took the Mets because Sabbathia looks like crap. Ca- ching. But still air betting for the most part. No reason to go crazy in the pre-season.

funnyman · 03-22-15, 08:39 PM

Mitch,
When I checked SBR games I noticed Mets were -125 favorites because Harvey was starting. How did you get +105.Just curious.Good job today and this exhibition season.

mitch51 · 03-22-15, 08:47 PM

Originally posted by funnyman

Mitch,
When I checked SBR games I noticed Mets were -125 favorites because Harvey was starting. How did you get +105.Just curious.Good job today and this exhibition season.

It was a dog to begin with.

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 10:39 AM

Morning everyone!

03.23.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

NYM +110
NYY +115
PITS +105
STL +110
ATL +105
OAK +100
AZ +115
CWS +105
KC +105

Have a super day!

Ali & Hayduke

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 10:58 AM

If I was gonna bet real money today it'd be the White Sox. Just a hunch.

brandcorytoby · 03-23-15, 11:01 AM

Regular Season Plays

How many plays do you average per day during the regular Season?

Thanks

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by brandcorytoby

How many plays do you average per day during the regular Season?

Thanks

Probably around five, but there are days with zero and days with ten. You have to be somewhat bankrolled because of the occasional losing streak. You have to be patient, not get crazy, and stick with your game plan. You WILL cash half your dog tickets for a nice profit if you do this. It's pretty much the only way to go betting baseball. Dogs, dogs, and more dogs.

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 11:27 AM

Brandcorytoby, our record last year with the dogs was 186-186. Add these together, divide by number of days in the season and there you go. Would do this, we are still busy capping...

McCarthyFam · 03-23-15, 02:22 PM

of course the cardinals game gets called. only needed another half inning of play for it to be official -__-

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 02:50 PM

Originally posted by McCarthyFam

of course the cardinals game gets called. only needed another half inning of play for it to be official -__-

Boo

Ali

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 06:28 PM

Originally posted by mitch51

03.23.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

NYM +110 Won
NYY +115 Lost
PITS +105 Won
STL +110 Cancel
ATL +105 Won
OAK +100 Lost
AZ +115 Lost
CWS +105 Lost
KC +105 Lost

Have a super day!

Ali & Hayduke

Update:

3-5 -1.80u

41-42-6 +1.90u 49.4%

Enjoy your afternoon, evening.

Ali & Hayduke

bradley121 · 03-23-15, 06:31 PM

am sure its in last years thread..but what was units won last year

mitch51 · 03-23-15, 06:44 PM

Originally posted by bradley121

am sure its in last years thread..but what was units won last year

Post 1, first paragraph:

Hello everyone,

We are back after a successful year last year. We just want to let you know the way we are going to be rolling this year. For the first two months until June 1st we can pretty much guarantee that we won't be betting one favorite as they are basically worthless at the beginning of the year. We have been lucky enough to have been able to cap dogs to where they win 50% of the time in the past three years. FYI, last year we went 186-186 with the dogs which translated into a large profit +26.23u. In addition, our totals were at 60% and showed a good profit too. These were derived capping the umpires however we will be doing our totals a little bit different this year expecting even better results.

16kredit · 03-24-15, 07:42 AM

Do you know what was your largest/longest losing period? or how many units. For example -10 units for the worst week.
Im asking this to calculate my new average unit size for this season.

mitch51 · 03-24-15, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by 16kredit

Do you know what was your largest/longest losing period? or how many units. For example -10 units for the worst week.
Im asking this to calculate my new average unit size for this season.

Hi, 16credit, that's really a good question. Last year the most we ever lost was eight in a row going into the All-Star break. But immediately after that we turned around and won nine in a row. But we did drop some units in July for sure. Personally we recommend that you bet no more than 2% of your bankroll per bet. Also, we strongly recommend you bet them all. Although some of these dogs just look terrible, these are the ones that seem to cash half the time. We have learned not to drop any. This year we will take a little time off at the break, just a very volatile time for these dogs.

Welcome aboard. Develop a game plan and stick by your guns. We are gonna cash on half of these dogs, we just don't know which half.

16kredit · 03-24-15, 10:58 AM

thank you mate, appreciate it. Yea I learned it the hard way, plays you dislike are the ones that hit and plays you are trusting break your heart. Going to stick to your plays and ride till end.

mitch51 · 03-24-15, 11:43 AM

Ah busy morning and Hello everyone!

03.24.15 Tracking Spring Training games:

BAL +100
HOU +115
CHI +105
SEA +105
MIL +100

Enjoy your day, cloudy here and hope sunn

your way!

Ali & Hayduke