MLB FADE THE PUBLIC 5-GAME CHASE (risk .0075% of bankroll, then 75% of loss martingal

HappyKane · 05-20-14, 11:09 AM

Correction:

CHASE 2, 1st of 5
Astros +145 1st 5 innings
$35 to win $85.75

HappyKane · 05-21-14, 08:10 AM

CHASE 1 is a winner as Fister took a W over Cueto with conviction.

CHASE 2 is a loser and will go to 2nd try on the next qualified "fade the public" play.

Both [blue] A+ rated pitchers went 2-0 on Tuesday, Fister and Teheran.

There are two A+ rated pitchers today: Wandy Rodriguez and Ervin Santana.

67% of the public on Milwaukee today? I find that hard to believe.

I'll be back in about 8 hours to confirm a play; most likely will be on the Braves.

HappyKane · 05-21-14, 06:07 PM

No play today. Milwaukee support dropped to below 59%.

HappyKane · 05-22-14, 10:57 AM

Possible qualifier for a "fade the public" play on Pittsburgh.

I do expect the market to verge on Pittsburgh. But if the percentage is 59% or above on Washington it'll be a play.

CHASE 2, 2nd of 5 pending.

HappyKane · 05-22-14, 05:21 PM

OFFICIAL FADE THE PUBLIC CHASE PLAY

CHASE 2, 2nd of 5
Pirates -123
$63 to win $51.22

244858871-1

5/22/14 6:16pm

$63.00

$51.22

Pending

5/22/14 7:05pm MLB Baseball 906 Pittsburgh Pirates -123* vs Washington Nationals (B Treinen - R must Start E Volquez - R must Start)

JM17 · 05-22-14, 05:25 PM

pretty sweet strategy.

HappyKane · 05-24-14, 10:44 AM

3 FADE THE PUBLIC PLAYS TODAY!

CHASE 3, 1st of 5
Blue Jays +100
$42 to win $42

CHASE 4, 1st of 5
White Sox +104
$45 to win $46.80

CHASE 5, 1st of 5
Pirates -113
$40 to win $35.40

245039863-1	5/24/14 11:32am	$45.00	$46.80	Pending	5/24/14 2:10pm MLB Baseball 918 Chicago White Sox +104* vs New York Yankees (V Nuno - L must Start J Danks - L must Start)

245039701-1	5/24/14 11:29am	$40.00	$35.40	Pending	5/24/14 7:15pm MLB Baseball 912 Pittsburgh Pirates -113* vs Washington Nationals (S Strasburg - R must Start G Cole - R must Start)

245039634-1	5/24/14 11:29am	$42.00	$42.00	Pending	5/24/14 1:05pm MLB Baseball 916 Toronto Blue Jays +100* vs Oakland Athletics (J Chavez - R must Start R Dickey - R must Start)

HappyKane · 05-25-14, 11:33 AM

CHASE 3, 1st of 5 WIN!
CHASE 5, 1st of 5 WIN!
CHASE 4, 1st of 5 LOSE!

Belisario blew what would've been a perfect day.

CHASE 4 now goes to 2nd of 5.

And that play is:

Rockies +159
$77 to win $122.43

245212413-1

5/25/14 12:30pm

$77.00

$122.43

Pending

5/25/14 5:10pm MLB Baseball 961 Colorado Rockies +159* vs Atlanta Braves (F Morales - L must Start J Teheran - R must Start)

goduke · 05-25-14, 11:37 AM

so you chase a team that lost with a different team, your strategy doesnt make a whole lot of sense.

HappyKane · 05-25-14, 12:46 PM

Originally posted by goduke

so you chase a team that lost with a different team, your strategy doesnt make a whole lot of sense.

So you don't understand the title of the thread:

MLB FADE THE PUBLIC CHASE 5-GAME CHASE.

I've been doing running this mojo system (rating system) since 2006. This is the 4th year of tracking. The first season of doing this CHASE system.

In the 4 years, i learned that EVERY TEAM IS SUSCEPTIBLE to being swept.

Betting on the same team in a series to NOT GET SWETPT is a very good way to burn your bankroll.

After 3 years of tracking games where the public loses, this is a much better system than CHASING a single team. On top of that most of the plays will be underdogs so i will never need to double down.

I have almost 10K working bankroll. If this CHASE SYSTEM loses 1 game, its about a $350 loss.

I've no doubt i'll go 56-0 before people catch on to what a GREAT system this is.

Don't start tailing yet people. Wait 'till i go 56-0.

HappyKane · 05-26-14, 08:14 AM

Totally forgot. Part of the filter was to stay away from over +150 underdogs.

HappyKane · 05-26-14, 08:16 AM

YTD record: 4-0 +$9.37

3 possible FADE THE PUBLIC plays for Monday, May 26:

MIA 31%
WAS 69%

CHC 39%
SF 61%

TB 40%
TOR 60%

The market is catching onto Tampa Bay. Overnight line was TB +145 and is settling near +130. Toronto support could dip below 59%.

The market for Washington and San Francisco should sustain, staying over 60%.

In that case, CHASE 4, 3rd of 5 will be on Miami Marlins.

Chicago Cubs will be CHASE 6, 1st of 5.

Tampa Bay Rays will be CHASE 7, 1st of 5 if the market average maintain.

HappyKane · 05-26-14, 08:55 AM

Update:

MIA 25%
WAS 75%

CHC 43%
SF 57%

TB 30%
TOR 70%

Chicago Cubs no longer a qualified CHASE play.

HappyKane · 05-26-14, 03:05 PM

http://i171.photobucket.com/albums/u293/hapkane11/MLB05-26bets.png

CHASE 4, 3rd of 5
Marlins +118
$131 to win $154.58

CHASE 6, 1st of 5
Rays +135
$40 to win $54

Locked in TB Rays overnight at +145, $131 to win $189.95. Will use the posted play of $40 for record keeping.

play4win · 05-27-14, 12:28 AM

what site do you go to fade the public?
can you post all the rule?

HappyKane · 05-27-14, 12:28 PM

No FADE THE PUBLIC play for May 27.

Next qualified play will be CHASE 6, 2nd of 5.

HappyKane · 05-28-14, 08:51 AM

The market is verging on the Mets and support for the Pirates may dip below 59% but i am going to make this a play a few hours before first-pitch.

I have surgery [for peritoneal dialysis] in about 5 hours so i will not be able to monitor anyways.

CHASE 6, 2nd of 5
Mets -106
$70 to win $66.04

matt1216 · 05-28-14, 09:11 AM

Originally posted by HappyKane

The market is verging on the Mets and support for the Pirates may dip below 59% but i am going to make this a play a few hours before first-pitch.

I have surgery [for peritoneal dialysis] in about 5 hours so i will not be able to monitor anyways.

CHASE 6, 2nd of 5
Mets -106
$70 to win $66.04

Good luck, my intial gut feeling was the mets today. Good luck on the surgery man

HappyKane · 05-29-14, 11:00 AM

No FADE THE PUBLIC play for Thursday, May 29th.

YTD record: 6-0 +$189.99

Next play will be CHASE 7, 1st of 5.

Joe D. 416 · 05-29-14, 11:16 AM

Love this thread. Keep it up buddy we all appreciate it!!!

HappyKane · 05-30-14, 01:42 PM

Looks like we may have 2 FADE THE PUBLIC plays today.

Here are the percentages as of noon Pacific time:

NYM 32%
PHI 68%

CIN 74%
ARI 26%

I will re-check the numbers in about 3 hours.

gressyville · 05-30-14, 03:03 PM

what site do you use to check these %s?

HappyKane · 05-30-14, 05:16 PM

2 plays for May 30th:

CHASE 7, 1st of 5
Mets +117
$45 to win $52.65

CHASE 8, 1st of 5
Diamondbacks -118
$40 to win $33.90

HappyKane · 05-31-14, 09:45 AM

Two losers yesterday.

3 possible qualifiers for May 31st.

SD 38%
CWS 62%

BAL 59%
HOU 41%

DET 74%
SEA 26%

CHASE 7 & 8 goes to 2nd leg.

Could start CHASE 9 today if all 3 qualifiers get the green light.

keel44 · 05-31-14, 10:10 AM

Maybe D-backs again?

HappyKane · 05-31-14, 11:11 AM

Looks like there will be 3 plays for Saturday, May 31st.

CHASE 7, 2nd of 5
Padres -124
$79 to win $63.71

CHASE 8, 2nd of 5
Astros -132
$70 to win $53.03

Will lock in the DET/SEA play later today as a possible 3rd leg or new CHASE.

HappyKane · 05-31-14, 06:28 PM

Got the win with the Padres. But i messed up with the Astros.

Keuchel actually had a bad rating. He's been so good that i actually upgraded him to a good rating.

The correct play would have been the Cubs as Hammel had a good A+ rating and Peralta actually had a bad rating but i upgraded him.

NO PLAY on the Mariners tonight. Detroit is steaming like crazy and i can't trust the Mariners against any lefty.

CHASE 8, 3rd try will have to wait another day.

HappyKane · 06-01-14, 11:48 AM

Went against my system and missed out on a 3-0 day as the Padres, Cubs and Mariners were the correct "fade the public" plays.

3 "fade the public" plays for Sunday, June 1st: CHASE 8, 3rd of 5 Royals +145 $123 to win $178.35 CHASE 9, 1st of 5 Mariners +127 $40 to win $50.80 CHASE 10, 1st of 5 Diamondbacks -138 $ 40 to win $28.99

HappyKane · 06-04-14, 12:14 PM

CHASE 8, 4th of 5
Padres -108
$215 to win $199.07

HappyKane · 06-06-14, 03:42 PM

3 qualified "fade the public" plays that went 2-1 yesterday but i opted out because i was very sick.

Got 3 plays for Friday, June 6:

CHASE 10, 2nd of 5
Orioles +100
$70 to win $70

CHASE 11, 1st of 5
Pirates -102
$45 to win $44.12

CHASE 12, 1st of 5
Padres -123
$45 to win $36.59

azsportswin · 06-06-14, 04:46 PM

"

forthewin · 06-06-14, 06:58 PM

"

HappyKane · 06-07-14, 11:08 AM

Yes. The Nationals/Padres game became disqualified near game-time.

But since the bet was already in. I'll count it as a bet an a loss.

I'll be sure to wait at least 'til 1 hour before first pitch next time.

HappyKane · 06-07-14, 11:13 AM

1 winner, 2 losers on Friday. System goes to 10-0, up $114.69.

That Oakland/Baltimore game was pretty crazy.

CHASE 10 goes to 3rd try and CHASE 12 goes to 2nd try.

2 possible plays today and as usual, they're tough ones to swallow -- will be betting on Roberto Hernandez and Kevin Gausman today. But hey, it was also hard pulling the trigger on Cumpton against Lohse. Just have to trust the system.

This is what we're looking at right now.

PHI 34% R. Hernandez
CIN 66% A. Simon

OAK 63% S. Gray
BAL 37% K. Gausman

The Phillies/Reds game starts in about 4 hours. I'll be back in 2 or so.