2014 MLB thread with friends

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 09:28 AM

Originally posted by mikmik

Wish you posted earlier

Do you now? LOL.

**mikmik** · 10-22-14, 09:49 AM

Lol I'm glad you did. I went with the lang fade.

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 05:42 PM

Well, let the chase begin....

KC -127 (5.08U to win 4)
KC TT over 3.5 +100 (1U to win 1)

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 05:44 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Well, let the chase begin....

KC -127 (5.08U to win 4)
KC TT over 3.5 +100 (1U to win 1)

Wow...do you think KC wins the series?

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:06 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Wow...do you think KC wins the series?

I think the series is a toss-up. I think they're dead if they lose tonight, which goes without saying.

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 06:07 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Wish someone had warned me about Lang. Still 0 for my life -- literally -- when I'm on the same side as him.

Post 44

Kansas City Royals -115 to win the World Seeries - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/players-talk/2980383-kansas-city-royals-115-win-world-seeries-p2.html

The SBR Lobby: Sports Talk, Gambling and Bettors Chat

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:10 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Post 44

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...eeries-p2.html

Yeah, I saw that a little while ago.

I wish SBR could set up an emergency text system that goes to my phone when you and/or Lang make a play.

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 06:12 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Yeah, I saw that a little while ago.

I wish SBR could set up an emergency text system that goes to my phone when you and/or Lang make a play.

Langs are posted everyday I believe in the service plays section. He's on SF today so you're safe.

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Langs are posted everyday I believe in the service plays section. He's on SF today so you're safe.

I know. I just haven't had time lately to check (or I don't remember).

Need to make it a priority.

**YouHave2outs** · 10-22-14, 06:37 PM

You don't need to make it a priority, yet. That clown always goes on a streak at the beginning of NBA before he fails mightily in the NFL playoffs and bowl season. Be forewarned. GL Coin, hell of a season.

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

I think the series is a toss-up. I think they're dead if they lose tonight, which goes without saying.

KC up to -135...definitely do not think this is warranted. Way too high IMO. May he on SF

**KRIT** · 10-22-14, 06:45 PM

Let's get it NC. I'm on Royals too.

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by YouHave2outs

You don't need to make it a priority, yet. That clown always goes on a streak at the beginning of NBA before he fails mightily in the NFL playoffs and bowl season. Be forewarned. GL Coin, hell of a season.

Yeah, true. I've noticed that.

Still, I try to steer clear of the times when I'm on the same side as him. It always ends in disaster.

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:46 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

KC up to -135...definitely do not think this is warranted. Way too high IMO. May he on SF

A little worried if it continues to steam higher, especially if it drops right before first pitch.

**YouHave2outs** · 10-22-14, 06:48 PM

my model has +120 and i give giants like 5 to 10 points off that cuz i don't think home field matters here as much and i do think experience factors slightly which is part of the previous point i guess. if the royals get runners on though, i feel like they're gonna have a decent time running. that's what makes me want to stay away. i had confidence in bumgarner keeping them off the base paths and neutralizing their speed as far as stealing second if they got on so i didn't account too much extra for that. i have to tonight as on this stage (as opposed to reg season) their speed value is underrepped for what my comp spits at me.

also if theres no buy back on this steam just before the game starts, you gotta think royals bettors have a ton of value at anything better than the closer. seems to work that way.

edit: exactly coin, if it gets pounded down before first pitch it's telling also a lot of the time.

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:48 PM

Thing that worries me about KC moving forward is that dealing with the down time between the LCS and WS is new to them. It's not to the Giants. Might wind up being a huge factor. Well that, and Bochy can manage circles around Yost.

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 06:49 PM

Originally posted by YouHave2outs

my model has +120 and i give giants like 5 to 10 points off that cuz i don't think home field matters here as much and i do think experience factors slightly which is part of the previous point i guess. if the royals get runners on though, i feel like they're gonna have a decent time running. that's what makes me want to stay away. i had confidence in bumgarner keeping them off the base paths and neutralizing their speed as far as stealing second if they got on so i didn't account too much extra for that. i have to tonight as on this stage (as opposed to reg season) their speed value is underrepped for what my comp spits at me.

also if theres no buy back on this steam just before the game starts, you gotta think royals bettors have a ton of value at anything better than the closer. seems to work that way.

Well said.

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 06:52 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

A little worried if it continues to steam higher, especially if it drops right before first pitch.

Exactly what I'm waiting to see...-140 now. Im liking SF more and more honestly

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 07:03 PM

Here comes the line drop...

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 07:03 PM

Adding:

KC -1.5 +170 (1U to win 1.7)
SF TT under 3.5 (1.2U to win 1)

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Here comes the line drop...

You on SF?

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 07:05 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Here comes the line drop...

Like a rock at CRIS.

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

You on SF?

I had to at +130. Just an auto play. SF is the #1 road 1st inning scoring team in mlb so it also opens up live betting opportunities on KC.

If you're a pinny guy then Royals is the play.

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 07:12 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

I had to at +130. Just an auto play. SF is the #1 road 1st inning scoring team in mlb so it also opens up live betting opportunities on KC.

If you're a pinny guy then Royals is the play.

Nope, Im on SF

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 07:12 PM

There's my first inning run

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 07:15 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Nope, Im on SF

SF +1.5 actually

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

I had to at +130. Just an auto play. SF is the #1 road 1st inning scoring team in mlb so it also opens up live betting opportunities on KC.

If you're a pinny guy then Royals is the play.

Have you ever considered a career in fortune telling?

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Have you ever considered a career in fortune telling?

Live line wasn't even +$ after the top half so you are still in the driver's seat here.

**RavensFan2k3** · 10-22-14, 09:30 PM

**tatddy** · 10-22-14, 09:50 PM

Cheers coiner glad you had the right read.

**KRIT** · 10-22-14, 10:29 PM

Royals

**No coincidences** · 10-22-14, 11:45 PM

Originally posted by tatddy

Cheers coiner glad you had the right read.

Thanks my man.

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Originally posted by KRIT

Royals

Felt good to win one for a change. Helped that I actually did the legwork on this one vs. just chucking a dart.

**No coincidences** · 10-27-14, 11:34 PM

7-6, -3.16U playoffs
480-467, +109.53U thread

**No coincidences** · 10-28-14, 07:05 PM

sf plus 136

3u to win 4.08

**Big Bear** · 10-28-14, 07:21 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

sf plus 136

3u to win 4.08

you got a good # i saw it at +133 and by the time submitted my bet it dropped down to +125.... but hey i feel more confident knowing i'm going with the steam and not against the grain.