10+ Runs Home Chase System

skyscrapers · 05-04-14, 12:44 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 03 Sat)

Chase #69: WIN (+1.0u)
MIL @ CIN [ML] 1.83 (A) May 02 Fri 4:10p PDT - LOSS (-1.205u)
MIL @ CIN [ML] 1.68 (B) May 03 Sat 4:10p PDT - WIN (+2.205u)

Chase #72: WIN (+1.04u)
STL @ CHC [+1.5 RL] 2.04 (A) May 03 Sat - WIN (+1.04u)

Chase #73: WIN (+1.0u)
CWS @ CLE [ML] 1.61 (A) May 03 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #74: WIN (+1.0u)
TOR @ PIT [ML] 1.81 (A) May 03 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #75: WIN (+1.0u)
NYM @ COL [ML] 1.78 (A) May 03 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (63-5) +3.325u
Season High:+26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 04 Sun)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #76:
TOR @ PIT [ML] (A) May 04 Sun 10:35a PDT
SF @ PIT (B) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
SF @ PIT (C) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #77:
NYM @ COL [ML] (A) May 04 Sun 1:10p PDT
TEX @ COL (B) May 05 Mon 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ COL (C) May 06 Tue 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] (A) May 04 Sun 10:05a PDT
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

skyscrapers · 05-05-14, 08:28 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 04 Sun)

None

Record: (63-5) +3.325u
Season High:+26.305u
Season Low:-13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

Chase #76:
TOR @ PIT [ML] 1.82 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.22u)
SF @ PIT [ML] (B) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
SF @ PIT (C) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #77:
NYM @ COL [ML] 1.80 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.25u)
TEX @ COL [ML] (B) May 05 Mon 5:40p PDT
TEX @ COL (C) May 06 Tue 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 05 Mon)

Chase #56:
HOU @ DET [ML] (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

skyscrapers · 05-05-14, 06:05 PM

Locked in PIT moneyline

TakingVegasMoney · 05-06-14, 05:12 AM

Originally posted by skyscrapers

Locked in PIT moneyline

I wasn't sure what the play was so I just went with the RL. well worth it! Good hit!

skyscrapers · 05-06-14, 08:20 AM

Originally posted by TakingVegasMoney

I wasn't sure what the play was so I just went with the RL. well worth it! Good hit!

Yup, that worked out for you for sure!! The lines were so close it closed even on Pinny.

skyscrapers · 05-06-14, 08:37 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 05 Mon)

Chase #56: WIN (+1.0u)
HOU @ DET [ML] 1.38 (A) May 05 Mon - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #77: WIN (+1.0u)
NYM @ COL [ML] 1.80 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.25u)
TEX @ COL [ML] (B) May 05 Mon - WIN (+2.25u)

Record: (65-5) +5.325u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB [ML] (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT

Chase #76:
TOR @ PIT [ML] 1.82 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.22u)
SF @ PIT [ML] 1.96 (B) May 05 Mon - LOSS (-2.315u)
SF @ PIT [+1.5 RL] (C) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 06 Tue)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #79:
KC @ SD [ML] (A) May 06 Tue 7:10p PDT
KC @ SD (B) May 07 Wed 12:40p PDT (If Necessary)
MIA @ SD (C) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #80:
ARI @ MIL [ML] (A) May 06 Tue 5:10p PDT
ARI @ MIL (B) May 07 Wed 10:10a PDT (If Necessary)
NYY @ MIL (C) May 09 Fri 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #81:
TEX @ COL [ML] (A) May 06 Tue 5:40p PDT
SD @ COL (B) May 16 Fri 5:40p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ COL (C) May 17 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

skyscrapers · 05-06-14, 05:56 PM

PIT +1.5 RL for tonight.

skyscrapers · 05-07-14, 12:19 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 06 Tue)

Chase #55: LOSS (-15.765u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB [ML] 1.74 (C) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-9.635u)

Chase #76: WIN (+1.0u)
TOR @ PIT [ML] 1.82 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.22u)
SF @ PIT [ML] 1.96 (B) May 05 Mon - LOSS (-2.315u)
SF @ PIT [+1.5 RL] 1.63 (C) May 06 Tue - WIN (+4.535u)

Chase #81: WIN (+1.0u)
TEX @ COL [ML] 1.84 (A) May 06 Tue - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (67-6) -8.44u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #79:
KC @ SD [ML] 1.92 (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.085u)
KC @ SD [+1.5 RL] (B) May 07 Wed 12:40p PDT
MIA @ SD (C) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #80:
ARI @ MIL 1.71[ML] (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.41u)
ARI @ MIL [ML] (B) May 07 Wed 10:10a PDT
NYY @ MIL (C) May 09 Fri 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 07 Wed)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #82:
HOU @ DET [ML] (A) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 08 Thu 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
MIN @ DET (C) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #83:
SD @ COL (A) May 16 Fri 5:40p PDT
SD @ COL (B) May 17 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ COL (C) May 18 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

J.M. Disciple · 05-07-14, 12:46 AM

Stopped by this thread a few times and wasn't sure. Seems like it has been well backtested and dont see anyone disproving the numbers. Haters are going to hate because most people dont have the balls to risk 10 units to win 1 on the D bet. However, as Grinder has stated multiple times on his chase systems when you lose A B C in the past their history. You are not betting 10 units to win 1 you are betting 10 to win 9 or whatever the odds are. With that said, april is out of the way and system is still up just a little bit. Now is a great time for me to jump on board and get a nice cushion before another downswing happens.

Will be following on3, 10run home chase (this one), and cisco.... I dont have a link to cisco google docs though if someone could PM me the link it would be much appreciated it. I know people have it in this thread.

Great Job so far Sky. Just ignore the nay sayers and let the numbers / backtest speak for themselves. Some people are allergic to money.

edit... nvm I found the cisco chase.

skyscrapers · 05-07-14, 03:38 AM

You are not betting 10 units to win 1 you are betting 10 to win 9 or whatever the odds are.

This is exactly what it is.

Stifler also has a few systems that you may consider. Before tonight's TB chase loss our profit was around the same vicinity as his. Too bad TB couldn't get it done and now we are down 8 but we should get it all back in a few days barring anymore losses. Like you said the best time to jump on is after a loss.

yoderlw · 05-07-14, 04:57 AM

I am following some of the other chases on SBR. After looking at these other chases there is one modification I think you may want to look into Sky. These other chases split the teams up into different "Tiers". The "tiers" are based on different criteria but I believe they do this to avoid chasing bad teams. For instance, in regards to your system, lets say Houston has a lucky night at the plate, maybe even goes into extra innings, and wins 7-5. Now we are chasing a really bad team that could very easily lose their next 3 games, especially if they are playing a really good team(s). So if teams are split up into "tiers" based on which teams you want to chase versus other team that you may want to fade, you could avoid chasing really bad teams (TB is obviously not a really bad team, and there will still obviously be losses). Just a thought.

yoderlw · 05-07-14, 04:58 AM

Also, it seems like most of the other chases are 4-game chases. Bigger risk obviously but it seems to work out.

yoderlw · 05-07-14, 04:59 AM

Good insight J.M. I have heard of this Cisco. Where did you end up finding him?

TakingVegasMoney · 05-07-14, 09:27 PM

I'm such a jackass. I played every game but the tigers game. Brain farttt

skyscrapers · 05-07-14, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by TakingVegasMoney

I'm such a jackass. I played every game but the tigers game. Brain farttt

I played every game EXCEPT San Diego because I waited too long and missed the play. Considered live play but they were down 3-0 already in the 1st so I just skipped the play and it worked out.

J.M. Disciple · 05-07-14, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by yoderlw

Good insight J.M. I have heard of this Cisco. Where did you end up finding him?

searched "cisco" in the MLB betting forum and his 3 systems popped up. The link to the google docs is inside the the threads.

yoderlw · 05-07-14, 10:20 PM

Thanks JM

skyscrapers · 05-08-14, 01:51 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 07 Wed)

Chase #82: WIN (+1.0u)
HOU @ DET [ML] (A) May 07 Wed - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (68-6) -7.44u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #79:
KC @ SD [ML] 1.92 (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.085u)
KC @ SD [+1.5 RL] 1.60 (B) May 07 Wed - LOSS (-3.475u)
MIA @ SD [ML] (C) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT

Chase #80:
ARI @ MIL [ML] 1.71 (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.41u)
ARI @ MIL [ML] 1.67 (B) May 07 Wed - LOSS (-3.595u)
NYY @ MIL (C) May 09 Fri 5:10p PDT

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 08 Thu)

Chase #62:
KC @ SEA [ML] (A) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT
KC @ SEA (B) May 09 Fri 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 10 Sat 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #83:
SD @ COL (A) May 16 Fri 5:40p PDT
SD @ COL (B) May 17 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ COL (C) May 18 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #84:
PHI @ TOR [ML] (A) May 08 Thu 4:05p PDT
LAA @ TOR (B) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
LAA @ TOR (C) May 10 Sat 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #85:
CHC @ CWS [ML] (A) May 08 Thu 5:10p PDT
ARI @ CWS (B) May 09 Fri 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
ARI @ CWS (C) May 10 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

skyscrapers · 05-08-14, 02:32 AM

Originally posted by yoderlw

Also, it seems like most of the other chases are 4-game chases. Bigger risk obviously but it seems to work out.

Finally got some time to finish the backtest with a 4-gamer.

2013 TOTAL: (355-8 = 0.978) +95.82u

2012 TOTAL: (383-9 = 0.977) +84.405u

2011 TOTAL: (360-12 = 0.968) –6.48u

2010 TOTAL: (438-17 = 0.963) -117.427u

2009 TOTAL: (443-15 = 0.967) -94.605u

Definitely much bigger risk but just like I always thought it doesn't necessarily translate to bigger reward.
Plus you've got to be prepared to lose over 100u before you may start seeing any profit if any.

The average series lost is -28.4u
The highest series lost is -57.465u (PHI: 2011)

Modifications are needed in the future no doubt but I don't think going to a 4-gamer is a good idea at the moment.

skyscrapers · 05-08-14, 02:52 AM

Originally posted by yoderlw

I am following some of the other chases on SBR. After looking at these other chases there is one modification I think you may want to look into Sky. These other chases split the teams up into different "Tiers". The "tiers" are based on different criteria but I believe they do this to avoid chasing bad teams. For instance, in regards to your system, lets say Houston has a lucky night at the plate, maybe even goes into extra innings, and wins 7-5. Now we are chasing a really bad team that could very easily lose their next 3 games, especially if they are playing a really good team(s). So if teams are split up into "tiers" based on which teams you want to chase versus other team that you may want to fade, you could avoid chasing really bad teams (TB is obviously not a really bad team, and there will still obviously be losses). Just a thought.

The thing with 'bad' teams is they often cover the runline. All MLB teams from 2005-2010 played to a 1-run game 27.2% of the time. Houston for example is regarded as a 'bad' team and they lost 6 series between 2009-2013. Boston is considered a 'good' team and they lost 8 series in the same time period. In terms of units, Boston lost twice as much units as Houston because of the juice that we pay for 'good' teams.

I think a reliable way to determine which are good or bad teams is by run differential or run scored.

snark · 05-08-14, 06:59 AM

Checking in. Dumbass is still losing. That'll be the result in Oct also. Keep up the good job. He-He.

yoderlw · 05-08-14, 08:03 AM

Great information and good point about"bad" trends covering the RL. Things are looking up!

J.M. Disciple · 05-08-14, 04:27 PM

definitely stick to 3 game chase. Would be nice to see a graph or something of the variance if you have all the data in excel or something. Variance is key in any system in terms of bankroll management. Some people see 80 units of profit a season, and figure the system can not lose! So their unit size is way too high.

TakingVegasMoney · 05-09-14, 08:05 AM

Damn padres lose in extras

snark · 05-09-14, 09:00 AM

You need to get used to that TakingVegas. Losing will continue.

skyscrapers · 05-09-14, 09:47 AM

Originally posted by TakingVegasMoney

Damn padres lose in extras

Padres are a pathetic team. They are dead last in almost every stat...runs, RBI, batting avg...you name it.
Kennedy did his job but his team sucks. The only run scored is by their pitcher too.

snark · 05-09-14, 10:32 AM

But, you just blindly play them 3 games, and lose another 12.80 units on the chase. And this is why your are an gambling idiot. And why did you play it? Because 10 runs were scored in some fuking game way back when. Makes a lot of sense doesn't it???? But you guys just hang in there, you haven't seen your money go down the drain yet. There's are lot of this to come in a big way. I'll check next week and see bad it's gotten. Milwaukee tonight, it's not one of my 3 games. If they lose, there goes another 11 units or so.

Discipline · 05-09-14, 12:23 PM

Everyone can play this system at their own risk. Skyscrapers has made all information public.

Its up to every individual to read, understand and verify it.

Nobody needs your comments.

skyscrapers · 05-09-14, 01:35 PM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 08 Thu)

Chase #79: LOSS (-13.115u)
KC @ SD [ML] 1.92 (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.085u)
KC @ SD [+1.5 RL] 1.60 (B) May 07 Wed - LOSS (-3.475u)
MIA @ SD [ML] 1.65 (C) May 08 Thu - LOSS (-8.555u)

Chase #62: WIN (+1.0u)
KC @ SEA [ML] 1.83 (A) May 08 Thu - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #84: WIN (+1.0u)
PHI @ TOR [ML] 1.70 (A) May 08 Thu - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (70-7) -18.555u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -18.555u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #80:
ARI @ MIL [ML] 1.71 (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.41u)
ARI @ MIL [ML] 1.67 (B) May 07 Wed - LOSS (-3.595u)
NYY @ MIL [+1.5 RL] (C) May 09 Fri 5:10p PDT

Chase #85:
CHC @ CWS [ML] 1.85 (A) May 08 Thu - LOSS (-1.175)
ARI @ CWS [+1.5 RL] (B) May 09 Fri 5:10p PDT
ARI @ CWS (C) May 10 Sat 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 09 Fri)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #71:
HOU @ BAL [ML] (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
HOU @ BAL (B) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ BAL (C) May 11 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #83:
SD @ COL (A) May 16 Fri 5:40p PDT
SD @ COL (B) May 17 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ COL (C) May 18 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #86:
LAA @ TOR [+1.5 RL] (A) May 09 Fri 4:05p PDT
LAA @ TOR (B) May 10 Sat 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
LAA @ TOR (C) May 11 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #87:
OAK @ CLE (A) May 16 Fri 4:05p PDT
OAK @ CLE (B) May 17 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
OAK @ CLE (C) May 18 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)

skyscrapers · 05-09-14, 02:06 PM

Looking back to past years, the system is showing we're having our second best start in the last 6 years.
Everyone has to understand no system is going to be above water every single day for the entire season.
In chase systems you have to endure losses (big losses) at some point for extended periods.

Obviously that one idiot that knows nothing about chases thinks for a system to be successful you have to be above water every single day. Now that is what's called a dumbass my friends...

Series losses up to and including May 09:
2014: 7 losses (-88.595u)
2013: 9 losses (-116.385u)
2012: 7 losses (-97.94u)
2011: 6 losses (-77.795u)
2010: 9 losses (-129.473u)
2009: 9 losses (-112.595u)

snark · 05-09-14, 03:38 PM

Sounds like you are trying to sell this dumb idea. Don't try to convince anyone to follow. It's at their own risk. You will be in the hole by Oct.
I know a lot about chases, and anything over 2 is very dangerous to your bankroll. And 2 is pushing sanity. Until next week.

skyscrapers · 05-09-14, 05:56 PM

Toronto +1.5 RL

skyscrapers · 05-10-14, 02:25 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 09 Fri)

Chase #71: WIN (+1.0u)
HOU @ BAL [ML] 1.62 (A) May 09 Fri - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #80: LOSS (-13.585u)
ARI @ MIL [ML] 1.71 (A) May 06 Tue - LOSS (-1.41u)
ARI @ MIL [ML] 1.67 (B) May 07 Wed - LOSS (-3.595u)
NYY @ MIL [+1.5 RL] 1.70 (C) May 09 Fri - LOSS (-8.58u)

Chase #85: WIN (+1.0u)
CHC @ CWS [ML] 1.85 (A) May 08 Thu - LOSS (-1.175u)
ARI @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.71 (B) May 09 Fri - WIN (+2.175u)

Chase #86: WIN (+1.0u)
LAA @ TOR [+1.5 RL] 1.65 (A) May 09 Fri - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (73-8) -29.14u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -29.14u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 10 Sat)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #83:
SD @ COL (A) May 16 Fri 5:40p PDT
SD @ COL (B) May 17 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ COL (C) May 18 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #87:
OAK @ CLE (A) May 16 Fri 4:05p PDT
OAK @ CLE (B) May 17 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
OAK @ CLE (C) May 18 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #88:
STL @ PIT [+1.5 RL] (A) May 10 Sat 4:05p PDT
STL @ PIT (B) May 11 Sun 5:05p PDT (If Necessary)
BAL @ PIT (C) May 20 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #89:
MIA @ SD [+1.5 RL] (A) May 10 Sat 5:40p PDT
MIA @ SD (B) May 11 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
MIN @ SD (C) May 20 Tue 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #90:
ARI @ CWS [ML] (A) May 10 Sat 4:10p PDT
ARI @ CWS (B) May 11 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
NYY @ CWS (C) May 22 Thu 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

snark · 05-10-14, 06:55 AM

Aw shucks, Milwaukee lost, as expected. Your system (guesses) aren't worth a damn, but your write ups sure are pretty. Very colorful. You are getting a lot of red ones. Isn't the object to have more green ones? Only down 30 units in 6 weeks. Not to worry, you only need 30 wins to be even. Are you sure that you aren't DarkKnight in disguise? You're as bad as he was last season. He-He-He. Have a nice weekend.

skyscrapers · 05-11-14, 03:27 AM

COMPLETED CHASES (May 10 Sat)

Chase #88: WIN (+1.0u)
STL @ PIT [+1.5 RL] 1.65 (A) May 10 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)

Chase #89: WIN (+1.0u)
MIA @ SD [+1.5 RL] 1.59 (A) May 10 Sat - WIN (+1.0u)

Record: (75-8) -27.14u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -29.14u

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:

Chase #78:
TB @ NYY [ML] 1.75 (A) May 04 Sun - LOSS (-1.335u)
NYM @ NYY (B) May 12 Mon 4:05p PDT
NYM @ NYY (C) May 13 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #90:
ARI @ CWS [ML] 1.86 (A) May 10 Sat - LOSS (-1.16u)
ARI @ CWS [+1.5 RL] (B) May 11 Sun 11:10a PDT
NYY @ CWS (C) May 22 Thu 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after May 11 Sun)

Chase #68:
CHC @ STL (A) May 12 Mon 5:05p PDT
CHC @ STL (B) May 13 Tue 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)
CHC @ STL (C) May 14 Wed 5:15p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #83:
SD @ COL (A) May 16 Fri 5:40p PDT
SD @ COL (B) May 17 Sat 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
SD @ COL (C) May 18 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #87:
OAK @ CLE (A) May 16 Fri 4:05p PDT
OAK @ CLE (B) May 17 Sat 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
OAK @ CLE (C) May 18 Sun 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #91:
MIA @ SD [ML] (A) May 11 Sun 1:10p PDT
MIN @ SD (B) May 20 Tue 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)
MIN @ SD (C) May 21 Wed 6:10p PDT (If Necessary)

Chase #92:
MIN @ DET [ML] (A) May 11 Sun 10:05a PDT
TEX @ DET (B) May 22 Thu 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
TEX @ DET (C) May 23 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)