40-20
-
Comment -
Very interesting. Why play mariners when the ML is -255 not worth the risk. Some advice any time the ML is
above -200 I would not play it. Any bad team on any given night can win.Comment -
Yeah I played SEA at -1 1/2 to avoid laying so much juice. Thought the bet would still win. Was wrong but at least didn't lose as muchComment -
COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 22 Tue)
Chase #18: WIN (+1.0u)
HOU @ TOR [ML] 1.51 (A) Apr. 10 Thu - LOSS (-1.96u)
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.69 (B) Apr. 22 Tue - WIN (+2.96u)
Chase #47: WIN (+1.0u)
NYY @ TB [ML] 1.77 (A) Apr. 20 Sun - LOSS (-1.3u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.44 (B) Apr. 22 Tue -WIN (+2.3u)
Chase #51: WIN (+1.0u)
SF @ COL [+1.5 RL] 1.66 (A) Apr. 22 Tue - WIN (+1.0u)
Record: (43-3) +4.325u
Season High: +26.305u
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:
Chase #48:
BAL @ BOS [ML] 1.65 (A) Apr. 21 Mon - LOSS (-1.54u)
NYY @ BOS [ML] 1.88 (B) Apr. 22 Tue - LOSS (-2.885u)
NYY @ BOS [ML] 1.88 (C) Apr. 23 Wed 4:05p PDT
Chase #50:
CIN @ PIT [+1.5 RL] 1.60 (A) Apr. 22 Tue - LOSS (-1.665u)
CIN @ PIT [ML] 1.80 (B) Apr. 23 Wed 4:05p PDT
CIN @ PIT (C) Apr. 24 Thu 9:35a PDT (If Necessary)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 23 Wed)
Chase #33:
PIT @ STL (A) Apr. 25 Fri 5:15p PDT
PIT @ STL (B) Apr. 26 Sat 1:05 PDT (If Necessary)
PIT @ STL (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:15a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #39:
DET @ MIN (A) Apr. 25 Fri 5:10p PDT
DET @ MIN (B) Apr. 26 Sat 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
DET @ MIN (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #52:
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed 4:05p PDT
BAL @ TOR (B) Apr. 24 Thu 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
BOS @ TOR (C) Apr. 25 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed 11:20a PDT
ARI @ CHC (B) Apr. 24 Thu 11:20a PDT (If Necessary)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #54:
CWS @ DET [ML] 1.54 (A) Apr. 23 Wed 4:05p PDT
CWS @ DET (B) Apr. 24 Thu 10:05a PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed 4:10p PDT
MIN @ TB (B) Apr. 24 Thu 10:10a PDT (If Necessary)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)Comment -
The top 3 teams I really really hate at this moment in no particular order: Astros, Mariners & Cubbies.
Gonna add the Pirates to that hate list pretty soon...Comment -
I'm with ya sky. And I think it is time to put the Pirates on the list. I'm worried about them tomorrow already. Cincy has Cingrani going for them. He's only 1-2 but the kid is a stud. Maybe we get a good line at +1 1/2 for the Pirates.Comment -
I think most of our losses have a good chance of winning tomorrow, and if Pitt can pull one out we'll be sitting pretty high on the horse againComment -
Ha...15 games today and none of them qualified for a new chase.
Don't think that has happened since the first days of the season!!Comment -
The tigers are another team I don't like betting on. Such heavy juice on all their starters!Comment -
COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 23 Wed)
Chase #48: WIN (+1.0u)
BAL @ BOS [ML] 1.65 (A) Apr. 21 Mon - LOSS (-1.54u)
NYY @ BOS [ML] 1.88 (B) Apr. 22 Tue - LOSS (-2.885u)
NYY @ BOS [ML] 1.88 (C) Apr. 23 Wed - WIN (+5.425u)
Record: (44-3) +5.325u
Season High: +26.305u
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:
Chase #50:
CIN @PIT [+1.5 RL] 1.60 (A) Apr. 22 Tue - LOSS (-1.665u)
CIN @ PIT [ML] 1.80 (B) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-3.33)
CIN @ PIT [ML] 1.93 (C) Apr. 24 Thu 9:35a PDT
Chase #52:
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
BAL @ TOR [ML] (B) Apr. 24 Thu 4:05p PDT
BOS @ TOR (C) Apr. 25 Fri 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] (B) Apr. 24 Thu 11:20a PDT
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #54:
CWS @ DET [ML] 1.54 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.85u)
CWS @ DET [ML] 1.45 (B) Apr. 24 Thu 10:05a PDT
HOU @ DET (C) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu 10:10a PDT
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT (If Necessary)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 24 Thu)
Chase #33:
PIT @ STL (A) Apr. 25 Fri 5:15p PDT
PIT @ STL (B) Apr. 26 Sat 1:05 PDT (If Necessary)
PIT @ STL (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:15a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #39:
DET @ MIN (A) Apr. 25 Fri 5:10p PDT
DET @ MIN (B) Apr. 26 Sat 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
DET @ MIN (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)Comment -
The Cincy/Pitt line isn't even up yet. I think it's because Pitt hasn't announced their starter for today yet. I was listening to the game on the radio and they said it's probably gonna be a minor leaguer who was scratched from his start in the minors last night. Makes me even more nervous to bet on Pitt today.Comment -
I have to lock in PIT as a ML. It's currently a 1.91 favorite. Busy...can't hold off to gametime. Good Luck...Comment -
I got lucky again! I had already taken Pitt +1 1/2 before you changed it. Now it looks like we might be on TB for a C bet tomorrow.Comment -
Ya both Rays and Cubbies are C bet.
Boy you are a lucky guy!! As mind as well take the runline on every C bet
Comment -
Looks like we've got good pitchers going for us tomorrow in the TB and TOR games. Hope we have some good bats too. We're gonna have a lot of money on the line tomorrow nightComment -
I think both TB and TOR will be favored tomorrow so will probably be ML bets no?Comment -
COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 24 Thu)
Chase #50: LOSS (-11.44u)
CIN @ PIT [+1.5 RL] 1.60 (A) Apr. 22 Tue - LOSS (-1.665u)
CIN @ PIT [ML] 1.80 (B) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-3.33u)
CIN @ PIT [ML] 1.93 (C) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-6.445u)
Chase #54: WIN (+1.0u)
CWS @ DET [ML] 1.54 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.85u)
CWS @ DET [ML] 1.45 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - WIN (+1.0u)
Record: (45-4) -5.115u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -5.115u
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:
Chase #52:
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.74 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.885u)
BOS @ TOR [ML] (C) Apr. 25 Fri 4:05p PDT
Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT
Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 25 Fri)
Chase #33:
PIT @ STL [ML] (A) Apr. 25 Fri 5:15p PDT
PIT @ STL (B) Apr. 26 Sat 1:05 PDT (If Necessary)
PIT @ STL (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:15a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #39:
DET @ MIN [+1.5 RL] (A) Apr. 25 Fri 5:10p PDT
DET @ MIN (B) Apr. 26 Sat 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
DET @ MIN (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)Comment -
He-He-He.Comment -
Buehrle is not having a good game at all.Comment -
Been waiting for the obvious downfall. Never had a chance, and it never will. Didn't even take 4 weeks to go in the hole. Longer than I expected. Toronto's down 6 in the 8th. If they lose that chase will only cost you about 8 1/2 more units. Then you'll only be down 13 1/2 units or so. $100 better down over $1300 the 1st month. That isn't to good. I know, things will get better. Optimism prevails. He-He-He. Don't count on it, and try not to go broke before I return. It's gonna get a helleva lot worse before it's over. You can count on that.
I warned you people on March 31, post #26. You only have yourselves and the dumbass king to blame. See ya later.Comment -
If only we were all as great as this moron. Save your breath Snark. If you had really been following the post you would know that we didn't actually lose 2 of the chases that you think we lost. We took the +1 1/2 RL and won. Low-life clowns like you are all the same Snark. You wait in the weeds prayer to see others fail so you can feel better about yourself. If I were you, and I'm glad I'm not, I would try to find other ways to create joy in your life. I can only speak for myself, but I will say that I bet on baseball for fun. This chase has been a lot of fun. I'm not a $100 dollar better and have not lost more than I am perfectly comfortable losing. Please dismiss yourself from this thread. You've said your piece, now go along and play somewhere else.Comment -
COMPLETED CHASES (Apr. 25 Fri)
Chase #52: LOSS (-9.6u)
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
BAL @ TOR [ML] 1.74 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.885u)
BOS @ TOR [ML] 1.90 (C) Apr. 25 Fri -LOSS (-5.58u)
Chase #33: WIN (+1.0u)
PIT @ STL [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 25 Fri - WIN (+1.0u)
Record: (46-5) -13.715u
Season High: +26.305u
Season Low: -13.715u
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
ACTIVE CHASES:
Chase #39:
DET @ MIN [+1.5 RL] 1.68 (A) Apr. 25 Fri - LOSS (-1.47u)
DET @ MIN [+1.5 RL] 1.73 (B) Apr. 26 Sat 11:10a PDT
DET @ MIN (C) Apr. 27 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #53:
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.135u)
ARI @ CHC [ML] 1.84 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-2.54u)
STL @ CHC (C) May 02 Fri 11:20a PDT
Chase #55:
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.57 (A) Apr. 23 Wed - LOSS (-1.755u)
MIN @ TB [ML] 1.63 (B) Apr. 24 Thu - LOSS (-4.375u)
BAL @ TB (C) May 06 Tue 4:10p PDT
---------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW CHASES: (Beginning on or after Apr. 26 Sat)
Chase #56:
HOU @ DET (A) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT
HOU @ DET (B) May 06 Tue 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
HOU @ DET (C) May 07 Wed 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #57:
TB @ CWS [+1.5 RL] 1.57 (A) Apr. 26 Sat 4:10p PDT
TB @ CWS (B) Apr. 27 Sun 11:10a PDT (If Necessary)
TB @ CWS (C) Apr. 28 Mon 5:10p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #58:
SD @ WSH [ML] 1.88 (A) Apr. 26 Sat 10:05a PDT
SD @ WSH (B) Apr. 27 Sun 10:35a PDT (If Necessary)
LAD @ WSH (C) May 05 Mon 4:05p PDT (If Necessary)
Chase #59:
TEX @ SEA [ML] 1.59 (A) Apr. 26 Sat 6:10p PDT
TEX @ SEA (B) Apr. 27 Sun 1:10p PDT (If Necessary)
KC @ SEA (C) May 08 Thu 7:10p PDT (If Necessary)Comment -
Just ignore these useless lazy human beings that don't do anything remotely useful in their life except to complain. I have absolutely no idea why that reject is so concerned about something that he has absolutely no interest in partaking. Talking smack before the system begins and then goes into hiding as we went on a 24-0 run. Lose a couple chases into the red today he starts sticking his ugly head out again. Very classy reject. Very classy.
It's been a bad few days no doubt about that...the last time I checked the season doesn't end on Apr. 26th. Every chase system, every regular capper will have its down moments or even a down season. People should play within their limits so they can afford their loses. I play only $10 per unit for chase systems (like Wallcos and mine) while I play $100/unit for cappers I follow like AJs. Yoder makes a good point, these chase systems is more for fun while making a bit of money along the way. Don't know why that idiot is so uptight about it.Comment -
Well said. Now let's get rolling again!Comment -
BUT, and the important part is, that your 24-0 run went straight down the shitter with 2 chase losses.Comment -
at 15 units/loss this system would be a looser if it had lost about 1% more chases. I think the uncertainty in this system is more then 1%. 264 units seems alot but at 15 units loss/series its really a small edge. Also there is no guarantee the backtest is accurate.The 5-year (2009-2013) updated backtest results are:
(1,955 - 147) +264.264u PROFIT
If think its possible to cut out some chases and not not play every 3rd game to improve the results of this system.Comment -
Sky, who is this AJ that you follow? Does he post on SBR?Comment -
You guys have no friggin idea what the true backtest is. Just because the dreamer says it has shown a profit for 4 years or 18 years means nothing to me. You have no proof, just what the idiot clams.
Yoderlw, asking about AJ is a good question. Have you wised up and are going to jump ship? Great decision on your part, because THIS ship is going down. Win 45 and lose 5, and down 13 1/2 units. Are you people crazy, or just begging for a winner? Hell, I'll give you some of those after May 1st when I start gambling baseball. On second thought, you've got Mr Wonderful, the village idiot to follow to the poorhouse.Comment -
Thanks a lot sky I really appreciate it. And I will still be following this chase. Let us know if we're going with ML or RL on some of these bets whenever you get a chance.Comment -
I think he decides RL or ML after the game's over. Get ready, Sunday could be another bad day.Comment
