MLB - Situation Plays - SDQL

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  • green7
    SBR High Roller
    • 10-21-10
    • 190

    #36
    HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division and SG.

    This one does well with the exception of series game 3.
    Comment
    • green7
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-21-10
      • 190

      #37
      HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division!=o:division
      Comment
      • Mako-SBR
        SBR Sharp
        • 10-15-13
        • 492

        #38
        Green, don't put sentence periods at the end of your queries, it may confuse the noobs trying to learn.
        Comment
        • nash13
          SBR MVP
          • 01-21-14
          • 1122

          #39
          hmm if you look at the las t seasons you can see that your trend is quite a bit upside down.
          Comment
          • b1slickguy
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-24-11
            • 11959

            #40
            Originally posted by OLY
            This is some cool stuff.

            Need to edit post.
            Post the actual query, not the link. Mods do not allow and will delete.
            Just a heads up for all.
            Good luck.
            Comment
            • green7
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-21-10
              • 190

              #41
              Typically a very good trend or angle will be winners either 3 out of 4, or 4 out of 5 years. Of course some angles reverse themselves and hopefully one doesn't bury themselves expecting it to turn around some time during the season.

              Often an exceptional angle that has a poor year has a very profitable season the next year.

              Is it always that way? If I could predict that, I would be writing this from my own personal tropical island.

              Away divisional dogs had a -3.2% ROI last year when deleting Saturday/Sunday games, the second losing year since 2004.

              Home divisional dogs <42% have been terrible the past two years after 8 straight years of profitability.

              Home non-divisional dogs <42% were good again last year.

              So, what will happen this year?....that is the essence of sports betting, it is discerning whether what has had relevance in the past will have it in the future. It is hoping, wishing and praying that what we do will pay off for ourselves, and it is hopefully helping some others along the way.

              Good fortune to all of us this year.
              Comment
              • JMon
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-11-09
                • 9800

                #42
                Originally posted by green7
                HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division and SG.

                This one does well with the exception of series game 3.
                Like it green..

                played around with one...only one losing season in db

                H and WP<55 and (month=4 or month=5) and SG!=3 and 170>=line>=105 and division=o:division
                Comment
                • figue
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-23-10
                  • 2524

                  #43
                  Originally posted by JMon
                  Like it green..

                  played around with one...only one losing season in db

                  H and WP<55 and (month=4 or month=5) and SG!=3 and 170>=line>=105 and division=o:division
                  look like arizona is the play here but if we filter total 8.5 giants look better..

                  H and WP < 55 and (month = 4 or month = 5) and SG != 3 and 170 >= line >= 105 and division = o:division and total = 8.5
                  Comment
                  • figue
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-23-10
                    • 2524

                    #44
                    HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division and total=8.5

                    giants
                    Comment
                    • green7
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 10-21-10
                      • 190

                      #45
                      Good find Figue.....one of those little quirks that can at least keep you off of a play and maybe go the other way. Of course if you lose when reversing a trend, the tendency is to beat yourself up a little bit.

                      We all have a bruise or two from doing that....haha.
                      Comment
                      • JR007
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-21-10
                        • 5279

                        #46
                        appreciate the learning curve, good luck this season.......you are right green, tough to figure what happened in the past will happen in the future......bases is the most statistical of all
                        Comment
                        • JMon
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 12-11-09
                          • 9800

                          #47
                          Rolling with my first play of the year and not for the faint of hearts. SD vs Greinke and LAD. Play SD.

                          WP>50 and H and 165>line>=100 and o:WP>50 and SG<4 and (month=4 or month=5 or month=9 or month=10)

                          HD in dog month (April, May, Sept, and Oct) when both teams have a winning record

                          D and p: DW and p:runs <= 3 and SG < 5 and total < 10 and conference=o:conference

                          In conference play, good to take a dog off a low run win as a dog

                          site==home and line>=100 and Average(errors@team and season)<=.5 and p:runs<=3 and po:runs<=3 and 2007<=season

                          Play home dogs that are good fielding teams after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. team=Padres were VERY good in this situation last year. This year...who knows????

                          gl if you play, like I said above I am only spot playing in here. I am a volume player and only hit 50-55% of my dogs plays.

                          Comment
                          • figue
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-23-10
                            • 2524

                            #48
                            Originally posted by figue
                            HD and tA(W) < .42 and month < 7 and division = o:division and total=8.5

                            giants
                            why the site not show the play giants anymore ??
                            Comment
                            • JMon
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-11-09
                              • 9800

                              #49
                              Originally posted by figue
                              why the site not show the play giants anymore ??
                              who is the home dog now fig...line move
                              Comment
                              • figue
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-23-10
                                • 2524

                                #50
                                Originally posted by JMon
                                who is the home dog now fig...line move
                                thanks you rigth.i bet giants yesterday ,today no play.
                                so ,do we have to wait game time to run the querys and wait lines and totals moves ?? what is your procedure ??
                                Comment
                                • JMon
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-11-09
                                  • 9800

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by figue
                                  thanks you rigth.i bet giants yesterday ,today no play.
                                  so ,do we have to wait game time to run the querys and wait lines and totals moves ?? what is your procedure ??
                                  it probably depends on personal preference on either betting opening or closing lines. Some like to get a good price; other like to watch for line movement.

                                  Damn Padres load bases in the bottom of the ninth.. Looks like I am going to have me some Royals today
                                  Comment
                                  • green7
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 10-21-10
                                    • 190

                                    #52
                                    game number<5 and HD and tA(W)<.42 and division=o:division and p:L
                                    Comment
                                    • JMon
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 12-11-09
                                      • 9800

                                      #53
                                      175 >= line >= 135 and t:conference = AL and tA(runs) <= 4.5 and p:L and p:margin >= -2 and 9 * oS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / oS(9 - starter innings pitched) <= 3.75 and SG>1 and day!=Saturday and 2006<=season

                                      I will be curious if someone can translate this play on the Royals...
                                      Comment
                                      • JMon
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 12-11-09
                                        • 9800

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by green7
                                        game number<5 and HD and tA(W)<.42 and division=o:division and p:L
                                        I like both of those plays today, green for other reasons! gl
                                        Comment
                                        • JMon
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-11-09
                                          • 9800

                                          #55
                                          Lad total tonight

                                          Like to see a total of 7 and under with a national league team only averaging 3.8 or less runs a game, off a one win game. Looking for months before July. April hits at a 80% clip!

                                          total<=7 and tA(runs)<=3.8 and t:conference=NL and p:margin=1 and month<7 and 2008<=season and SG<4
                                          Comment
                                          • Mako-SBR
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 10-15-13
                                            • 492

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by JMon
                                            175 >= line >= 135 and t:conference = AL and tA(runs) <= 4.5 and p:L and p:margin >= -2 and 9 * oS(o:earned runs - starter earned runs) / oS(9 - starter innings pitched) <= 3.75 and SG>1 and day!=Saturday and 2006<=season

                                            I will be curious if someone can translate this play on the Royals...
                                            Originally posted by JMon
                                            Lad total tonight

                                            Like to see a total of 7 and under with a national league team only averaging 3.8 or less runs a game, off a one win game. Looking for months before July. April hits at a 80% clip!

                                            total<=7 and tA(runs)<=3.8 and t:conference=NL and p:margin=1 and month<7 and 2008<=season and SG<4
                                            You on fire today my friend, both of these are sharp as a tack. Thanks!
                                            Comment
                                            • figue
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-23-10
                                              • 2524

                                              #57
                                              month<5 and line>0 and p:margin<3 and o:WP>=40 and p:runs>0 and season=2014 and total>7 and total<9.5

                                              Tomorrow twins and cubs.
                                              Comment
                                              • green7
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 10-21-10
                                                • 190

                                                #58
                                                AD and division=o:division and p:W and playoffs=0 and day!=Saturday and day!=Sunday and temperature<85

                                                This has given an 11.2% ROI in the history of the database, and the return would be even better if you can use matchbook or pinnacle. It lost last year for the first time and barely won the year before. Perhaps the linemaker has caught up to this angle. It's started well this year,....the month of June has been the only losing month for this angle overall. Like many little quirks in our queries, I've got no idea why the game time temperature would affect the visitor's ability to win. I've mentioned previously that I think ballplayers go out on Friday and Saturday night on the road and it plays a negative part in their performance the next day.
                                                Comment
                                                • JMon
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-11-09
                                                  • 9800

                                                  #59
                                                  we want to fade a conference fav under -210 after two mediocre 1 win games... check out how team=Pirates do in this situation and somewhat the Tigers do since '09

                                                  p:margin =1 and pp:margin=1 and F and line>-210 and month!=5 and conference=o:conference
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JMon
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-11-09
                                                    • 9800

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by Mako-SBR
                                                    You on fire today my friend, both of these are sharp as a tack. Thanks!
                                                    another close lose with a big dogs...however totals cleaned up. Just getting warmed up. Takes awhile to get the ol' mind switched over from sport to sport. At least mine it does...lol.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JMon
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 12-11-09
                                                      • 9800

                                                      #61
                                                      While this is not a great sample, but wanted to show the sweep angle in sdql and how one can filter a starter...Look how Anibal Sanchez has fared in trying to close out a home three game sweep since being a Tiger.

                                                      H and p:W and pp:W and SG=SGS=SG=3 and team=Tigers and starter=Anibal Sanchez

                                                      then look at him in the total database

                                                      H and p:W and pp:W and SG=SGS=SG=3 and starter=Anibal Sanchez
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JMon
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                        • 9800

                                                        #62
                                                        Interesting day situation worth looking at hitting at a 70+% clip

                                                        p:hits - po:hits >= 10 and A and day = Thursday and line <= 165
                                                        Comment
                                                        • figue
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-23-10
                                                          • 2524

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by figue
                                                          month<5 and line>0 and p:margin<3 and o:WP>=40 and p:runs>0 and season=2014 and total>7 and total<9.5

                                                          Tomorrow twins and cubs.
                                                          nice 2-0 dogs.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • figue
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-23-10
                                                            • 2524

                                                            #64
                                                            late but ...yankees

                                                            AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7<p:LOB<18 and -3<p:margin
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JMon
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-11-09
                                                              • 9800

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by figue
                                                              late but ...yankees

                                                              AF and pp:LOB=14 and 7<p:LOB<18 and -3<p:margin

                                                              that's nice fig, where did/how you find this one?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • figue
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-23-10
                                                                • 2524

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by JMon
                                                                that's nice fig, where did/how you find this one?
                                                                from SDB grup ,i ask for some query for RL-1.5+money and someone give this there from another forum.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • figue
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-23-10
                                                                  • 2524

                                                                  #67
                                                                  stolen this:

                                                                  Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 - bad team from last season (38% to 46%) playing a team that had a winning record last year, after 2 or more consecutive wins.
                                                                  (37-9 since 1997.) (80.4%, +27 units. Rating = 4*)

                                                                  WP>50 P:season p:W and pp:w o:WP>38 <46 help
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JMon
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-11-09
                                                                    • 9800

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by figue
                                                                    stolen this:

                                                                    Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 - bad team from last season (38% to 46%) playing a team that had a winning record last year, after 2 or more consecutive wins.
                                                                    (37-9 since 1997.) (80.4%, +27 units. Rating = 4*)

                                                                    WP>50 P:season p:W and pp:w o:WP>38 <46 help
                                                                    I will have to work on this one, but it's possible.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JMon
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-11-09
                                                                      • 9800

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Interleague FAV- fading a NL dog on the road. Simply logic, but profitable last year and over the database

                                                                      conference=NL and o:conference=AL and A and 230>=line>-105 and month<8 and 9.5>=total>=7
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • JMon
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                                        • 9800

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Big Dog

                                                                        Play dog off a upset win over divisional dog; revenging 4 straight losses

                                                                        175>=line>=125 and P:L and PP:L and PPP:L and PPPP:L and p: DIV and p: DW
                                                                        Comment
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