Machine Choice

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  • Machine Choice
    SBR MVP
    • 12-12-08
    • 3997

    #176
    Originally posted by DMB40
    lets go machine. im still with you. I have faith

    I have not had the discipline to follow my own system. I deserve the price that I pay.
    Comment
    • DMB40
      SBR MVP
      • 04-04-09
      • 1258

      #177
      Originally posted by Machine Choice
      I have not had the discipline to follow my own system. I deserve the price that I pay.

      you look at anything yet for today.

      im on
      Tor
      cubs
      Comment
      • jellobiafra
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-08-09
        • 6291

        #178
        Machine,

        You've still got a decent bankroll. $1500 is nothing to sneeze at. Just put the past in the past. It's done with. You can't change it. Start fresh in your mind with that $1500. Clean the slate. Stick with your system. You can still build something from $1500.
        Comment
        • Pair of 5s Sir
          SBR MVP
          • 04-20-08
          • 4960

          #179
          Originally posted by jellobiafra
          Machine,

          You've still got a decent bankroll. $1500 is nothing to sneeze at. Just put the past in the past. It's done with. You can't change it. Start fresh in your mind with that $1500. Clean the slate. Stick with your system. You can still build something from $1500.
          Jello, this is a perfect example of betting 1/11th of your bankroll. It's juicy when you are on a heater, and blows on the downside. Always protect against the downside or bet the whole bankroll on every game, not.

          Protect Downside
          Comment
          • jellobiafra
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 03-08-09
            • 6291

            #180
            Well in Machine's defense, he's been differentiating from his system. Not saying you are incorrect, but it's not the root of the problem here. He needs to forget about chasing and just get back to the basics. (And if you are going to chase don't bet against better pitchers on better teams, even if they are on the road -- Zach Duke was clearly the correct call last night. Sorry **.)
            Comment
            • Pair of 5s Sir
              SBR MVP
              • 04-20-08
              • 4960

              #181
              Originally posted by jellobiafra
              Well in Machine's defense, he's been differentiating from his system. Not saying you are incorrect, but it's not the root of the problem here. He needs to forget about chasing and just get back to the basics. (And if you are going to chase don't bet against better pitchers on better teams, even if they are on the road -- Zach Duke was clearly the correct call last night. Sorry **.)
              Your money management gets you thru the times when you are making bad selection decisions. It will control your impulses to chase. Nothing like good money managment. In reality, it is the difference between a quality capper and a degenerate.
              Comment
              • cocknocker
                Restricted User
                • 11-06-08
                • 8001

                #182
                Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                Your money management gets you thru the times when you are making bad selection decisions. It will control your impulses to chase. Nothing like good money managment. In reality, it is the difference between a quality capper and a degenerate.

                That's church
                Comment
                • gambit718
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-04-09
                  • 443

                  #183
                  Originally posted by cocknocker
                  That's church
                  Comment
                  • G's pks
                    Restricted User
                    • 01-01-09
                    • 22251

                    #184
                    Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                    Your money management gets you thru the times when you are making bad selection decisions. It will control your impulses to chase. Nothing like good money managment. In reality, it is the difference between a quality capper and a degenerate.

                    Comment
                    • genero
                      Restricted User
                      • 04-05-09
                      • 233

                      #185
                      Originally posted by jellobiafra
                      Machine,

                      You've still got a decent bankroll. $1500 is nothing to sneeze at. Just put the past in the past. It's done with. You can't change it. Start fresh in your mind with that $1500. Clean the slate. Stick with your system. You can still build something from $1500.
                      just bet it all on one good one tonite , and either win or go home till next basketball season, u certainly dont want to go thru this in football
                      Comment
                      • TheLock
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 04-06-08
                        • 14427

                        #186
                        Hate that advice
                        Comment
                        • peeiempee
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-09
                          • 2750

                          #187
                          Originally posted by Pair of 5s Sir
                          Your money management gets you thru the times when you are making bad selection decisions. It will control your impulses to chase. Nothing like good money managment. In reality, it is the difference between a quality capper and a degenerate.
                          One thing I have to learn is discipline. Won 2 dimes last week, blew it all by chasing. NBA was not good to me yesterday. When I win I always have that mentality, "I won it, I won't be any worse off than I was when I 1st started." Losing the last chase and I think what have I done. Well, guess I'm just a degenerate gambler. But good post
                          Comment
                          • Ralphie1412
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-08
                            • 13963

                            #188
                            Originally posted by peeiempee
                            One thing I have to learn is discipline. Won 2 dimes last week, blew it all by chasing. NBA was not good to me yesterday. When I win I always have that mentality, "I won it, I won't be any worse off than I was when I 1st started." Losing the last chase and I think what have I done. Well, guess I'm just a degenerate gambler. But good post

                            half the people around here just say things that make ZERO sense. If u won 2k what are you chasing? YOU WON, chasing is when u pick your favorite bet and LOSE it, then take some obscure golden st warriors game because its the last thing on the board.
                            "This is why my basketball intelligence is unmatched on this site. I'm sure there are better cappers but no one can tell you the strategies of most coaches before the game even starts "
                            Goat Milk
                            Comment
                            • G's pks
                              Restricted User
                              • 01-01-09
                              • 22251

                              #189
                              Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                              half the people around here just say things that make ZERO sense. If u won 2k what are you chasing? YOU WON, chasing is when u pick your favorite bet and LOSE it, then take some obscure golden st warriors game because its the last thing on the board.
                              Awe.... sounds like zboiz... poor sucker barreled in big time...two weeks now!
                              Comment
                              • peeiempee
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-21-09
                                • 2750

                                #190
                                Originally posted by Ralphie1412
                                half the people around here just say things that make ZERO sense. If u won 2k what are you chasing? YOU WON, chasing is when u pick your favorite bet and LOSE it, then take some obscure golden st warriors game because its the last thing on the board.
                                You don't make any sense or you haven't gambled enough or you don't know how to read. Let me explain in detail. I won 2Gs monday to saturday last week, PRIOR to Sunday. I bet under on the boston celtics game on sunday for 250, it went overtime. Got mad and bet magic over 2nd half for 500. Hedo hits a three ending my overtime. Thought hey I won this so no big deal and what are the chances of rockets not blowing out the blazers. Put 1000 on rockets -5. They lost it in the 3rd and 4th, plus juice total loss 1925, wiping out my winnings. Chasing means you keep doubling up to try to get even, or maybe ur definition is different from everyone elses. Therefore in retrospect it was not worth it to lose 2000 to win 250. GET IT????
                                Comment
                                • cocknocker
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 11-06-08
                                  • 8001

                                  #191
                                  Man don't listen to everyone. Here's what you should do. Stop f*ckin' around and put it all up on a 1st inning wager or at least a first 5 inning wager. Let it ride. At least you could say you went all in. And when you did, we all held our breath. And that is fascinating because everyone is going to stop what they are doing to watch that one inning or first half of that game. And if you win you will be a legend. If you lose you gain credibility among everyone for putting your nuts on the table. Then make another deposit and go all in on the next play again.You've got $1500. Why make 15 wagers to get $3000.00. F*ck that! Do it man! Just get to the point! Let those nutters hang and do the Sam Cassel dance. Put it all on Florida today and double your roll baby. Hanley Ramirez may be out, but so what? Increase your risk amounts. There is no gain in this thing of ours without risks.


















                                  Do it, man!
                                  Comment
                                  • cocknocker
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 11-06-08
                                    • 8001

                                    #192
                                    I mean at least put up $500.00 today
                                    Comment
                                    • genero
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 04-05-09
                                      • 233

                                      #193
                                      well u are guarenteed to lose nothing if you dont bet anything. pack it up and shut it down. thats the safe thing
                                      Comment
                                      • peeiempee
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-21-09
                                        • 2750

                                        #194
                                        LOL nice CK. I went all in 3 times already, I remember each of those games, baltimore ravens vs miami dolphins, Weber state vs montana, and cavs/rockets under. Won all 3 times. But I will never do it again. Hell I shouldn't have even done what I did last sunday. Like u said all about building bankroll
                                        Comment
                                        • jellobiafra
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 03-08-09
                                          • 6291

                                          #195
                                          What you need to do is what you are doing. Stay away from this bullshxit. Get back to the basics and do your thing how you want to do it. Forget about this place. It's not important. And you're getting some terrible advice now.
                                          Comment
                                          • peeiempee
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-21-09
                                            • 2750

                                            #196
                                            Originally posted by jellobiafra
                                            What you need to do is what you are doing. Stay away from this bullshxit. Get back to the basics and do your thing how you want to do it. Forget about this place. It's not important. And you're getting some terrible advice now.
                                            Seriously, this is my advice too. I think you have to adjust your bankroll and bet according to 1-5% of bankroll. BOL.
                                            Comment
                                            • solobass
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-15-09
                                              • 1277

                                              #197
                                              a lot of good and bad thrown around but let me say this. machine, knowing your story and previous posts about discipline you know what you need to do. discipline separates the professional from the novice. you KNOW what to do and what is right. $1500 is enough to work with for sure. my advice would be to take about a week off to test data and tweak your base system and backtest if possible. learn some new tricks. the sabermetric pythagorean theorem does give reasonable expectation on winning/losing streaks for teams, just make sure you use the most efficient exponent. then, get back into the game with the confidence and findings from your new work and STICK TO THE PLAN and get paid!
                                              Comment
                                              • G's pks
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 01-01-09
                                                • 22251

                                                #198
                                                Seems the herd has disappeared... Machine finished ncaa with a 6-16 streak and mlb has not been any better for him. Besides the chasing....obviously poor picks have not helped. It was an interesting month or two he had in January and February... But March and April went exactly the opposite for him and wiped out any winnings his followers had. They started to shout, scream then disappear as the losing continued... Well they have no one to blame except themselves... People that tail all the time...should they really be gambling if they are that clueless?
                                                Comment
                                                • brooks85
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-05-09
                                                  • 44709

                                                  #199
                                                  why not just wait until the next JM play and hit it big
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Enforcer_23
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 04-06-09
                                                    • 470

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                    I mean at least put up $500.00 today
                                                    your a moron
                                                    Comment
                                                    • laxdjock
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-15-07
                                                      • 4074

                                                      #201
                                                      Originally posted by Enforcer_23
                                                      your a moron
                                                      You failed HS English.

                                                      Oh the irony!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cocknocker
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                        • 8001

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by Enforcer_23
                                                        your a moron

                                                        Yes I am. But I also stayed at the Holiday Inn last night.






                                                        Look man stop listening to all of these moron haters, dude. Pour yourself some Jack, grab those walnuts and put it all up on a first inning wager, babe. It's the only way.

                                                        These guys don't know shit about taking risks. F*ck it homes put on your parachute and jump! Trust me, we will all be watching. You will either have gasoline poured on your back or we will carry your ass through the town on our shoulders like some kind of f*ckin' hero. We ain't got time to wait around for hella plays. Time to get paid 0-60 style. And I'm rooting for you. I really am. I just want it to be exciting when it happens. It's all 50/50. What have you got to lose?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • cocknocker
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 11-06-08
                                                          • 8001

                                                          #203
                                                          Originally posted by solobass
                                                          a lot of good and bad thrown around but let me say this. machine, knowing your story and previous posts about discipline you know what you need to do. discipline separates the professional from the novice. you KNOW what to do and what is right. $1500 is enough to work with for sure. my advice would be to take about a week off to test data and tweak your base system and backtest if possible. learn some new tricks. the sabermetric pythagorean theorem does give reasonable expectation on winning/losing streaks for teams, just make sure you use the most efficient exponent. then, get back into the game with the confidence and findings from your new work and STICK TO THE PLAN and get paid!
                                                          Whatever....solo, I love ya man. But uh-uh! No....it's not enough. He should go all the way. We can have a cheering section too. I will lead the claps



                                                          It's like Sarge told CG in Soldiers' Story..."It has to be this way"
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jellobiafra
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 03-08-09
                                                            • 6291

                                                            #204
                                                            Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                            What have you got to lose?
                                                            You mean besides his entire bankroll?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • cocknocker
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 11-06-08
                                                              • 8001

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by cocknocker
                                                              Man don't listen to everyone. Here's what you should do. Stop f*ckin' around and put it all up on a 1st inning wager or at least a first 5 inning wager. Let it ride. At least you could say you went all in. And when you did, we all held our breath. And that is fascinating because everyone is going to stop what they are doing to watch that one inning or first half of that game. And if you win you will be a legend. If you lose you gain credibility among everyone for putting your nuts on the table. Then make another deposit and go all in on the next play again.You've got $1500. Why make 15 wagers to get $3000.00. F*ck that! Do it man! Just get to the point! Let those nutters hang and do the Sam Cassel dance. Put it all on Florida today and double your roll baby. Hanley Ramirez may be out, but so what? Increase your risk amounts. There is no gain in this thing of ours without risks.


















                                                              Do it, man!


                                                              I hate to say it, but if you would have stopped listening to all of these people with these plans for the long term and listened to me and take a risk you would be sitting on top of more than $3500.00 right now with a $1500.00 at +160 odds. Going "all in" is necessary sometimes. It seperates the boys from the men.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • joanapoker
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 12-09-08
                                                                • 2275

                                                                #206
                                                                True that CK!

                                                                All in is sometimes necessary.........gambling has this kind of risks!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • genero
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 04-05-09
                                                                  • 233

                                                                  #207
                                                                  he is just having fun reading all this now and not LOSING , because he has NO PLAYS, so he is doing good

                                                                  we have to stop replying and let him wallow
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cocknocker
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 11-06-08
                                                                    • 8001

                                                                    #208
                                                                    You're right genero. I was about to leave another all in winner so he could turn that $3500 into $7000.00. I'll leave him be
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Machine Choice
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-12-08
                                                                      • 3997

                                                                      #209
                                                                      It's the last day in April and the KC Royals are in first place. If they win the World Series, all of this becomes a moot point because I will have more than $15K.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cocknocker
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 11-06-08
                                                                        • 8001

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Machine, no one wants to wait that long. Go all in one time for your mind!
                                                                        Comment
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