Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

[MexicanStallion]

Great Job!!

Are you doing anything different in your capping? Like, using the force?

I don't know what has happened. Nothing has really changed. I just happened to hit a lot of RL in the past two days. I actually kind of tried your style a bit. I know you are shooting for 500 plays, but I know you play a bunch of games regardless. I thought I would just try and play most of my leans and match them up with some RL. Just lucky two days. I am just happy to be positive for the season.

You are very welcomed, BOL to you for the rest of the season(s). And like curious said, may the force be with you (us).

Thanks again. Best of luck to you as well.

[therber2]

Wonder if they used up all their runs for the series. Looking forward it. As do I. CT won as needed and listed.

No idea. I have no intention of playing them again as of yet.
TA, I bought points on the spread. You played the ML. We both won that one with the ladies.

Didn't know anyone was following me, but for anyone who is. Just letting you know I'm being a little more cautious. Not doing plays every day anymore. I think I already explained to some of you I have a job that interferes a lot of days. I've decided to fish out the good ones like a patient fisherman. No worries, there are enough great picks to go around here.

**My new approach may or may not work out, but I figure what better time to do it than the beginning of the second half. Cash positive with plenty to play around with. As always anything posted here is for us to help each other as best we can. Bet at your own risk, and I would strongly recommend everyone to come up with there own system that only uses others' picks as filters at best.

[therber2]

I don't know what has happened. Nothing has really changed. I just happened to hit a lot of RL in the past two days. I actually kind of tried your style a bit. I know you are shooting for 500 plays, but I know you play a bunch of games regardless. I thought I would just try and play most of my leans and match them up with some RL. Just lucky two days. I am just happy to be positive for the season.



Thanks again. Best of luck to you as well.

Congrats, brutha. Good to see another guy tearin it up. I predict that more like MexicanStallion will come around, and you tailers out there can start doing some real strong consensus picks here on this board. Heh.

Curious, looks like you're back on track with your old ways. For anyone who doesn't know about Curious; I can tell you he's one of the best here. Don't let a few bad days fool you. This crackhead knows what's going on.

[Axis]

Hmm...I haven't contributed in a while it seems, so heeeeeere we go!!

Plus, I can use this as a place to track it all.

Seattle -130, though I don't enjoy betting against my team (Tigers) Seattle just seems to be the play tonight 1u
LA. Dodgers -1.5, It's goin' for a sweep, but...I have the confidence in it. 1u
Houston +102, After a hot game last night, I look for it again tonight...even against Carpenter. 1u
Chi. Sox +125, From the stats, they are a play tonight...I follow the stats that have been producing...

Let's get it!! $$


Edit: And I'm going to add, Atlanta -108, SF hasn't been scoring at all, and ATL has been producing some runs, so...I know Linny is pitchin', but he can't put runs up for himself (hopeufully)

w00t 5-0, +6u

I'll post up plays for today after work...

[BamaBill67]

I am going to have some parlay fun since I am up 18.69 units
Playing 6-2 teamers using.....

1. Stl. -110 L-(I only needed 3 more outs)
2. Bos.-160 L
3. Tor.-150 W
4. Sea-130 W

I think it is called a Round Robin 1-2, 1-3, 1-4, 2-3, 2-4, 3-4......2 units ea

Lost 6.12 units going 2-2.....Think I will try something else for fun next time.

[shoebox]

Alright TA lets have a good one, your right 1 error = 1 run FU tampa

San Francisco Giants +163 3 units
Detroit Tigers -120 5 units
Tampa Bay Rays +102 3 units








Week -1.8
YTD +51.06

[hufster]

MIL -103 win 1 unit L
TOR -150 win 1 unit W
NYM 109 risk 1.5 L
BOS -153 win 1 unit L
KAN 100 win 1.5 unit L

1 for 4 last night, dropping 4.56 units.

Alright, so my percentages give me the following as strong probabilities to win :

TOR, ARI, LAA, DET, ATL. These are listed in order of decreasing probability. So from those I will be choosing the matchups that I like best.

TOR -1.5 +130 risk 1.5 units

The starting pitching matchup favors the Blue Jays. Rzepczynski has had a solid start and the Indians have yet to see him. Huff has had a rough go of it vs. AL opposition and has rarely made it past the 5th inning. Bring on that Indian bullpen!

LAA -1.5 +140 risk 1 unit

Revenge is sweet. After getting swept by the Twinkies in the dome, the Angels will be looking to tack some more W's onto that win streak. The Twins are coming off a rough series in Oakland and can't wait to get back home. Unfortunately they will have to pay their toll in Los Angeles before they can get there.

DET -118 win 2 units

French has been very good to start his major league career and has always given Detroit an excellent opportunity to win games, they are 4-1 with him on the mound. Washburn has also been good, but not quite as good on the road. The Mariners snagged one on the road last night, tonight, the Tigers take it back.

Good luck to all.

Record : 32-27-3 +8.53u

[hufster]

TOR, ARI, LAA, DET, ATL. These are listed in order of decreasing probability.

Forgot to mention, I didn't go with the Braves because I didn't want to pay that kind of juice when a team is going for a 4 game sweep. The Braves have flat out dominated this series and the Giants have been horribly deflated. The part that makes me hesitant is that the Braves have been so abnormally dominant and the Giants have been so abnormally deflated that I wouldn't be surprised to see a little normalcy to return, perhaps even going in the opposite direction.

The Diamondbacks are carrying some mega juice for this game and I don't trust their bats with the runline. I think Haren will be good, but the Pirates usually impress me in situations like this and do better than I expect. Morton has excellent numbers as a reliever against many of the D-Back starters. I will have money on Arizona in this series, just not this game.

[therber2]

Today's write up

Today I believe I have a write up for ya:
Here's what I've got, and let's hope this boy cashes:

LAA -150 (2.5 units)
LAA -1.5 +140 (.5 units)

In the past three games LAA are slugging at .556 with .345 avg compared to the Twins .500 and .278 avg. We've got a 60% runs per inning for the past 3 games a bullpen with a .700 ERA and a 1.210 21 day ERA compared to a Twins' 2.231 ERA and 1.418 21 day. I personally feel the pitchers are fairly even matched maybe a lean on Weaver, but that's alright; I expect LAA to cleanup today. This team plays well on the grass, and at home, and does a bit better against righties to trump whatever starter advantage there may be.

Seatle +120 (.5 units)
SEA/DET 8.5 (2 units)

[TodaysAction]

SEA/DET,
DET,

[MexicanStallion]

Blue Jays -162 (3.24 to win 2)
Braves -174 (3.48 to win 2)

Blue Jays RL +130 (1 to win 1.30)
Braves RL +118 (1 to win 1.18)

[Foghorn]

Raining real hard in Detroit right now and calling for rain througout the day.

Tampa Bay vs Chicago:

Tampa Bay:
Kazmir throwing the pill today. He has been erratic his last 3 starts, going 0-1, but the team winning 2 of those games. Tampa is not horrible on the road (22-28), but they aren't the same team away from home. Last night they lost late by giving up 3 runs in the 7th inning. TB is batting .267 vs lefties the last 10, and they have a couple of players out with injuries.

Chicago:
Buehrle is pitching today and he is 14-6 in his last 20 starts at U.S. Cellular Field. He did have a rough outing 2 starts ago, giving up 8 runs in 3 innings at Minny. However, other than that, he has given up no more than 3 runs in his last 5 starts. CWS are batting .345 in their last 10 against lefties, but they are sitting out Thome for rest today.

OTHER: Bull-pen edge goes to TB, CWS are 8-3 in their last 11 home games, and TB has only won 8 of the last 25 games at Chicago. Buehrle is really tough to beat at home.

PICK: White Sox (1 unit)
Record: 30-19-1 (+18 units)

Not getting a strong feeling on any of the games today so far. I won a couple last night and another on tuesday, but they were all pretty lucky. All come from behind, one run games (Phillies xtra innings, Seattle late home run, Houston a 9th inning rally)

Good Luck on all your plays, may try again later............

[therber2]

A few more

Chicago White Sox -119 (1.5 units)
Oakland +235 **After the performance yesterday how can I not take this one for half a unit (.5 units) We'll see if they have any hits left to cough up for us.

[Foghorn]

SEA/DET,
DET,

Going to tail you today with the shark.............thanks for the help

[therber2]

SEA/DET,
DET,

[TodaysAction]

July 22nd Overall
13-6 (+26.27)

ML: 6-2 (+16.52)
RL: 5-3 (+9.75)
Totals: 2-1 (+0.00)

The earlier plays are posted in my thread. I cannot believe the last two days I have had. 30-14 (+54.26) Unreal. I have finally reached the green on the season. I am shocked.

MexicanStallion on a job well done. Continued success to you the remainder of the season.

[Foghorn]

Chicago White Sox -119 (1.5 units)
Oakland +235 **After the performance yesterday how can I not take this one for half a unit (.5 units) We'll see if they have any hits left to cough up for us.

HeyTherbs, I'm with you buddy on CWS, let's cash this thing............. and hope your other play cashes too

[therber2]

Raining real hard in Detroit right now and calling for rain througout the day.

Tampa Bay vs Chicago:

Tampa Bay:
Kazmir throwing the pill today. He has been erratic his last 3 starts, going 0-1, but the team winning 2 of those games. Tampa is not horrible on the road (22-28), but they aren't the same team away from home. Last night they lost late by giving up 3 runs in the 7th inning. TB is batting .267 vs lefties the last 10, and they have a couple of players out with injuries.

Chicago:
Buehrle is pitching today and he is 14-6 in his last 20 starts at U.S. Cellular Field. He did have a rough outing 2 starts ago, giving up 8 runs in 3 innings at Minny. However, other than that, he has given up no more than 3 runs in his last 5 starts. CWS are batting .345 in their last 10 against lefties, but they are sitting out Thome for rest today.

OTHER: Bull-pen edge goes to TB, CWS are 8-3 in their last 11 home games, and TB has only won 8 of the last 25 games at Chicago. Buehrle is really tough to beat at home.

PICK: White Sox (1 unit)
Record: 30-19-1 (+18 units)

Not getting a strong feeling on any of the games today so far. I won a couple last night and another on tuesday, but they were all pretty lucky. All come from behind, one run games (Phillies xtra innings, Seattle late home run, Houston a 9th inning rally)

Good Luck on all your plays, may try again later............

Looks like we're on the same play today Foggy my friend. Let's cash it. Bad news is I seem to be cursed right now. Car is fallin apart on me.

[Foghorn]

Blue Jays -162 (3.24 to win 2)
Braves -174 (3.48 to win 2)

Blue Jays RL +130 (1 to win 1.30)
Braves RL +118 (1 to win 1.18)

Hey Mexie, got busy and couldn't get that play in,,,,,,,,,,good luck

[TodaysAction]

12-4 +7.5 Units.

Jersey said that Houston was a play because of a "team scored in 6 innings the previous game and are at home" system, but my system said Cards. I'll have to look into Jersey's 6 inning system.

Another nice night.

Cards here.

[TodaysAction]

I don't know what has happened. Nothing has really changed. I just happened to hit a lot of RL in the past two days. I actually kind of tried your style a bit. I know you are shooting for 500 plays, but I know you play a bunch of games regardless. I thought I would just try and play most of my leans and match them up with some RL. Just lucky two days. I am just happy to be positive for the season.

Thanks again. Best of luck to you as well.

One thing I know that changed is you posted "in here" those days. It's the power of the thread man. No joke.

[TodaysAction]

w00t 5-0, +6u

I'll post up plays for today after work...

Well done and tonight.

[MexicanStallion]

MexicanStallion on a job well done. Continued success to you the remainder of the season.

Thank you. I appreciate the support.

Hey Mexie, got busy and couldn't get that play in,,,,,,,,,,good luck

Thank you. I posted late in here, but plenty of time ahead in my thread. Since you and another poster are on the White Sox, I think I will add that play for a unit. I had a lean on it, but feel stronger with you guys on board.

One thing I know that changed is you posted "in here" those days. It's the power of the thread man. No joke.

It must be the power of the thread. All good vibes. Thanks for sharing your thread.

[TodaysAction]

Alright TA lets have a good one, your right 1 error = 1 run FU tampa

San Francisco Giants +163 3 units
Detroit Tigers -120 5 units
Tampa Bay Rays +102 3 units



Week -1.8
YTD +51.06

Sounds like a good plan. Just something worth mentioning.

[TodaysAction]

MIL -103 win 1 unit L
TOR -150 win 1 unit W
NYM 109 risk 1.5 L
BOS -153 win 1 unit L
KAN 100 win 1.5 unit L

1 for 4 last night, dropping 4.56 units.

Alright, so my percentages give me the following as strong probabilities to win :

TOR, ARI, LAA, DET, ATL. These are listed in order of decreasing probability. So from those I will be choosing the matchups that I like best.

TOR -1.5 +130 risk 1.5 units

The starting pitching matchup favors the Blue Jays. Rzepczynski has had a solid start and the Indians have yet to see him. Huff has had a rough go of it vs. AL opposition and has rarely made it past the 5th inning. Bring on that Indian bullpen!

LAA -1.5 +140 risk 1 unit

Revenge is sweet. After getting swept by the Twinkies in the dome, the Angels will be looking to tack some more W's onto that win streak. The Twins are coming off a rough series in Oakland and can't wait to get back home. Unfortunately they will have to pay their toll in Los Angeles before they can get there.

DET -118 win 2 units

French has been very good to start his major league career and has always given Detroit an excellent opportunity to win games, they are 4-1 with him on the mound. Washburn has also been good, but not quite as good on the road. The Mariners snagged one on the road last night, tonight, the Tigers take it back.

Good luck to all.

Record : 32-27-3 +8.53u

Today I believe I have a write up for ya:
Here's what I've got, and let's hope this boy cashes:

LAA -150 (2.5 units)
LAA -1.5 +140 (.5 units)

In the past three games LAA are slugging at .556 with .345 avg compared to the Twins .500 and .278 avg. We've got a 60% runs per inning for the past 3 games a bullpen with a .700 ERA and a 1.210 21 day ERA compared to a Twins' 2.231 ERA and 1.418 21 day. I personally feel the pitchers are fairly even matched maybe a lean on Weaver, but that's alright; I expect LAA to cleanup today. This team plays well on the grass, and at home, and does a bit better against righties to trump whatever starter advantage there may be.

Seatle +120 (.5 units)
SEA/DET 8.5 (2 units)

Thanks for sharing.

Blue Jays -162 (3.24 to win 2)
Braves -174 (3.48 to win 2)

Blue Jays RL +130 (1 to win 1.30)
Braves RL +118 (1 to win 1.18)

[TodaysAction]

Raining real hard in Detroit right now and calling for rain througout the day.

Tampa Bay vs Chicago:

Tampa Bay:
Kazmir throwing the pill today. He has been erratic his last 3 starts, going 0-1, but the team winning 2 of those games. Tampa is not horrible on the road (22-28), but they aren't the same team away from home. Last night they lost late by giving up 3 runs in the 7th inning. TB is batting .267 vs lefties the last 10, and they have a couple of players out with injuries.

Chicago:
Buehrle is pitching today and he is 14-6 in his last 20 starts at U.S. Cellular Field. He did have a rough outing 2 starts ago, giving up 8 runs in 3 innings at Minny. However, other than that, he has given up no more than 3 runs in his last 5 starts. CWS are batting .345 in their last 10 against lefties, but they are sitting out Thome for rest today.

OTHER: Bull-pen edge goes to TB, CWS are 8-3 in their last 11 home games, and TB has only won 8 of the last 25 games at Chicago. Buehrle is really tough to beat at home.

PICK: White Sox (1 unit)
Record: 30-19-1 (+18 units)

Not getting a strong feeling on any of the games today so far. I won a couple last night and another on tuesday, but they were all pretty lucky. All come from behind, one run games (Phillies xtra innings, Seattle late home run, Houston a 9th inning rally)

Good Luck on all your plays, may try again later............

Chicago White Sox -119 (1.5 units)
Oakland +235 **After the performance yesterday how can I not take this one for half a unit (.5 units) We'll see if they have any hits left to cough up for us.

Going to tail you today with the shark.............thanks for the help

Let's get it done!

[therber2]

Thanks for sharing.

NP. This rain might make the play go sour though. Not feeling very strong about these because I know you have a much better grasp on any Detroit game. Didn't think too much about weather. Foggy says it's pouring maybe we'll get Postponed

[therber2]

haha.

[TodaysAction]

Thank you. I appreciate the support.
Anytime and glad to lend it. Strike one as the game begins!

Thank you. I posted late in here, but plenty of time ahead in my thread. Since you and another poster are on the White Sox, I think I will add that play for a unit. I had a lean on it, but feel stronger with you guys on board.
You're catching on.


It must be the power of the thread. All good vibes. Thanks for sharing your thread.
It is and you're welcome.

[therber2]

Thank you. I appreciate the support.
Anytime and glad to lend it. Strike one as the game begins!

Thank you. I posted late in here, but plenty of time ahead in my thread. Since you and another poster are on the White Sox, I think I will add that play for a unit. I had a lean on it, but feel stronger with you guys on board.
You're catching on.


It must be the power of the thread. All good vibes. Thanks for sharing your thread.
It is and you're welcome.

Not so fast. Shoebox is on the Rays. 2-1=1 No play

[TodaysAction]

NP. This rain might make the play go sour though. Not feeling very strong about these because I know you have a much better grasp on any Detroit game. Didn't think too much about weather. Foggy says it's pouring maybe we'll get Postponed

I am no more than 7' miles from the field but you should feel good as SEA has already scored a run.

[TodaysAction]

Line drive single to left field.

Runner on first, one out.

Caboom @ bat.

[TodaysAction]

Caboom is on a 17 game hitting streak, yet his BA has dropped.

3-1 is the count.

Ball 4, take your base.

First and second.

[TodaysAction]

Long line out to the warning track LF, runners hold.

[TodaysAction]

Mags flys out to right.

After one, it's SEA 1 DET 0.