Todays Action, 2009 M.L.B. Thread

ankh4all2 · 09-17-09, 11:13 AM

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

Early games:

LAD RL -125 1 Unit
SD -107 7 Units - Gotta get 1 out of 6 don't they? Pitching so well lately, but
no offensive punch.

Late Games:

DET RL +120 2.5 Units
HOU +117 4.5 Units
COL +110 4 Units

3-2 +5.0 Units

Lesson Learned. Don't chase unless you have the stones to see it all the way through. 4 of 5 plays yesterday were chases. The 4 teams were a combined 0-19 going into yesterday. Early play on SD wins, but goes into extra's. Trying to save on juice I play ML and RL on early evening games and they end up being 1 run also and go the wrong way. Correct way to chase should have been RL HOU and ML DET. COL bails me out in yet another 1 run game. 4 chases going at the same time with big juice is not fun, nor economical especially in September. If not for the chase, would not even have considered SD or HOU. If I ever do this again, everyone has permission to publicly berate me. I'll take a positive day, but I will never go through this process again.

VP,
I hear ya, mathematiclly I can't see how a chase can add up?? It appears to me that it still boils down to two things, winning percentage and money managment.

ankh4all2 · 09-17-09, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by t4_ever

Congrat to All boston pick todya

t4_ever, TA & All,
Any chance the 1st base ump, Kellogg, now behind the plate today, gives a call or two back to LAA?? Also, Kellogg is a bit of an away team ump!

Rixsaw · 09-17-09, 11:24 AM

Det u7.5 -110 1u.

Good luck all.

VegasPlayer · 09-17-09, 11:25 AM

Yes ANK, Too much risk vs return and an extremely nerve wracking process. I consider myself lucky this time around, but statistically, this thing is bound to fail. Could have gone either way yesterday.
Time to move on to bigger and better things rather than sweat out a couple units.

Nastrovje · 09-17-09, 11:36 AM

todays plays
2* Royals (+101)

VegasPlayer · 09-17-09, 11:42 AM

Early Play:

KC ML/U7.5 Parlay +248 .5 Units

ankh4all2 · 09-17-09, 11:52 AM

I like the under too!
Why do I feel like TA is going to come in with DET and/with a starfish??

GL to all!!

VegasPlayer · 09-17-09, 11:56 AM

Ya never know.....

AceofSP2107 · 09-17-09, 12:50 PM

Plays

3-1

1. NYM/ATL 2u
2. WAS/PHI 2u

GL

oda11 · 09-17-09, 12:50 PM

Originally posted by AceofSP2107

Plays

3-11. NYM/ATL 2u 2. WAS/PHI 2u GL

Good luck with your system!

oda11 · 09-17-09, 12:51 PM

Cubs ML -145 10 units.

Good luck everyone.

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by ankh4all2

I like the under too!
Why do I feel like TA is going to come in with DET and/with a starfish??

GL to all!!

ankh4all2,

I tried to get here to post for that situation. I did get it listed at twitter after getting a generous positive line but it will not count here.

oda11 · 09-17-09, 01:23 PM

Originally posted by TodaysAction

ankh4all2, I tried to get here to post for that situation. I did get it listed at twitter after getting a generous positive line but it will not count here.

Twitter?

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by ankh4all2

t4_ever, TA & All,
Any chance the 1st base ump, Kellogg, now behind the plate today, gives a call or two back to LAA?? Also, Kellogg is a bit of an away team ump!

ankh4all2,

Umps should be consistent and fair. They do have a way of calling each game. Knowing how they call balls and strikes should be taken into your selection process - at least in my opinion.

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 01:29 PM

Originally posted by oda11

Twitter?

I use it as a back-up/secondary location for the day/night wagers in case SBR goes off-line.

oda11 · 09-17-09, 01:35 PM

Originally posted by TodaysAction

I use it as a back-up/secondary location for the day/night wagers in case SBR goes off-line.

Would love to know how to find ya

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 01:38 PM

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

Early games:

LAD RL -125 1 Unit
SD -107 7 Units - Gotta get 1 out of 6 don't they? Pitching so well lately, but
no offensive punch.

Late Games:

DET RL +120 2.5 Units
HOU +117 4.5 Units
COL +110 4 Units

3-2 +5.0 Units

Lesson Learned. Don't chase unless you have the stones to see it all the way through. 4 of 5 plays yesterday were chases. The 4 teams were a combined 0-19 going into yesterday. Early play on SD wins, but goes into extra's. Trying to save on juice I play ML and RL on early evening games and they end up being 1 run also and go the wrong way. Correct way to chase should have been RL HOU and ML DET. COL bails me out in yet another 1 run game. 4 chases going at the same time with big juice is not fun, nor economical especially in September. If not for the chase, would not even have considered SD or HOU. If I ever do this again, everyone has permission to publicly berate me. I'll take a positive day, but I will never go through this process again.

How's your nerves now? You doing ok? Glad you ended up on the correct side of the ledger for the night. Might want to think about putting a ceiling into the fray - just my two cents on it.

Originally posted by ankh4all2

I Like G Tech too!

Total should not be ignored.

18kk · 09-17-09, 02:04 PM

Just got the bad sweep last night.

Hope I can come back with some wins. I like WAS over 9 and CLE ML. Both are 1u.

CupWanted · 09-17-09, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by TodaysAction

How's your nerves now? You doing ok? Glad you ended up on the correct side of the ledger for the night. Might want to think about putting a ceiling into the fray - just my two cents on it.

Total should not be ignored.

what side of the total are you looking at TA? lot of people on the under but Miami's defense looked awful vs. Fla State (who struggled to score 20 vs. Jacksonville State) and Clemson but up a big number on Ga. Techs D. I'm leaning over and Ga. Tech.

VegasPlayer · 09-17-09, 02:28 PM

Yea, I'm all right. Just embarrassed more than anything else for putting myself into the situation. Should no better. Ruined a pretty good record too. Still some chance to catch up tho.

MexicanStallion · 09-17-09, 02:42 PM

September 17th
A's +100 (10 to win 10)
Braves -240 (24 to win 10)
Orioles -101 (10.10 to win 10)
Red Sox -157 (15.70 to win 10)
White Sox -124 (12.40 to win 10)

oda11 · 09-17-09, 02:44 PM

O's

oda11 · 09-17-09, 02:51 PM

Took Cubs at +250 for 1 unit while they were down 2 - 4, let's see how that goes...

AceofSP2107 · 09-17-09, 03:06 PM

Originally posted by oda11

Good luck with your system!

thanks ODA gl with your plays

Nastrovje · 09-17-09, 03:39 PM

Originally posted by Nastrovje

todays plays
3* Royals (+101) WON

+3.03

adding
3* Indians (-101)
3* Marlins/Reds under 9 (+100)
2* Nationals/Phillies over 9 (-115) Netprofit

1.5* Red Sox (-162)
1.5* White Sox (-130)
1.5* Rays (-107)

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 04:23 PM

Originally posted by CupWanted

what side of the total are you looking at TA? lot of people on the under but Miami's defense looked awful vs. Fla State (who struggled to score 20 vs. Jacksonville State) and Clemson but up a big number on Ga. Techs D. I'm leaning over and Ga. Tech.

Should have it posted in Shits & Giggles (College Football Forum) once the last person who entered a points contest posts or at 7:31pm EST - whichever one comes first.

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

Yea, I'm all right. Just embarrassed more than anything else for putting myself into the situation. Should no better. Ruined a pretty good record too. Still some chance to catch up tho.

Please take no offense when I tell you this, a "pretty" record does not mean you will always be cash positive. Taking it a step further, I'd rather go 1-4-0 and be up 4.50 units than 4-1-0 and be down 2.75 units. Only ones who need that "pretty" record are touts and I'm fairly certain you and others know my thoughts about them.

Originally posted by MexicanStallion

September 17th
A's +100 (10 to win 10)
Braves -240 (24 to win 10)
Orioles -101 (10.10 to win 10)
Red Sox -157 (15.70 to win 10)
White Sox -124 (12.40 to win 10)

Time to turn it around tonight,

Originally posted by Nastrovje

+2.01

adding
2* Indians (-101)
1* Red Sox (-162)
1* White Sox (-130)
1* Rays (-107)

went up with the size of a unit, because of that I play less units
1 unit is now 150 and not 100

with the added ones

Since you've changed unit size, please indicate your record in BOTH units since a win and loss is worth more at the higher juice.

Nastrovje · 09-17-09, 04:29 PM

too complicated

I change the units

VegasPlayer · 09-17-09, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

Early Play:

KC ML/U7.5 Parlay +248 .5 Units

PHI RL -140 1 Unit
FL -113 1 Unit
OAK -103 1 Unit

t4_ever · 09-17-09, 05:00 PM

Hi Oda11,

Gtech $1.9 + Pheonix -1 $1.9 = $3.61

Combine them into 1 game with odds = $3.61

Go for it mate... !!! For sure this will nail it

VegasPlayer · 09-17-09, 05:04 PM

Please take no offense when I tell you this, a "pretty" record does not mean you will always be cash positive. Taking it a step further, I'd rather go 1-4-0 and be up 4.50 units than 4-1-0 and be down 2.75 units. Only ones who need that "pretty" record are touts and I'm fairly certain you and others know my thoughts about them.

None Taken. Could care less about W-L as long as units are +.

$KARMA$ · 09-17-09, 05:23 PM

Originally posted by CupWanted

what side of the total are you looking at TA? lot of people on the under but Miami's defense looked awful vs. Fla State (who struggled to score 20 vs. Jacksonville State) and Clemson but up a big number on Ga. Techs D. I'm leaning over and Ga. Tech.

Agree! Tech's secondary (not the entire D) is who got lit up in that Clemson game, but their O looks good. Leaning with Ga. as well, but line is now 4 not 5.5 like it was yesterday. There's some ATS stats that work for G.T. as well. I'm still looking it over, but really like the Y.J.

Spaceviews · 09-17-09, 05:42 PM

Good Evening to ALL

Hope everyones selections work in their favor.

I've learned alot from
all of the different contributions freely given on this thread. THANKS ALOT GUYS & AS ALWAYS.......
BREAK A LEG EVERYONE!!!!!

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by VegasPlayer

Please take no offense when I tell you this, a "pretty" record does not mean you will always be cash positive. Taking it a step further, I'd rather go 1-4-0 and be up 4.50 units than 4-1-0 and be down 2.75 units. Only ones who need that "pretty" record are touts and I'm fairly certain you and others know my thoughts about them.

None Taken. Could care less about W-L as long as units are +.

Time for you to turn things over and remove that red.

Hope you saw what in

&

for tonight's game.

TodaysAction · 09-17-09, 05:59 PM

Originally posted by Nastrovje

too complicated

I change the units

Not all all, is EASY. Other choice list only new unit size record or list money up or down for all.

$KARMA$ · 09-17-09, 06:08 PM

LAA 1.0 U