Our average money line is -179 which puts us at a 65% break even. I'm batting 80% which is significantly better. And yes according to our model there is value on that big line.
Comment
Jefferey13
SBR Wise Guy
07-10-13
624
#108
Originally posted by ShogunRua
Value can be found at any odds. It does't matter if he plays all -500 games or all +500 games. He just has to cap appropriately. The line in and of itself doesn't make the pics good or bad.
Comment
ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#109
i really hope you hit on TEX tonight man, or else your most likely gonna feel the full wrath of SBR trolls.
Comment
JayLA
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-12
7806
#110
Originally posted by ItsMeMrMattE
i really hope you hit on TEX tonight man, or else your most likely gonna feel the full wrath of SBR trolls.
Dude, there are no trolls in this thread. You're really sympathizing with this guy? He's a creep. He wants your money. He doesn't want to help you become a better sports bettor.
Comment
italianbandit
SBR MVP
05-17-11
2622
#111
This is a joke thread, someone is just having fun.
Comment
ShogunRua
SBR MVP
12-23-09
4668
#112
Originally posted by italianbandit
This is a joke thread, someone is just having fun.
This.
Guy starts a thread saying he's a math guy with a 'value model' that spits out -300 favorites and averages -170 favorites.
Comment
JayLA
SBR Hall of Famer
09-11-12
7806
#113
Yea I thought this too, this has to be a joke.
But would someone really make a website as a joke? Register the domain and everything? Not expensive but seems like a lot of work just to laugh at us.
Comment
ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#114
Originally posted by JayLA
Dude, there are no trolls in this thread. You're really sympathizing with this guy? He's a creep. He wants your money. He doesn't want to help you become a better sports bettor.
by troll, i just meant people giving him crap for starting a thread. hes just some young college guy with a little bit of investment knowledge most likely. and probably recently realized that it could be applied to sports betting. its likely that he didnt even know what the word tout meant when he started his website. just let him post his picks, and ignore his site promotions if it bothers you. no need to call him names and run him off.
Comment
jackmyhoggoff
SBR Wise Guy
07-20-10
840
#115
Real QUITE in here TONIGHT!
Comment
Jefferey13
SBR Wise Guy
07-10-13
624
#116
quite what in here?
Comment
jackmyhoggoff
SBR Wise Guy
07-20-10
840
#117
Originally posted by Jefferey13
quite what in here?
Ithink at least thats where I'm at ! And YOU?
Comment
ShogunRua
SBR MVP
12-23-09
4668
#118
Originally posted by Jefferey13
quite what in here?
You are right. That -300 favorite was screaming value. He really shut everyone up with that play.
Comment
Charlie103
SBR Wise Guy
07-14-13
560
#119
Originally posted by ShogunRua
You are right. That -300 favorite was screaming value. He really shut everyone up with that play.
get a life
Comment
Jefferey13
SBR Wise Guy
07-10-13
624
#120
Guys I was a making a joke. He said QUITE which means nothing in the context of his sentence. He meant QUIET
Comment
80percentwinner
Restricted User
08-18-13
39
#121
Updated record: 35-9.....79.55 % winners
Comment
pulledclear
SBR Hall of Famer
02-19-12
6684
#122
That Chalk is gonna kill you faster then a bullet. Covers needs it favorite Idiot back.
Comment
goduke
SBR Posting Legend
02-17-10
11580
#123
Originally posted by 80percentwinner
Updated record: 35-9.....79.55 % winners
Again on here you are now 1-1 not a make believe 35-9 that you say you are. And your one win is texas -285 jesus
Comment
Smutbucket
SBR MVP
03-14-08
4006
#124
ya atleast track units if your gonna waste our forum space with this thread
Comment
Jefferey13
SBR Wise Guy
07-10-13
624
#125
OP is 1-1 and -0.22 U
(assuming he bets to win one unit on favs and bets one unit on dogs)
Comment
iceman9870
Restricted User
03-09-09
38
#126
nice record!
Comment
hockey216
SBR MVP
08-20-08
4583
#127
you dont make a thread and past-post a bunch of winners from weeks ago. only count games you release in this thread BEFORE the start of the game. easy to win 80% when you're betting the games after they're over.
Comment
hockey216
SBR MVP
08-20-08
4583
#128
hey everyone on sbr i went 80-20 on plays the last 3 months. its easy for me to say i hit 80% last 3 months when im releasing the plays after the game is over. anyone want to buy my plays?
lol. dont make any claims about your record for plays that were not posted in this thread prior to start time. post your plays in here, then monitor your record IN THIS THREAD. we dont trust your claims about your past record because there is no proof.
besides, if your system is picking all -240 favorites... yea you will hit 60% but you will lose money. you will never average 80% in mlb long term no matter what system you use (even big chalk). even if you hit 60% you lose money.
Comment
agendaman
SBR MVP
12-01-11
3747
#129
where is the spreadsheet for 35-9
Comment
jackmyhoggoff
SBR Wise Guy
07-20-10
840
#130
SBR War of word forums!! Got to like it there everywhere.
Comment
80percentwinner
Restricted User
08-18-13
39
#131
Detroit -205
Comment
joco
SBR MVP
04-24-11
3242
#132
seriously? another -200 favorite...
Comment
KidSeoul
SBR MVP
11-27-05
1203
#133
Originally posted by 80percentwinner
Detroit -205
There are far better games with better "risk adjusted return" on the slate tonight. Just letting you know before the next wave of shiet lands on your lap.
Comment
dilaudid8
SBR MVP
10-19-10
1866
#134
joco whats up. yeah that guy is something else like you said -200 my god. I don't know how many time's I will have to say this the risk is not worth the reword. even if you win the game you lose.
Comment
ItsMeMrMattE
SBR Hall of Famer
08-30-10
5294
#135
Originally posted by 80percentwinner
Detroit -205
does your system never consider RL?
Comment
ShogunRua
SBR MVP
12-23-09
4668
#136
Guys, he's obviously joking/trolling. There is no system or model.
Comment
Solid
SBR Hustler
06-09-13
53
#137
Fading texas tonight.
Comment
SlickRick1382
SBR MVP
10-15-11
3838
#138
Just to be safe I took Detroit +2.5
I full expect to hit over 90%
Comment
blackeyeshamus
SBR Hall of Famer
02-19-11
6632
#139
Originally posted by Jefferey13
OP is 1-1 and -0.22 U
(assuming he bets to win one unit on favs and bets one unit on dogs)
That's right.
Now risking two and change to win one.
Yawn.
What a clown!
Comment
D Med
SBR MVP
09-22-12
1127
#140
So you're telling me I can pay someone to give me -200 favorites?