80.19 % Winners MLB.....will post here everyday now

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  • 80percentwinner
    Restricted User
    • 08-18-13
    • 39

    #1
    80.19 % Winners MLB.....will post here everyday now
    new to sbr. on an unreal run with this financial model i developed in my investments class. was messing around and applied it to sports. i will post my plays right after games start since I am looking to make some side cash from selling picks but need to build credibility first.



    here is games so far. started betting baseball (my least favorite sport) 4th of july weekend. lets hope i dont regress to the mean now and look like an idiot.

    07/04/13 Rockies
    07/05/13 Cardinals
    07/06/13 Cardinals
    07/06/13 Rays
    07/07/13 Cardinals
    07/08/13 Rays
    07/09/13 Rays
    07/10/13 Tigers
    07/11/13 Tigers
    07/12/13 Pirates
    07/13/13 Rays
    07/14/13 Rays
    07/19/13 Cardinals
    07/20/13 Cardinals
    07/21/13 Cardinals
    07/22/13 Angels
    07/23/13 Rockies
    07/24/13 Cardinals
    07/25/13 Cardinals
    07/26/13 Tigers
    07/27/13 Mariners
    07/28/13 Mariners
    07/29/13 Rangers
    07/30/13 Dodgers
    07/31/13 Dodgers
    08/01/13 Baltimore
    08/02/13 Tigers
    08/03/13 Tigers
    08/04/13 Tigers
    08/05/13 Mariners
    08/06/13 Pirates
    08/07/13 Pirates
    08/08/13 Pirates
    08/09/13 Reds
    08/10/13 Reds
    08/11/13 Reds
    08/12/13 Rockies
    08/13/13 Braves
    08/14/13 Braves
    08/15/13 Tigers
    08/16/13 Tampa Bay
    08/17/13 Boston
  • getsome777
    SBR High Roller
    • 05-04-10
    • 163

    #2
    Looks like a great record. Why not give us all a winner for Sunday? Then you might get some business . Just saying . Thanks
    Comment
    • KANSAS24
      SBR MVP
      • 01-28-09
      • 2492

      #3
      OH,YOU WANT US TO BUY THEM! I WILL POST MY PLAYS RIGHT AFTER THE GAME STARTS-FLK OFF, AND I WILL POST MY PLAYS AFTER THE GAMES ARE OVER
      BUY THIS
      Comment
      • BiffTFinancial
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 01-29-09
        • 22670

        #4
        If you want to achieve 80% long-term win rate, you're going to have to post your picks right after the games end rather than right after they begin. BOL!
        Comment
        • agendaman
          SBR MVP
          • 12-01-11
          • 3729

          #5
          can you believe that shit KANSAS24 80% winners post plays after game starts want to build credibility unreal
          Comment
          • snakedrew
            SBR High Roller
            • 01-24-13
            • 157

            #6
            How about you make some 'side cash' betting the games instead of selling your picks?
            Comment
            • agendaman
              SBR MVP
              • 12-01-11
              • 3729

              #7
              you learned this crap from a college investment class was your professor named brock landers
              Comment
              • El Nino
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 05-03-12
                • 18426

                #8
                Go fukk yourself, scamdicapper.

                Reported.
                Comment
                • strat1x
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 05-09-13
                  • 998

                  #9
                  80% winners!!!!
                  Comment
                  • KANSAS24
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-28-09
                    • 2492

                    #10
                    HE ASKED FOR IT
                    Comment
                    • RavensFan2k3
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-18-12
                      • 17378

                      #11
                      Originally posted by agendaman
                      you learned this crap from a college investment class was your professor named brock landers
                      lmfao
                      Comment
                      • Mikail
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 07-19-09
                        • 21689

                        #12
                        fukkin tard tryin to scam. GTFOH!
                        Comment
                        • jackmyhoggoff
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 07-20-10
                          • 840

                          #13
                          HEY NOW!! LET'S give this guy a chance before we hang him. Why is everyone so aggresive towards him? Let's start today by asking him to post his next 10 games to actually see if he hits 8 of them,which makes IT very easy to figure and if he does we should all do business with him NOW !! I'm ready is everyone else ? This is going to be fun not to mention very profitable for all of us plus him in the end. LET'S GET STARTED !! BEFORE the games start of course!!
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            if you could hit 80% then you wouldnt need to sell your picks.

                            you would just bet the games your self.

                            I hope SBR bans this scam artist.
                            Comment
                            • agendaman
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-01-11
                              • 3729

                              #15
                              that is not a spreadsheet anyway lets give him a shot BEFORE games start
                              Comment
                              • PickoMoff
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 07-08-13
                                • 638

                                #16
                                Originally posted by KANSAS24
                                OH,YOU WANT US TO BUY THEM! I WILL POST MY PLAYS RIGHT AFTER THE GAME STARTS-FLK OFF, AND I WILL POST MY PLAYS AFTER THE GAMES ARE OVER
                                BUY THIS
                                Comment
                                • masr
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-20-07
                                  • 4773

                                  #17
                                  What a jakk off....
                                  Comment
                                  • 80percentwinner
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 08-18-13
                                    • 39

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by agendaman
                                    that is not a spreadsheet anyway lets give him a shot BEFORE games start
                                    ok so before the games start it is. thanks for the input. sorry if I came on too strong, like i said i'm new to this. and i have been betting them its just i only bet to win 250 I don't exactly have large sums of cash to throw on these games. i know its a small sample size of games too so what if I start pressing and I revert to the mean. can't really take those chances. especially after a week like this where the model has picked 7-0 kinda makes you feel like its gotta end ya know?

                                    anyways this is a value model. doesn't tell you wether one game is more likely than another but rather if the juice you are paying comes at at greater cost. in the end the 80% isn't really what matters its the risk-adjusted return. for example someone could bet 80% with all the games at -250 but someone who is 70% with games at -170 will have a better risk-adjusted return. my strategy is about achieving "alpha" for lack of better terms. more return with less risk.

                                    heres some of the outputs ive been keeping track of after running the actual model. used to keep track of ERA differential between starting pitchers too but after multiple attempts at multivariate regression analysis couldnt really find it to be a significant variable. anyway pick coming later. thanks again for listening.
                                    Comment
                                    • JayLA
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 09-11-12
                                      • 7806

                                      #19
                                      Who's winning today, guy?
                                      Comment
                                      • a4u2fear
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-29-10
                                        • 8147

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by JayLA
                                        Who's winning today, guy?
                                        Will be posted after the game ends
                                        Comment
                                        • jackmyhoggoff
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 07-20-10
                                          • 840

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by jackmyhoggoff
                                          HEY NOW!! LET'S give this guy a chance before we hang him. Why is everyone so aggresive towards him? Let's start today by asking him to post his next 10 games to actually see if he hits 8 of them,which makes IT very easy to figure and if he does we should all do business with him NOW !! I'm ready is everyone else ? This is going to be fun not to mention very profitable for all of us plus him in the end. LET'S GET STARTED !! BEFORE the games start of course!!
                                          THATS more like IT !! Show us your stuff and if it works I'm in if not Thanks anyway! LOVE EFFORT from ANYONE with guts to deliver the ultimate goods $$$$$$! LET THE FUN & $$ begin.
                                          Comment
                                          • jackmyhoggoff
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 07-20-10
                                            • 840

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by a4u2fear
                                            Will be posted after the game ends
                                            READ before you POST !!
                                            Comment
                                            • agendaman
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 12-01-11
                                              • 3729

                                              #23
                                              multivariate regression analysis listen if you pk. winners consistently i will tail you pks. soon ok
                                              Comment
                                              • 80percentwinner
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 08-18-13
                                                • 39

                                                #24
                                                ok I said will post RIGHT AFTER the game starts in my original posting. meaning 1 minute after it starts. just so I wasn't feeding you guys free winners. i never said after the games are over so stop putting words in my mouth people.

                                                BOSTON -122

                                                lets lock that 8-0

                                                I hope this is early enough....
                                                Comment
                                                • dilaudid8
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-19-10
                                                  • 1866

                                                  #25
                                                  guy's i'm with you but it's his thread 80 percent winners can't be done. even if he bets all big chalks it can't be done. 70 percent can't be done gl
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jackmyhoggoff
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 07-20-10
                                                    • 840

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by 80percentwinner
                                                    ok i said will post right after the game starts in my original posting. Meaning 1 minute after it starts. Just so i wasn't feeding you guys free winners. I never said after the games are over so stop putting words in my mouth people.

                                                    Boston -122

                                                    lets lock that 8-0

                                                    i hope this is early enough....
                                                    thanks & gl ta!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • KidSeoul
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-27-05
                                                      • 1203

                                                      #27
                                                      Just did a search on his domain and of course it was created just last week.

                                                      I guess anyone can proclaim to be a "pro" capper these days.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KidSeoul
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-27-05
                                                        • 1203

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by jackmyhoggoff
                                                        READ before you POST !!
                                                        Anyone else getting the feeling that this guy might be 80percentwinner?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • getsome777
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 05-04-10
                                                          • 163

                                                          #29
                                                          Thanks for the post. Lets go Boston.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • riffraff24
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-20-11
                                                            • 7234

                                                            #30
                                                            LMAO sell us your picks. eat my ass
                                                            Comment
                                                            • frugalgambler
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-30-13
                                                              • 3418

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by dilaudid8
                                                              guy's i'm with you but it's his thread 80 percent winners can't be done. even if he bets all big chalks it can't be done. 70 percent can't be done gl
                                                              He might have sold his soul to Satan. On a more serious note, going 8 out 10 while betting on -120/-130 favs is really not that hard and is very statistically possible. Hell, I went 7-0 on my first 7 picks playing streak for cash. I am ~50% since. What I am saying is that to really trust this guy, he needs to go at least 20 out 25. Then I will believe in Satan.

                                                              Oh, and he is clearly a scammer.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jackmyhoggoff
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-20-10
                                                                • 840

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by KidSeoul
                                                                Anyone else getting the feeling that this guy might be 80percentwinner?

                                                                YOU new KID been here a longtime ! You Fake or real? 05 your old to.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • HockeyRocks
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-10-13
                                                                  • 6069

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Dempsters record against Yanks..

                                                                  In last 7 starts against the Yanks, Dempter is 0-5 with a


                                                                  6.98 ERA with 26 walks in 38 2/3 innings..


                                                                  I will take the Yanks over the 4 runs...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • KidSeoul
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-27-05
                                                                    • 1203

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by jackmyhoggoff
                                                                    YOU new KID been here a longtime ! You Fake or real? 05 your old to.
                                                                    I've been a member here since 2005.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • jackmyhoggoff
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 07-20-10
                                                                      • 840

                                                                      #35
                                                                      ALREADY said that in my post 05!
                                                                      Comment
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