Smutbuckets MLB Conservative System '13

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  • Smutbucket
    SBR MVP
    • 03-14-08
    • 4006

    #71
    4/10/12
    Giants (-140) Risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit
    Comment
    • joco
      SBR MVP
      • 04-24-11
      • 3242

      #72
      im ridin with zito too pal
      Comment
      • Smutbucket
        SBR MVP
        • 03-14-08
        • 4006

        #73
        we got this....1-0 already
        Comment
        • Poison-Nut
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-14-13
          • 303

          #74
          I took a crap on that Rockies game earlier, but took Yankees -118 and stretching with Chi Sox +147. Only .5 unit each. I am on such a down streak I am playing conservative now.
          Comment
          • Smutbucket
            SBR MVP
            • 03-14-08
            • 4006

            #75
            woohoo...trying to gain a little momentum here....



            what you guyys like for tmrw? I just dumped more cash into my acct so I can up my amount per units....I feel a little win streak on the way....


            Thread YTD:
            8-12-2
            -5.78 units
            Comment
            • joco
              SBR MVP
              • 04-24-11
              • 3242

              #76
              tomoro is kinda sketchy. i like the giants again but i havnt seen a line. also ill probably take the tigers assuming they will rebound from todays pathetic loss
              Comment
              • Smutbucket
                SBR MVP
                • 03-14-08
                • 4006

                #77
                4/11/13
                Orioles (+105) Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
                Blue Jays (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units


                ....im a josh joshnson lover....
                Comment
                • DEUCED
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-02-10
                  • 615

                  #78
                  I'm a big fan of Josh too. He's due. Any thoughts on the total? Jays bats are heating up.
                  Comment
                  • Smutbucket
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-14-08
                    • 4006

                    #79
                    not really, only really like totals rarely if I see a perfect storm of a combination of weather, ballpark, pitching, and situational factors.....a lot of parks I just dont play totals on, detroit is one of those that doesnt have much of an edge for either..actually a couple years ago I was looking into shadow factor and I think detroit is one of the stadiums that has a shadow during certain times in between the pitcher and home plate, that could be valuable for an under in late innings.....

                    i used to always go under wtih JJ too but too many ?'s for me, so lean under if gun to the head
                    Comment
                    • DEUCED
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 02-02-10
                      • 615

                      #80
                      Sounds good to me. Good luck today. Great value with the jays.
                      Comment
                      • joco
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-24-11
                        • 3242

                        #81
                        I think jj is done forever after that surgery he had n he'll never be the same. I don't like anything today too much but ima go with the tigers and maybe the giants even tho vogelsong had a bad outing last time
                        Comment
                        • Smutbucket
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-14-08
                          • 4006

                          #82
                          good call joco on jj being done....hes awful....thinking about fading phil hughes and going with cleveland tonight....maybe just the over....any thoughts?
                          Comment
                          • Poison-Nut
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 02-14-13
                            • 303

                            #83
                            Originally posted by Smutbucket
                            4/11/13
                            Orioles (+105) Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
                            Blue Jays (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units


                            ....im a josh joshnson lover....
                            I like the Orioles as well, I have them at +108.
                            Also on Oakland +118.
                            Won on Detroit earlier today.
                            Comment
                            • Smutbucket
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-14-08
                              • 4006

                              #84
                              Adding:
                              Cleveland -110 . Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
                              Comment
                              • joco
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-24-11
                                • 3242

                                #85
                                not on that total i dont. i like orioles tonite and white sox tt ov 3.5
                                Comment
                                • CappinTerp
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 11-26-09
                                  • 9650

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                  not really, only really like totals rarely if I see a perfect storm of a combination of weather, ballpark, pitching, and situational factors.....a lot of parks I just dont play totals on, detroit is one of those that doesnt have much of an edge for either..actually a couple years ago I was looking into shadow factor and I think detroit is one of the stadiums that has a shadow during certain times in between the pitcher and home plate, that could be valuable for an under in late innings.....

                                  i used to always go under wtih JJ too but too many ?'s for me, so lean under if gun to the head
                                  Good luck buddy......FYI it is not even close LAA has the worst shadow factor in baseball, if sunny and clear the batter has no chance for a few innings.!
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #87
                                    BOL tonight, Smut. with you on O's and have the Tribe on the emotional ML. FYI, looks as if they are going to have a rain delay at the start of the game.
                                    Comment
                                    • Smutbucket
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 03-14-08
                                      • 4006

                                      #88
                                      4/12/13
                                      Baltimore (+135) Risking 1 unit to win 1.35 units
                                      White Sox (+125) Risking 2 units to win 2.5 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Poison-Nut
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-14-13
                                        • 303

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                        4/12/13
                                        White Sox (+125) Risking 2 units to win 2.5 units
                                        Comment
                                        • joco
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 04-24-11
                                          • 3242

                                          #90
                                          i have the complete opposite plays as u...
                                          Comment
                                          • Smutbucket
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-14-08
                                            • 4006

                                            #91
                                            4/13/13
                                            Baltimore (+105) risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
                                            Angels (-200) risking 2 units to win 1 unit
                                            Cardinals (-175) risking 1.75 units to win 1 unit

                                            juice day.....prepare to be buried
                                            Comment
                                            • joco
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-24-11
                                              • 3242

                                              #92
                                              damn bro that angels play is scary. love the cards and baltimore i dunno that game could go either way. phil hughes mite be alrite
                                              Comment
                                              • Smutbucket
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-14-08
                                                • 4006

                                                #93
                                                angels keep burying me so my logic is they have to win this win for me
                                                Comment
                                                • joco
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 04-24-11
                                                  • 3242

                                                  #94
                                                  ehhh i dunno bout that dan. theyll be better in a month or two. last year they started off real slow too
                                                  Comment
                                                  • EXhoosier10
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-06-09
                                                    • 3122

                                                    #95
                                                    GL today smut. I'm with you on baltimore
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Smutbucket
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-14-08
                                                      • 4006

                                                      #96
                                                      thanks hoosier

                                                      were easy $$ unders early on, i barely had time to look at card today but just noticed lot of people I usually tail were on tb/bos under and chc/det under......wish I had time to take those! dammit! just got done with all the bs I had to do today sonow just got an afternoon of baseball
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Smutbucket
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-14-08
                                                        • 4006

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                        4/13/13
                                                        Baltimore (+105) risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units
                                                        Angels (-200) risking 2 units to win 1 unit
                                                        Cardinals (-175) risking 1.75 units to win 1 unit

                                                        juice day.....prepare to be buried

                                                        HELL YA I NEEDED THAT! my angels came thru for me, now I can stop betting on them....lol.....I was about to lose it when kendrick got that retarded out to end the 8th.....

                                                        much needed

                                                        day results :3-0 +3.05 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Smutbucket
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 03-14-08
                                                          • 4006

                                                          #98
                                                          Thread YTD:
                                                          12-15-3
                                                          -5.68 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EXhoosier10
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-06-09
                                                            • 3122

                                                            #99
                                                            Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                            thanks hoosier

                                                            were easy $$ unders early on, i barely had time to look at card today but just noticed lot of people I usually tail were on tb/bos under and chc/det under......wish I had time to take those! dammit! just got done with all the bs I had to do today sonow just got an afternoon of baseball
                                                            Tb/Bos under was a great play. Price and Lester are great + ump in that game was a top 3 under ump. Unfortunately It took me until after the game to realize I had the wrong rotation plugged in for that series, so I never even looked at it. Oh well, we both ended up with solid days
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BiffTFinancial
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 01-29-09
                                                              • 22670

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by Smutbucket
                                                              HELL YA I NEEDED THAT! my angels came thru for me, now I can stop betting on them....lol.....I was about to lose it when kendrick got that retarded out to end the 8th.....

                                                              much needed

                                                              day results :3-0 +3.05 units
                                                              great day, woot!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Smutbucket
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-14-08
                                                                • 4006

                                                                #101


                                                                4/14/13
                                                                2 Team Parlay (+175) Reds + Nationals . Risking 1 unit to win 1.75 units
                                                                Atl/Wash under 7 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Smutbucket
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-14-08
                                                                  • 4006

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Adding
                                                                  Arizona (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit
                                                                  Detroit (-130) Risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit
                                                                  Angels -1 (-190) Risking 1.9 units to win 1 unit

                                                                  lookout.....
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Smutbucket
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-14-08
                                                                    • 4006

                                                                    #103
                                                                    hell ya! saved by tilt!

                                                                    Day Results : 3-2 +.9 units


                                                                    slowly but surely....rise outta the red
                                                                    YTD : 15-17-3 -4.78 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Smutbucket
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 03-14-08
                                                                      • 4006

                                                                      #104
                                                                      big card today....

                                                                      4/16/12
                                                                      Padres Team total Over 3 (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit
                                                                      Red Sox (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
                                                                      Arizona (+115) Risking 2 unit to win 2.3 units
                                                                      CWS (+140) Risking .5 units to win .7 units
                                                                      KC (+160) Risking 1 unit to win 1.6 units
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Smutbucket
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 03-14-08
                                                                        • 4006

                                                                        #105
                                                                        4/17/13
                                                                        Angels TT Over 4 (-125) Risking 1.25 units to win 1 unit
                                                                        Reds (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit
                                                                        Seattle (-105) Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit
                                                                        Dbacks (+140) Risking .5 units to win .7 units
                                                                        Comment
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