Smutbuckets MLB Conservative System '13

[Smutbucket]

4/4/13
Phil (+120) Risking 2 units to win 2.4 units W

Adding:
4/4/13
Angels (+105) Risking 1 unit to win 1.05 units L

Day Results : 1-1 +1.4 units

[Smutbucket]

Thread YTD: 4-4 +0.34 units

[joco]

I lost every play today lol

[Smutbucket]

love this card....

4/5/13
Cardinals (+100) Risking 1 unit to win 1 unit
Brewers -1 (+124) Risking 1 unit to win 1.24 units
Angels (+105) Risking 2 units to win 2.1 unitss

[Poison-Nut]

Like. Smut I Brewers at -1.5 +165, should I still take it?

[Smutbucket]

ya I got a bit sprinkled on -1.5 too...

brewers hammer lefties, likewise with stlouis......

[pacocn]

Smut, love the Angels bet, also think the pirates are
worth a look as a big dog +188.

[Smutbucket]

ya good luck on ur plays paco,

I couldnt bet against greinke but the way dodgers are hitting right now you never know you might get a nice little low scoring win.....Ive never seen this guy sanchez pitch so im staying away from it.....

angels are due for a win! was watching em yesterday looked like their bats started to come around....except hamiliton....drives me nuts with all his strikeouts....I keep hearing on ESPN the stat "angels have 36 strikeouts in the first 3 game series" ....ya well 20% of them were hamilitons....7 out of 15 AB's....rediculous

[joco]

I'm on rangers Yankees +1 brewers and phillies today

[Poison-Nut]

Joco, is the Yankees pick just for value, or do you see something else in this game. I just think Fister is in a good spot vs Nova.

[joco]

It was for value. I think nova is a good pitcher. -180 for Detroit was absurd

[Poison-Nut]

Tough lose Joco on those Dam Yankees. I just have a hard time betting on them, since I am a Mets fan, and can't stand the Yanks. So when I do bet the game, usually it's against them or nothing. Unless there is truly a huge play that is somewhat of a guarantee (unfortunately there is guarantees in sports betting)

[Smutbucket]

whenever I love a card in baseball....sure enough...I get buried

need to be more conservative.........

[joco]

Tough lose Joco on those Dam Yankees. I just have a hard time betting on them, since I am a Mets fan, and can't stand the Yanks. So when I do bet the game, usually it's against them or nothing. Unless there is truly a huge play that is somewhat of a guarantee (unfortunately there is guarantees in sports betting)

yea i thought it looked promising up 3-2 but then fielder woke up...tougher loss for me on the phillies who were up 4-0 after 4 then fell apart completely lol. i hate it when that happens..

who u guys got today

[Smutbucket]

4/6/13
Braves -1 (-135) Risking 1.35 units to win 1 unit

hedging out of milwakee.....just realized that braun, hart, aramis all sitting.....just gonna subtract -.1 units from total today for hedge out costs....

hoping for a nice turn around today.....want to back my angels again but resisting....

[Poison-Nut]

I'm on board with Braves, but fading the Brewers.

I took Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
Astros +120 - This one might have been a reach. But I just think Bud Norris has heat and strikes out batters. Also Colon is garbage, and has missed time in Spring, so he could be rusty.

I also am leaning Rockies -142

[Smutbucket]

poison-nut like astros too I got them in a lil parlay....

good luck fellas.....

bolzano stfu

[Smutbucket]

I'm on board with Braves, but fading the Brewers.

I took Dodgers -1.5 (-105)
Astros +120 - This one might have been a reach. But I just think Bud Norris has heat and strikes out batters. Also Colon is garbage, and has missed time in Spring, so he could be rusty.

I also am leaning Rockies -142

just hedged out of milwakee...didnt see the lineup....

[Smutbucket]

never been so thrilled for a push......what a comeback.....hell ya marmol!


thread YTD: 4-7-1 -3.76 units

(subtracted -.1 for hedge out of Milwaukee too)

[Poison-Nut]

Horrible day for me. Smut how do you get -1 on these games. I need to switch websites. All the games are -1.5. Or unless you buy them down to -1.

Mother F-ing Dodgers, kershaw pitches a gem, and they can only muster up 1 freaking run. What a joke.
Note to self, never bet on the Astros ever again. Sorry just venting right now.

[Smutbucket]

if your book offers -1.5 and ML, than your book offers -1...they pretend they dont but they really do....you just have to do some simple arithmetic and place 2 bets instead of 1.....follow this calculator....makes it even easier......http://sportsobjective.com/wordpress...ML1runcalc.php

I love -1 RL, books dont offer it cuz theyre freaking money makers.......my book doesnt offer it either I just use the calculator....

ya dodgers bats are really struggling right now....like ridiculously bad, think I saw stat during game was 6-41 with RISP on season, something ridiculous.....what u thinking for today? im feeling a much needed bounce back day....

just from glance want to take cubs and samardizja again, probably 1st five though cuz of marmol, possibly pirates ryu is gargbage and the way the dodgers bats are hitting right now, detroit -1, CC is done, oakland (andersons $$), and angels bc im such a homer, yu just being way too overvalued for his almost no hitter against houston.....

[joco]

love todays card. couldnt help myself. put so many plays in...marlins, giants, cubs 1st 5, kc, dodgers, rockies 1st 5

what u guys got

[Smutbucket]

just locked in cubs FF as well........cant resist playing all these

4/7/13
Cubs First Five (+120) Risking 1 unit to win 1.2 units
Detroit -1.5 (-110) Risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit
Rays -1 (-157) Risking 1.57 units to win 1 unit
Angels (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units

[befus]

Good luck guys. Played a group of half unit overs......don't like any all that much....recipe for disaster.

[joco]

Samardzja is such a piece of shit. 2 outs in bottom of the fifth n he walked the pitcher Hudson...

[joco]

Omg and the Fukkin marlins screwed me over too. Cooool. Terrible luck today for me

[Smutbucket]

baseball......

wtf rays and detroit.....

[Poison-Nut]

I am in a slump myself, went 0-3 yesterday and 0-2 today so far.

I am still waiting on the SF/Cards Under 7, and also played Angels +118. If I go 2-0 with these picks, I am OK. If I go 0-2 with these, I might take a day or 2 off to get my thoughts together.

[Smutbucket]

rough start. lets see if I can get out of this whole I dug myself in before busting out.....can only last til about -20 units til june than I needa take a break.....

4/8/13
Twins (+125) Risking 2 units to win 2.5 units
Seattle -1 (-120) Risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit

[joco]

like both of those dan. only thing that scares me is its kc's first home game this season right?

[joco]

Fml...another blown save. Had a big play on the cards...I'm so disgusted right now

[Poison-Nut]

Hit the Seattle game with you Smut. Missed out on the Twins game though, didn't get it in in time.

Leans for tomorrow gents???

[Smutbucket]

....cant tell you how happy I am for that seattle win......

4/9/13
Padres (+115) Risking 1 unit to win 1.15 units
Nats (-155) Risking 1.55 units to win 1 unit
Nats -1.5 (+150) Risking .5 units to win .75 units


thinking about adding on phils FF or maybe mets team total under once lines come up.....

[Roadkill86]

Holy crap! What a tilting loss on the Runline by the Nats! If you didn't see it, Soriano surrendered a 2-out, 2-run homer in the 9th before retiring Konerko to secure the 8-7 win.

[Smutbucket]

damn I didnt see it......of course walked away from my pc after first out in 9th figuring it was a win ....ridiculous....oh well...Im just happy though for my first day in + units since.....day 1 i think...lol....

Day results : 2-1 +1.65 units