mlb chase 2013

jakejd82 · 04-20-13, 12:29 AM

I did, Cheers

. Gotta trust the system ! What a sweat

Had a total of 64 units on the game....

Jellybeans · 04-20-13, 12:33 AM

With all those hits, finally got a run in!!
Nice D bet winner!!

CheeseHead · 04-20-13, 12:34 AM

Originally posted by jakejd82

I did, Cheers

. Gotta trust the system ! What a sweat

Had a total of 64 units on the game....

Just can't see putting 64 units on one game. Especially one you'll feel that'll be close. Took a hit in the bottom of the 9th to win. I hope this amount of juice on D bets wasn't common last year.. Luckily the Giants won but you can't be thrilled risking 64 units to win around 32 and the game being that close. Hope the soccer game comes through for everyone tomorrow!

jakejd82 · 04-20-13, 12:38 AM

Originally posted by CheeseHead

Just can't see putting 64 units on one game. Especially one you'll feel that'll be close. Took a hit in the bottom of the 9th to win. I hope this amount of juice on D bets wasn't common last year.. Luckily the Giants won but you can't be thrilled risking 64 units to win around 32 and the game being that close. Hope the soccer game comes through for everyone tomorrow!

Obviously wasnt thrilled about it, and I actually got the line before it moved down so I was actually juiced more. I started the chase with over 400 units(understanding that this is a very volatile system). Good luck in the soccer game for those of you that parlayed !

Jellybeans · 04-20-13, 12:39 AM

Didn't parlay.
BOL to all on the soccer game.

dalogester · 04-20-13, 01:18 AM

I did. but i missed a bet so i only bet 30 units.

tar_baby · 04-20-13, 05:29 AM

NICE SF GIANTS WIN! Whew!

Greg242 · 04-20-13, 07:17 AM

So same dodger bet today because of today's rain out correct?

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 08:17 AM

I sure did not and ill freely admit it. Anybody that did has HUGE balls and poor bankroll management and I admire them and feel sorry for them at the same time.

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 08:47 AM

So same dodger bet today because of today's rain out correct?

Dodgers?? were they ever a play??

I am so freaking pissed off at 5 Dimes - what a pathetic lying group sports book. I'll never deal with them again. Lied to me twice!!

I deposited $250 (most I can do with CC) and cust service said I would get the bonus. I contacted them this morning and they said - I did not agree to bonus - I get reduced juice (which is worthless in baseball) I say I already get that. They say - sorry, you never agreed. I get lower lines at other books then 5 Dimes. grrrrrr

Hax · 04-20-13, 08:50 AM

Quick goal at BVB game. Hopefully they won't mess up.

knugen · 04-20-13, 08:52 AM

Mmm unfortenately i took RL on giants last night, gonna keep fading padres on the RL

ColdBeerHere · 04-20-13, 09:29 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Dodgers?? were they ever a play??

I am so freaking pissed off at 5 Dimes - what a pathetic lying group sports book. I'll never deal with them again. Lied to me twice!!

I deposited $250 (most I can do with CC) and cust service said I would get the bonus. I contacted them this morning and they said - I did not agree to bonus - I get reduced juice (which is worthless in baseball) I say I already get that. They say - sorry, you never agreed. I get lower lines at other books then 5 Dimes. grrrrrr

not sure if you are in the US or not, but same thing happened to me at one of my books...I believe it was DSI...I never ended up getting any kind of bonus they promised...After I ran through my BR there I never reloaded. Sucks these Books got the players by the balls.

jakejd82 · 04-20-13, 09:30 AM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

I sure did not and ill freely admit it. Anybody that did has HUGE balls and poor bankroll management and I admire them and feel sorry for them at the same time.

Isn't a chase system basically the definition of poor bankroll management? I believe if your going to play a system then you should play it the way it was back tested and meant to be played, if you cant handle the swings then you probably shouldn't be playing a chase system. You have to understand that there can be 100+ unit swings in a matter of days, whether it is one incredibly juiced series or the summation of many... Either way good luck to you and everyone else on the soccer game.

tar_baby · 04-20-13, 09:46 AM

Gotta trust the chase! HUGE night! Have to admit I was sweating it but Stifler comes through again!

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 10:14 AM

hmmmm so you start with 100 units, are down 35, have 9 units wagered and still have a 54 unit play? And no - I never trust chases you would be a fool to trust a chase. Especially when posted past results do not agree with actual results.

BUT then again - I have lost 90 units in chases in the last 2 weeks so perhaps I'm a little gun shy. Plus - I can not enter wagers THAT big in my sports book. $500 is the limit.

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 10:15 AM

Games start in less then an hour - Atlanta??? Thos a "P" games so no plays until NEXT time they pitch? ???

Still have NYY Fade Toronto right? +103

Stifler · 04-20-13, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by Stifler

19.04.2013

S1

(A Bet) SD fade: San Francisco 1,476 2,10u

S2

(A Bet) Cle fade: Houston 2,09 0,917u

S3

(D Bet) SD fade: Dod 1,526 1,90u | Dod 1,549 5,282u | Dod + PSG 2,147 7,133u | SF + BVB 2,202 12,74u
(A Bet) SF: San Francisco 1,476 2,10u
(A Bet) TB: Tampa Bay 1,901 1,11u
(A Bet) NYY fade: Toronto 1,84 1,19u
(A Bet) Oak fade: Tampa Bay 1,855 1,17u
(A Bet) Cubs fade: Milwaukee 1,885 1,13u

P1

(A Bet) T.Hudson: Atlanta -1,5 2,41 0,709u
(A Bet) B.Morrow fade: NY Yankees 2,10 0,909u

P2

(A Bet) T.Hudson: Atlanta 1,82 1,22u

records:
S1: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
S2: W 2 | L 0 (+2,00 units)
S3: W 33 | L 1 (-3,503 units)
P1: W 2 | L 0 (+2,00 units)
P2: W 1 | L 0 (+1,00 units)
P3: W 0 | L 0 (0 units)

pending:
- P2 Masterson, B Bet on next start
- P1 T.Hudson, B Bet on next start
- P2 T.Hudson, B Bet on next start
- S3 NYY fade, B Bet on 20.04.2013

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 10:32 AM

I have never lost a germain soccer wager!!! 1-0 baby!!

Stifler · 04-20-13, 10:39 AM

20.04.2013

S1

(A Bet) Stl: St.Louis 2,25 0,80u

S3

(B Bet) NYY fade: Toronto 1,84 1,19u | Toronto 2,00 2,19u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,73 1,37u
(A Bet) CHW: Chicago White Sox 1,625 1,60u

P1

(A Bet) M.Buehrle: Toronto - waiting on line movement

P2

(A Bet) M.Buehrle: Toronto 2,00 1,00u

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

theanswer03k · 04-20-13, 10:46 AM

woah 3 plays on the jays today ._.

comala57 · 04-20-13, 11:06 AM

Glad Boston is a system play. Good spot for a huge emotional win for the locals who need a positive thing in their life right now!

tar_baby · 04-20-13, 11:13 AM

if you don't trust a chase then why play it?

wow...90 units last two weeks...that sucks

Originally posted by Grinder12000

hmmmm so you start with 100 units, are down 35, have 9 units wagered and still have a 54 unit play? And no - I never trust chases you would be a fool to trust a chase. Especially when posted past results do not agree with actual results.

BUT then again - I have lost 90 units in chases in the last 2 weeks so perhaps I'm a little gun shy. Plus - I can not enter wagers THAT big in my sports book. $500 is the limit.

dalogester · 04-20-13, 11:44 AM

Gtfo

Stifler · 04-20-13, 11:50 AM

- P1 Toronto line added.

20.04.2013

S1

(A Bet) Stl: St.Louis 2,25 0,80u

S3

(B Bet) NYY fade: Toronto 1,84 1,19u | Toronto 2,00 2,19u
(A Bet) Bos: Boston 1,73 1,37u
(A Bet) CHW: Chicago White Sox 1,625 1,60u

P1

(A Bet) M.Buehrle: Toronto 2,00 1,00u

P2

(A Bet) M.Buehrle: Toronto 2,00 1,00u

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

cwin32 · 04-20-13, 11:53 AM

Let's hope Buehrle is 'due' but he's 1-11 vs NYY in his career

alexknyc · 04-20-13, 12:04 PM

Originally posted by cwin32

Let's hope Buehrle is 'due' but he's 1-11 vs NYY in his career

The Yankees of this year are not the Yankees of years past for various reasons.

Which, I guess, highlights a fundamental flaw of a system that picks and chooses teams based on past results (rather than just identifying +EV situations).

Greg242 · 04-20-13, 01:03 PM

Good luck today everyone

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 01:32 PM

Damn it - missed two Toronto games grrrrrrrr GL all

dlunc3 · 04-20-13, 01:35 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Damn it - missed two Toronto games grrrrrrrr GL all

You can have mine

skyscrapers · 04-20-13, 02:32 PM

Blue Jays ties it!!!

Bautista home run here would be nice!!

Lakey · 04-20-13, 05:06 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

hmmmm so you start with 100 units, are down 35, have 9 units wagered and still have a 54 unit play? And no - I never trust chases you would be a fool to trust a chase. Especially when posted past results do not agree with actual results.

BUT then again - I have lost 90 units in chases in the last 2 weeks so perhaps I'm a little gun shy. Plus - I can not enter wagers THAT big in my sports book. $500 is the limit.

It's poor bankroll bankroll management to start this system with only 100 units, especially when it was advised to start with more. I halved my unit size for this chase and started with 200 units so was able to play the SD fade in full. I would consider that good bankroll management.

Grinder12000 · 04-20-13, 05:36 PM

Actually the advice was 75ish. This is my 3rd chase and I've studied four chases game by game so I know what to expect and when you have a 1 in 1500 games, unit bet of that size AND for a bet that wins 50% of the time . . .. I'll pass. . .

J.M. Disciple · 04-20-13, 05:46 PM

.....

Lakey · 04-20-13, 06:53 PM

Originally posted by Grinder12000

Actually the advice was 75ish. This is my 3rd chase and I've studied four chases game by game so I know what to expect and when you have a 1 in 1500 games, unit bet of that size AND for a bet that wins 50% of the time . . .. I'll pass. . .

You must be reading a different thread to me.