SaberSystem 2013

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 6/25

2 UNITS

TEX -130
PIT -109
PIT/SEA O7 -102
ARI/WAS U7.5 -110
TOR/TB U8 -105
ATL/KC U7.5 +105

1 UNIT

WAS -147
CHC +116
CHC/MIL U8 -101
SD -120
PHI/SD O7.5 +105
LAA +131
LAA/DET U9 +100
BAL -120
CLE/BAL U9 +110
TOR +122
MIN -102
MIN/MIA O7 -115
BOS -176
COL/BOS U9.5 +100
ATL -107
OAK -129
CIN/OAK O7.5 -120
TEX/NYY U7.5 -108

[gamblingisfun]

13-10-1 for +4.14 units

YTD: 669-588-29
UNITS: +23.49

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 6/26

2 UNITS

TOR/TB U8.5 -110
CLE/BAL U9.5 -105
TEX/NYY U9 -111
ATL/KC U8 +105

1 UNIT

WAS -146
ARI/WAS U7.5 -105
MIL -135
CHC/MIL U8 +109
LAD -184
SF/LAD O6.5 -117
TOR -101
BAL -143
TEX +119
MIN -110
MIN/MIA U8 -104
CIN +111
CIN/OAK U7.5 +105
NYM +120
NYM/CHW U8 +115
ATL -123

[gamblingisfun]

11-8-1 +3.68 units

YTD: 680-596-30
UNITS: +27.17

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 6/27

2 UNITS

TEX -121
CLE/BAL U9 +110
TOR/BOS U10 -115
KC/MIN U8.5 +105

1 UNIT

MIL -112
CHC/MIL U8 +105
WAS -141
ARI/WAS U6.5 +106
LAD -182
PHI/LAD O7 +100
LAA +140
LAA/DET O8.5 -105
CLE +121
TOR +168
MIN -134
NYM +156
TEX/NYY U8.5 +105

[gamblingisfun]

9-8 today for +.93 units

YTD: 689-604-30
UNITS: +28.10

2 UNIT ML: 82-79
2 UNIT TOTAL: 107-92

1 UNIT ML: 281-244
1 UNIT TOTAL: 219-189

I don't count pushes in my separate unit totals so there could be some pushes on 2 unit and 1 unit totals

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 6/28

2 UNITS

CHC/SEA O7 +110

1 UNIT

MIA -118
SD/MIA U7.5 -105
NYM -146
WAS/NYM U6.5 +105
COL -135
LAD -153
PHI/LAD O8 -103
STL -104
STL/OAK U7.5 -110
CHC +136

[barryt]

Hi Gamblingisfun
firstly I agree with your handle.
I'm a newbie around here and I usually gamble on Hockey and Football and hardly ever on baseball.
To fill in some summer hours and have some fun, I am looking to 'tail someone [some people ]on Baseball. Your selectins look pretty good , regular and consistent. So I'm going to tail you.
I have one question/request. Can you [easily] split up your records to show performance[YTD] on 1 and 2 unit bets seperately
tx
barryt

[gamblingisfun]

Hi Gamblingisfun
firstly I agree with your handle.
I'm a newbie around here and I usually gamble on Hockey and Football and hardly ever on baseball.
To fill in some summer hours and have some fun, I am looking to 'tail someone [some people ]on Baseball. Your selectins look pretty good , regular and consistent. So I'm going to tail you.
I have one question/request. Can you [easily] split up your records to show performance[YTD] on 1 and 2 unit bets seperately
tx
barryt

Thank you, i hope I'm up even more units after being followed from here on out. I updated my last record post to include separate unit amount records

[joco]

dont want to jinx u but u have been in the black more days than not the last couple weeks. very nice bro. consistent

[gamblingisfun]

4-7 for -2.95 units tonight

YTD: 693-611-30
UNITS: +25.15

2 UNIT ML: 82-79
2 UNIT TOTAL: 108-92

1 UNIT ML: 282-249
1 UNIT TOTAL: 221-191

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 6/29

2 UNITS

CLE -118
LAA -135
PHI/LAD O6.5 -110
TOR/BOS U10.5 -101
CIN/TEX U9.5 +110
CHC/SEA O7 -125

1 UNIT

COL -107
MIA +108
SD/MIA U7.5 -120
PHI -108
TOR +140
CLE/CHW O9 +102
LAA/HOU U9 +105
TB +129
DET/TB O7.5 -101
STL -116
STL/OAK U7.5 -117
TEX -109
CHC -105

[gamblingisfun]

11-7-1 today for +7.65 units

YTD: 704-618-31
UNITS: +32.80

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 6/30

2 UNITS

ATL -145
PHI -102
LAA (-1.5) +100
STL +122
NYY/BAL U8.5 -110
TOR/BOS U10 +100
KC/MIN U8 +105
CLE/CHW O7.5 +110
CIN/TEX U8 -101

1 UNIT

PIT -138
MIL/PIT U8 -105
ARI/ATL U7.5 +102
PHI/LAD O8 -110
BAL -116
TOR +123
TB -123
DET/TB O7.5 -110
KC -116
CLE +126
TEX -143
LAA/HOU U9 -122
STL/OAK U8.5 +110
CHC +105
CHC/SEA O8.5 -105

[gamblingisfun]

15-9 for +7.70 units

YTD: 719-627-31
UNITS: +40.50

[joco]

Awesome bro

[barryt]

Nice WE.
i don't bet exactly as you do, but I made 9 units 'tailing your selections on the WE[fri-sun]. keep up the good work
tx
barryt

[gamblingisfun]

Nice WE.
i don't bet exactly as you do, but I made 9 units 'tailing your selections on the WE[fri-sun]. keep up the good work
tx
barryt

I'm happy you jumped in at the right time and caught a couple great days for me

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/1

2 UNITS

NONE

1 UNIT

WAS -173
MIL/WAS U7 +106
ARI -107
ARI/NYM U7.5 -110
MIA -134
SD/MIA U7.5 -112
MIN +100
NYY/MIN U8.5 -115

[gamblingisfun]

3-5 for -2.26 units today. thanks to the dbags who blew 2 saves in the same game

YTD: 722-632-31
UNITS: +38.23

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/2

2 UNITS

PIT (-1.5) +125
BAL -113
SF/CIN U8.5 -115
DET/TOR U9.5 -117
SEA/TEX U9.5 -105

1 UNIT

WAS -230
MIL/WAS U7.5 -115
ARI -130
ARI/NYM O7 -120
CIN -176
ATL -250
MIA/ATL U7.5 -107
TOR +128
TEX -150
CLE +108
CLE/KC U9 -125
NYY +101
NYY/MIN U8 +111
OAK -188
CHC/OAK O7.5 +101
STL +111
STL/LAA U8 -101
PHI/PIT O7.5 -115
BAL/CHW O8.5 -105

[gamblingisfun]

Had some pitching changes cancel bets, so 8-12 for -8.79 units, rough day

YTD: 730-644-31
UNITS: +29.44

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/3

2 UNITS

ATL (-1.5) +105
NYM (-1.5) +130
TB -141
TB/HOU U8.5 -104
DET/TOR U8.5 -112
SD/BOS U10 -103
CHC/OAK O7.5 +105
STL/LAA U8.5 -103

1 UNIT

COL +102
TOR +112
SEA +113
SEA/TEX U8 -110
MIA/ATL O7.5 +110
ARI/NYM O7 +105
NYY -153
NYY/MIN U8.5 -115
CLE -103
CLE/KC U8.5 +110
BOS -184
OAK -195
STL -105
PIT -184
PIT U8 -105

[barryt]

Too many choices for me to follow. I Am just concentrating on the 2 unit sides. tx barryt

[gamblingisfun]

12-11 -2.04 units yesterday

YTD: 742-655-31
UNITS: +27.40

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/4

2 UNITS

NYM +104
TB (-1.5) +100
TB/HOU U9 -115
STL -131
SF/CIN U8 -107
DET/TOR U8.5 -115
SEA/TEX U8.5 +105
SD/BOS U10.5 -115

1 UNIT

CIN -133
ARI/NYM O7.5 -112
PIT -136
PHI/PIT O7.5 +102
COL -122
KC -140
CLE/KC O8 -108
STL/LAA U8 -109
TOR +115
SEA +117
BOS -151

[gamblingisfun]

8-9 for -5.22 units

YTD: 750-664-31
UNITS: +22.18

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/5

2 UNITS

PIT -136
TB (-1.5) +105
TEX (-1.5) -110
HOU/TEX U9.5 -115
MIA/STL U8.5 -109
LAD/SF O6.5 -115
MIN/TOR U9 -110
SEA/CIN U8.5 -110

1 UNIT

LAD +117
SEA +170
ATL +134
ATL/PHI O7 -125
WAS -147
SD/WAS U7.5 -103
STL -169
CLE -125
DET/CLE O8.5 -115
TOR -163
CHW/TB O8 -104
KC +103
OAK/KC U8.5 +100
LAA -132
BOS/LAA O8.5 +105

[gamblingisfun]

14-9 for +10.28 units

YTD: 764-673-31
UNITS: +32.46

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/6

2 UNITS

PIT -123
WAS (-1.5) +105
ATL -120
TB -133
TEX (-1.5) -150
BAL/NYY U9 +105
OAK/KC U8.5 +100
HOU/TEX U8.5 -115
SEA/CIN U8.5 -105

1 UNIT

LAD +155
LAD/SF O7 -112
SD/WAS U8 +105
NYM +128
NYM/MIL U8.5 -105
ATL/PHI U8.5 -105
NYY -115
KC -114
CHW/TB O7 +107
CIN -225

[gamblingisfun]

6-12-1 for -9.30 units

YTD: 770-685-32
UNITS: +23.16

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 7/7

2 UNITS

ATL -142
WAS (-1.5) -115
STL (-1.5) +125
ARI (-1.5) +100
TB (-1.5) -105
TEX (-1.5) -105
SEA/CIN U9 -120
BAL/NYY U8.5 +100
OAK/KC U9 -105

1 UNIT

ATL/PHI U8.5 -105
SD/WAS O7.5 -104
MIA/STL U7 +112
COL/ARI U9 -120
NYY -127
DET -130
DET/CLE U8.5 +105
CHW/TB O7.5 +110
KC +124
BOS +114
BOS/LAA O8 +105
HOU/TEX U9.5 +105
CIN -180

[josie88]

The '2 unit, 1 unit' looks like it's working well. Have you ever done a half or full kelly betting formula comparison? Nice work in any case.

[gamblingisfun]

The '2 unit, 1 unit' looks like it's working well. Have you ever done a half or full kelly betting formula comparison? Nice work in any case.

I haven't tried any kelly style betting because I guess I don't know if I fully trust what my expected edge on a bet is, even if I could figure it out. I'd imagine I'd think my actual edge (if any) is way lower than I think it is and I bet too much and lose more.

[Sixla]

new to baseball betting and your thread, seems really interesting. Just curious if u use a model and how much time goes into the daily picks, also wondering how so many picks qualify...good luck the rest of the way