SaberSystem 2013

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/9

2 UNITS

ARI -118
MIN +139
DET -123
PHI/ARI U8 -115
OAK/CLE U8.5 +110
TOR/TB O7.5 +100
MIN/BOS U9.5 -105

1 UNIT

PIT +102
PIT/NYM O7.5 -102
CLE +114
TOR +138
LAA -148
LAA/HOU U9 -110
COL +109
DET/WAS U7.5 +105

[gamblingisfun]

7-8 for +2.03 units

YTD: 228-204-12
UNITS: +11.10

[gamblingisfun]

Here's a recap of how I'm doing so far this season.

Totals: 99-103-12, 49.01%, -11.55 units
Money Lines: 129-101, 56.09%, +22.64 units
Combined: 228-204-12, 52.78%, +11.10 units

Faves(all bets with -odds, or if odds are both -110 for ex, the one that is laying the 1.5): 77-46, 62.60%
Dogs(all bets with +odds, or if odds are both -110 for ex, the one that is getting the 1.5): 52-55, 48.60%

2 unit Total bets: 27-27, 50.00%, -2.61 units
2 unit Money Line bets: 35-24, 59.32%, +12.75 units

% bets on faves: 53.48%
% bets on dogs: 46.52%

% bets on OVERS: 40.74%
% bets on UNDERS: 59.26%

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/10

2 UNIT

ATL/SF O7 +110
CLE/DET U8.5 -105
NYY/KC U8 -117

1 UNIT

WAS -139
CHC/WAS U7 +110
PIT -105
PIT/NYM O7.5 +100
CIN -144
MIL/CIN U8-120
STL -159
COL/STL U7.5 -103
MIA +120
MIA/LAD O7+110
SF -123
DET -190
MIN +105
MIN/BAL U8.5 +100
NYY +101
SEA -130
OAK/SEA O6.5 -120
SD +163
SD/TB O8 +110

[gamblingisfun]

6 out of the last 7 days were positive. 16-6 today for +9.09 units

YTD: 244-210-12
UNITS: +20.18

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/11

2 UNITS

WAS -190
ARI -110
DET (-1.5) -115
PHI/ARI U8 -110
TOR/BOS U9.5 -110

1 UNIT

CHC/WAS O7 +100
COL +154
COL/STL U7.5 -120
SF -126
ATL/SF O7 +113
MIA +181
MIA/LAD O6.5 -125
BOS -179
NYY +128
NYY/KC U7.5 -125
CLE/DET O7.5 -107

[gamblingisfun]

Perfect day for totals today, 10-6 on the day for +.71 units

YTD: 254-216-12
UNITS: +20.89

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/12

2 UNIT

PHI/ARI U9 -112
NYY/KC U7.5 -120
OAK/SEA U8 -122
COL/STL U8 -120

1 UNIT

CIN -148
MIL/CIN U8.5 -103
PIT +174
PIT/NYM O7 +105
WAS -159
CHC/WAS O7 -115
STL -159
SF -102
ATL/SF O7.5 +115
ARI -120
NYY +103
MIN -102
BAL/MIN O8 -105
OAK -128
LAA +122
LAA/CHW U7.5 -110
TB -147
SD/TB O8 -125

[gamblingisfun]

10-12 today for -2.17 units

YTD: 264-228-12
UNITS: +18.72

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/13

2 UNIT

DET(-1.5) -130
KC/LAA U9 -115

1 UNIT

PIT -147
MIL/PIT O7 -115
STL -181
NYM/STL U7.5 +103
CHC -116
ATL +101
ATL/ARI U8 -115
WAS -125
WAS/LAD O7 +105
HOU/DET O8 -101
LAA -131
TEX +113
TEX/OAK U8 -107

[gamblingisfun]

8-7 for -.24 units

YTD: 272-235-12
UNITS: +18.48

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/14

2 UNIT

CIN -170
DET (-1.5) -135
TB -142
MIN -102
ATL/ARI U9 +105
BOS/TB O8 +110
KC/LAA U8.5 -116
SD/BAL U8 +106

1 UNIT

MIL -107
MIL/PIT O7.5 -115
CIN/MIA U7 +106
CHC -130
ATL +122
LAD -177
WAS/LAD O6.5 -108
NYY -119
SEA/NYY U6.5 +100
HOU/DET O8.5 +101
KC +116
CHW/MIN U8 +110
TEX -108
TEX/OAK U7.5 -115
CLE -124
CLE/PHI U8 +100
BAL -133
SF +128
SF/TOR U8.5 +105

[gamblingisfun]

10-15-2 for -.71 units

YTD: 282-250-14
UNITS: +17.77

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/15

2 UNITS

CIN -182
STL (-1.5) -105
TEX -105
TB -125
BOS/TB O7 +100
SEA/NYY U7.5 +107
SD/BAL U9 +110

1 UNIT

ATL +103
ATL/ARI U8 +105
PIT -125
MIL/PIT U7.5 +105
CIN/MIA U8 +105
CHC -126
MIN -126
CHW/MIN U8.5 +110
NYM/STL U8 -105
NYY -119
TEX/OAK O8 -105
BAL -152
CLE +152
CLE/PHI U7.5 +113

[gamblingisfun]

10-9-2 today for +1.08 units

YTD: 292-259-16
UNITS: +18.85

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/16

2 UNIT

STL (-1.5) -115
SEA/NYY U8.5 +102

1 UNIT

NYM/STL O7.5 -108
SF -111
SD +130
WAS/SD U7 -125
NYY -162
DET +101
DET/TEX O7.5 -105

[gamblingisfun]

2-5 for -4.39 today. pitching change for seattle cancelled the total bet and the nyy bet

YTD: 294-264-12
UNITS: +14.46

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/17

2 UNIT

CIN +105
SF -115
ARI/MIA U7 -103
MIL/STL U8.5 -112
DET/TEX U10.5 -105

1 UNIT

CHC +118
MIA +141
CIN/PHI O7 -104
LAD +122
LAD/ATL O7 -115
STL -161
SEA +145
SEA/CLE U8.5 -105
NYY -148
TOR/NYY U8.5 -110
BAL -113
TB/BAL O8.5 -117
DET +114
BOS -141
BOS/MIN U8.5 -121
KC -108
KC/OAK O7 -110
CHW +105
CHW/LAA O7 -110

[gamblingisfun]

11-13 for -5.03 units today

YTD: 305-277-16
UNITS: +9.43

[austintx05]

how do you put together a model using sabermetrics?

[gamblingisfun]

how do you put together a model using sabermetrics?

I don't want to give away exactly how I do it. Just look up sabermetrics on google or on this forum and you can learn how useful they can be. The numbers don't lie, they can tell you exactly how well a player or team is doing.

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/18

2 UNITS

CHC -136
SF -117
PIT (-1.5) -115
DET/TEX U9.5 +100
BOS/MIN U9 -111
MIL/STL U8 -110

1 UNIT

CIN -101
CIN/PHI U8 -110
STL -161
SD +112
WAS/SD U6.5 +116
CLE -148
SEA/CLE U8.5 +102
MIN +123
DET -124
KC +119
KC/OAK U7.5 -125
HOU/PIT O7.5 +120

[gamblingisfun]

7-11 today for -7.48

YTD: 312-288-16
UNITS: +1.95

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/19

2 UNITS

CIN -142
ATL -183
CHC -150
ARI/MIA U7.5 -115
WAS/SD U7 -110
BOS/MIN U10 -105
KC/OAK U8 +105
DET/TEX U9 +105

1 UNIT

ARI -158
SD -123
SEA -115
SEA/CLE O7 -117
NYY -134
TOR/NYY U8 +105
TB -107
TB/BAL O8.5 +100
BOS -122
LAA -113
CHW/LAA O7.5 -105
KC +146
TEX -117
CIN/PHI O8 +100
LAD/ATL U8 +100

[gamblingisfun]

11-10 for -1.53 units

YTD: 323-298-16
UNITS: +.42

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/20

2 UNITS

BOS -145

1 UNIT

PHI -162
PHI/MIA U7 +100
MIL +121
LAD/MIL U7.5 -110
COL -105
SEA -102
SEA/CLE O7.5 -115
ATL -155
MIN/ATL U8.5 -110
BOS/CHW U8.5 +105
NYY -143
NYY/BAL U8 +110
STL -137
STL/SD O7 -125

[gamblingisfun]

6-9 for -5.90 units

YTD: 329-307-16
UNITS: -5.47

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/21

2 UNITS

CIN -115
MIL +117
SF -119
LAD/MIL U8.5 -105
OAK/TEX U9 -110
WAS/SF O6.5 -105

1 UNIT

COL -123
SD +127
STL/SD O7 -105
TB -142
TB/TOR U9.5 -115
DET -128
DET/CLE O8.5 -115
TEX -198
KC -125
KC/HOU U8.5 -105
BOS -103
BOS/CHW U9 -107
ATL -182
MIN/ATL U8 +105
CIN/NYM U8 +105

[gamblingisfun]

14-7 today for +9.95 units

YTD: 343-313-16
UNITS: +4.48

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/22

2 UNITS

MIL -104
LAD/MIL U8.5 +105
SF -149
WAS/SF O6.5 -105
KC (-1.5) -125
ATL -175
NYY/BAL U9 -105

1 UNIT

CIN +100
CIN/NYM O6.5 -110
COL -127
PIT -133
CHC/PIT O7 -115
MIA +157
PHI/MIA O6.5 -106
TB -105
TB/TOR U9.5 -115
NYY -110
DET -143
DET/CLE O8 -105
LAA -175
SEA/LAA O8.5 -105
KC/HOU O7.5 -115
MIN/ATL U8 -115

[gamblingisfun]

10-12-1 today for -7.86 units. Took losses on most 2 unit bets today. Gave back most of what I won yesterday....

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/23

2 UNITS

MIN/DET U9 -106
CLE/BOS U9.5 -110

1 UNIT

DET -169
BOS -144
PIT -140
CHC/PIT U7.5 +100
KC -131
LAA/KC U8.5 -105

[gamblingisfun]

3-5 today for -5.12 units

YTD: 356-331-17
UNITS: -8.51

[gamblingisfun]

Plays for 5/24

2 UNITS

ATL -161
STL -118
OAK -158
OAK/HOU U8.5 -115
CHC/CIN U8 -104
PIT/MIL U7.5 +100
SD/ARI U8.5 +105
PHI/WAS O6.5 -110

1 UNIT

ATL/NYM U7.5 -110
STL/LAD O7.5 +105
PHI +155
CIN -147
PIT -101
SD +120
COL +139
COL/SF U8 -110
NYY -102
NYY/TB U8.5 -120
CLE +100
CLE/BOS U9 -103
LAA -111
LAA/KC U8.5 +102
TEX -109
TEX/SEA U8 -112

[gamblingisfun]

Thanks to a suspended game 2 bets were cancelled. 12-9-1 on the day for +5.86 units

YTD: 368-340-18
UNITS: -2.65