Bankers 2015 NFL

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1
    Bankers 2015 NFL
    meant to have this up sooner but ya'll know how that whole life thing goes. anyways im here now and will be throughout the season.

    most already know this but for those who dont ill say it anyways, nobody consistently whips the nfl year after year, NOBODY. ive had monster years, terrible years, and a whole bunch of so so years where i ended up or down not enough to even mention. last year was pretty ugly so here is hoping my lifelong trend of the next year never being same as last in this sport continues

    no point in going over games that have already started so lets get to the later games. gonna be short and sweet today and im sorry but pressed for time, going forward i will have more write ups and as always am happy to discuss any game ya'll would like.

    lions +3.5. (1.5x)... honestly i dont get this line at all, i dont feel sd home field is even worth 3 points and on a neutral field i have lions rated several points better than sd.

    det ml +165 (.5x)

    zona-2.5 (1x).. this team for whatever reason is continually disrespected by oddsmakers and it seems as if nothing has changed. i think saints will be improved this year but i still rate cards as the better team and honestly think this line should be 4.

    no/arz ov 48. (1.5x)... cards are blitzing even more than they did last season when they blitzed more than any other team, they take chances and when they create turnovers they look to score. love me some ultra aggressive defenses as it gives us chance for defensive points and leaves them vulnerable to big plays, i think they will pick brees a few times and he will also roast them for a couple big plays. love arians and his offense scheme which is as aggressive as the defense, they take shots and have the horses to get behind the saints secondary. i expect several quick strikes from every unit in this gm, offense, defense and special teams in a gm i think both teams hit 24.


    oak ml +140 (1x).. black hole generally claims a few victims even when the raiders are terrible and i think the quickly improving squad with a qb they can build around, a solid oline and wr corp, and a d i think will be improved under del rio. long as the ginger under center and bungals coach is a retard i dont care how much talent they have and they do have a lot. problem is the guy running the show and guy under center are not even nfl caliber imo..

    balty +4.5. (1x).. dont like backing these fools on the road and they really short on weapons on the outside. thing is with tessman calling plays they will be running back eccentric and broncos really struggled with rbs catching passes out of the backfield last season. peyton is beyond washed up, ravens should be very familiar with kubiacs offensive scheme and id expect they are jumping short routes like crazy since nobody is scared of peyton beating them with balls 20 yards plus down the field. think this will be somewhat low scoring and tight so taking the points is the only way to go imo..

    bal/den 1st half un 24 (1.5x) .. den gonna run and run some more and when they not it gonna be dink and dunk which interesting since kubs has always been a run and take shots off play action type guy. donks oline suspect at best and just dont see den running gm having a lot of success. imo both defenses better than the respective offenses and the number still high even though it been beat way down (damn shame i didnt start early cause i would pounded under 52 or whatever it opened at!).. only worry is donks fast starters so i am prepared to pop the 2nd half under if this gets beat..

    Gmen+7-125 (2x).. this line crazy imo. i dunno even wtf to say? dal is horrible as a home fav under garret and eli typically plays very good in jerry's house. considering how awful i think dal defense is id expect that to continue. nyg defense is nothing special either and i suspect this is gonna be a track meet. feels like a gm where whoever has the ball last wins so im perfectly happy getting a td and the extra point..

    ill be back for any potential halftime plays and i love the falcons on monday night but we will discuss that later..
  • survive
    SBR MVP
    • 01-08-11
    • 2388

    #2
    Good luck homie! Like the plays
    Comment
    • survive
      SBR MVP
      • 01-08-11
      • 2388

      #3
      Interested to hear your Falcons thoughts. Everyone on philly for that one it seems
      Comment
      • dfish
        SBR MVP
        • 12-17-10
        • 2730

        #4
        Good post & write ups , on Balty ,Zona myself.
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          mia-4 2nd half (1x)
          Comment
          • Pick'nParlays
            SBR MVP
            • 02-22-08
            • 3134

            #6
            Like Miami second half

            Oddly disagree with the others minus that under in Denever

            Bol 2
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #7
              2nd half

              jags +2 (.75x) under 20.5 (1x)
              Comment
              • Vinnie Paz
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-27-12
                • 12177

                #8
                What's good fam.....gonna take that zona over too. Don't think either team will run the ball effectively too which should help the over.

                Your lambs puttin on a whoopin!!
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Vinnie Paz
                  What's good fam.....gonna take that zona over too. Don't think either team will run the ball effectively too which should help the over.

                  Your lambs puttin on a whoopin!!
                  really surprised, i mean i know they always play the big boys tough at home but i didnt trust them. i hit the 1st half under and was done with it. sux i didnt post in time to post my early plays, swept the 1st half early gm card with that under, jags/pantehrs under, and bills hopefully continues into the late games!
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    Originally posted by survive
                    Interested to hear your Falcons thoughts. Everyone on philly for that one it seems
                    ill get to it later on tonight bro, figured with all the philly love wasnt a big deal to wait and most likely taking the ml anyways. in short despite what that was atl was doing last year we still talking bout a team with a insane home record since matty ice became the qb, anytime i get even a short line on them at home i play it and now they gonna give me plus money to back a QB that has a incredibly high win percentage at home? other than that im just not drinking the chip kelly cool aid and really think those 10-6 seasons he has had may be the best it gets now that he has full control and got rid of reids players. i know they did a lot to improve the d but it a lot of new pieces and still think the secondary can be had, atl defense is terrible as well but i think the coach they brought in instantly makes it at least respectable. i have no doubt both teams will score and could very well be a last team with ball wins type game but ill take plus money all day in that type of game when i get a winner under center and the other team has a cross-eyed loser under center.
                    Comment
                    • red12sox
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-28-14
                      • 1034

                      #11
                      GL bank
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #12
                        what a interception by the fish!
                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          adding

                          tampa -3 -105 (1x). better coach, better team surrounding rookie qb, and i think the far better of the 2 rookie qbs.
                          Comment
                          • Vinnie Paz
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 03-27-12
                            • 12177

                            #14
                            I feel opposite about everything you said about that Tampa game lol still not betting it though
                            Comment
                            • Allure
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-18-10
                              • 7606

                              #15
                              Winston another clown

                              First pass of career is a pick 6
                              Comment
                              • abovepar
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 02-14-12
                                • 351

                                #16
                                Does this mean bet Dallas tonight?
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #17
                                  6-5 +2.1u

                                  nothing wrong with being up after the 1st day,. really a shame i was running late this morning and couldnt post my early gms as i swept the early starts so really good day for me personally and nothing wrong with up a few units on posted. probably played too many gms but if ya know me ya know that nothing new! lol. lions was a real bummer, get off to a 21-3 start and manage to lose and not even stay within the 3.5, passed out for a nap during that gm so need to watch the replay and see wtf went wrong there? far as record goes im counting the gms i bet spread and ml as either 1 win or 1 loss unless of course they split, ultimately the money won/lost what important anyways other than det i hit the other bets of more than 1u which is always nice when you feel you weighed them properly..only really bad play i feel i made was adding tampa really late, that gm was a total pass for me but then i let a friend talk me inot it, obviously i leaned tb but was gonna leave alone. oh well , rest of even the losers i didnt feel bad about, maybe raiders. i only having 2 of what id consider really bad plays isnt bad out of 11 bets, lol..
                                  Comment
                                  • chabooky386
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-22-12
                                    • 1873

                                    #18
                                    Always good to see you on here! Good day still!!!
                                    Comment
                                    • italianbandit
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-17-11
                                      • 2622

                                      #19
                                      Nice day Bank.
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        thanx guys.. 4-0 in beat the prick with atl pending, shoulda stuck with those. lol.. problem is i overslept and didnt have time to post early games so i fired away at whole afternoon slate. lol . lions was just a kick in nuts and big swing, oak and tampa were bets i normally wouldnt have made. you know me i just like being tough on myself, that how i am with everything in my life and it serves me well, i can take it! lol..
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #21
                                          ATL+3 ev.(1x)... was gonna wait and was also gonna play the ml but gotta love bovada as a out. saw i could get the +3 at even money and figured might as well take it. no idea which way it will go considering all the philly love but i been working this ignorant night shift last few weeks and still not done with this job so wont be able to wait till game time to make the play.

                                          far as the gm goes it pretty simple. 1st and foremost there not many qbs sporting the home win percentage matty ice is since entering the league so whenever i cant get falcons on a short line or even better as dogs at home it pretty much a auto bet for me. i know last year was a disaster but this team still loaded with talent and has finally dumped that idiot coach. im gonna assume that the defense is instantly respectable at least bringing in the seahawks d coordinator as head coach. im sure it take few years to be a good unit but i believe scheme and effort makes a ton of difference on the defensive side of the ball so should be much improved from last season.

                                          from the phi side sorry but im just not drinking the chip kelly kool-aid. i really believe those 10-6 years were the best it ever gonna be and him ridding the team of all andy reids players and bringing in his guys gonna prove to be a huge mistake. i dont care how bradford looked this preseason (stafford had a incredible preseason as well and how did that bum look today?) and dont care about all these clowns that act like injuries the reason this scrub never turned into anything., fact is he was a product of system in college and being surrounded by far superior talent. dude as soft as they come and his cross eyed ass is far from any kind of leader. i thought lambs made a huge mistake drafting this clown number 1 and got over on the self proclaimed genius trading him for foles, if you didnt notice today the lambs looked better than any time since drafting bradford and it not a coincidence.. phi did do a lot to improve a awful defense but they have a ton of new pieces and id be shocked if the secondary can hold down julio and company.

                                          this game gonna be a track meet for sure and like the dal/nyg game i think it very likely the team who has the ball last is gonna win. in that scenario ill happily take the points with a proven winner in matty ice under center, cherry on top is the opposing qb is only a winner in terms of making soo much money w/o ever doing anything in his career. i think falcons bounce back this season and win the south and i get them as home dogs against a team that has more new pieces than anyone in the league this season. as i mentioned i think this gm is a close back and forth affair, probably of the shootout variety. in the end matty ice will make the plays and bradford will make the mistakes. total is insanely high but i still like the over as i believe it gonna take 31 to win this gm.

                                          3 team 7 point monday night tease (+135). 1 to 1.35

                                          atl+10
                                          ov48
                                          min/sf ov 34.5

                                          talked enough bout the atl part, far as the min/sf over it mostly playing a number and im greedy, lol... sf lost a ton on the defensive side and i really like what minny is doing on the offensive side of the ball, i think min absolutely gets into the low 20s at worst seeing how im quite sure kap will make at least one mistake that directly leads to points if not several. he will also make some plays and at this number im not asking for a whole hell of a lot. no reason niners dont at least put up 17 which in this case will be more than enough to get over this short ass number. generally not huge fan of teasing totals but in this case i think it works on a lot of levels...
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            week 2 has always been one of my fav weeks of the season, usually it because we get such out of whack lines based off ppls tendency to overreact to week 1 results. honestly im not sure i see a lot of those type lines but i see some really sexy lines none the less. cant wait to get started posting next weeks card which i will probably do sometime late 2marro night
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Good luck my man.
                                              Comment
                                              • leetreaper
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-23-10
                                                • 34841

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                week 2 has always been one of my fav weeks of the season, usually it because we get such out of whack lines based off ppls tendency to overreact to week 1 results. honestly im not sure i see a lot of those type lines but i see some really sexy lines none the less. cant wait to get started posting next weeks card which i will probably do sometime late 2marro night
                                                Yep, but kinda interesting not seeing Ten a fav after that beatdown by Mariotta.
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37140

                                                  #25
                                                  Good luck this year my friend!!

                                                  Comment
                                                  • 2daBank
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 88966

                                                    #26
                                                    kc-3 -115 (1.5x).. think this line gonna go up so playing it now. anyone who didnt believe peyton was washed up the end of last year outta go back and look at any throw he tried to make down the field sunday. dude has a noodle arm and the more teams figure out he cant beat them deep the more they gonna jump the short shit and take away the run gm. donks defense really good no doubt but the offense isnt scaring anyone, imo they have been passed by kc and the chargers at this point. for some reason balty didnt take adv of what i think donks biggest weakness is on defense and that defending rbs in the passing gm, that wont happen here as ried has always used his backs in the passing gm as well as any coach in the league. as i mentioned last week i dont think kubiaks offense is a good fit at all for peyton and donks are getting progressively worse offensively as peyton goes down hill. i do worry you can be physical and run on kc but w/o the threat of the deep ball and a suspect oline i just dont think cj anderson is enough to go into arrowhead and beat a team that gotta be licking its chops to finally take over a div that all a sudden up for grabs. give me the team that been improving every year under reid to finally knock off the declining kings of the division in a crazy arrowhead stadium on primetime..
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                      Yep, but kinda interesting not seeing Ten a fav after that beatdown by Mariotta.
                                                      they have been bet to favs now. so hard to say for me cause i just dont know how much was ten being maybe good or tampa being really bad?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • trobin31
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-09-14
                                                        • 9854

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                        Yep, but kinda interesting not seeing Ten a fav after that beatdown by Mariotta.
                                                        Originally posted by 2daBank

                                                        they have been bet to favs now. so hard to say for me cause i just dont know how much was ten being maybe good or tampa being really bad?
                                                        Think this game playing right into Cleveland's hand as their strength is their pass defense and horrible on rushing defense which rushing offense is Jets one strength. Titans went agst the team in tampa every QB gonna put up dime fantasy numbers. They can't run the ball though, and browns can make big turnover plays on 3rd and long. Either way Manziel or McCown gonna suck equally effective. All said, I like a low scoring affair here or grabbing points at home.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • leetreaper
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 10-23-10
                                                          • 34841

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by trobin31
                                                          Think this game playing right into Cleveland's hand as their strength is their pass defense and horrible on rushing defense which rushing offense is Jets one strength. Titans went agst the team in tampa every QB gonna put up dime fantasy numbers. They can't run the ball though, and browns can make big turnover plays on 3rd and long. Either way Manziel or McCown gonna suck equally effective. All said, I like a low scoring affair here or grabbing points at home.
                                                          Can't bet on Manziel, Under is probably a go.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • survive
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-08-11
                                                            • 2388

                                                            #30
                                                            Thoughts on the skins with the points vs your Rams?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GT21Megatron
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-20-13
                                                              • 10818

                                                              #31
                                                              I like Skins and Pats....Skins impressed me this past weekend. I think they fix the play calling and start opening up the playbook. They ran down Miamis fronts throat which should be on paper top 5 front in the league. Miami was out played all game long and Skins did move the ball just couldn't find the end zone...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by survive
                                                                Thoughts on the skins with the points vs your Rams?
                                                                really tough game.. i dont buy the rams as road favs, they been playing the top dogs in our division tough since fisher arrived, beating teams they are supposed too has not been our m.o...

                                                                not sure i agree with GT bout skins ability to run here though, running on the lambs front 7 is gonna be harder than it is to run on mia imo. losing jackson hurts skins if only cause he commanded respect over the top and im not sure any other skins strike that kind of big play fear into defenses?

                                                                i do not believe skins will be able to line up and pound it down rams throat and really have a hard time seeing them able to consistently sustain drives. last year rams defense put a straight ass whipping on this skins team and im not sure a lot has changed for the good offensively for washington, i have a hard time finding more than 17 or so points for the skins. that doesnt mean i dont think they will cover tho, i honestly dont think lambs score a whole hell of a lot here either.. if the way skins played last week a indicator of their game plans going forward i would expect this game to be pretty low scoring with both teams trying to establish their run games.

                                                                under 41 really the only play i like in this game.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thistimearound
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 12-26-12
                                                                  • 7

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Subbing to thread. Like your analysis a lot.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Flagrant1
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 02-22-13
                                                                    • 90

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Banker, it's good to see this thread as always. Just ignore the haters that will inevitably show up.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DOM-Ganador
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 05-30-12
                                                                      • 4479

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Jameis has been a notoriously slow starter going back to FSU and certainly last week.

                                                                      Maybe a fade 1Q and 1st H? Of course, to bet this you must have a modicum of confidence in the Saints.

                                                                      My local won`t give me any split #s until Sunday, but something like -3 1Q, -6 1H seems to be reasonable.
                                                                      Comment
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