Vikings vs. Packers Prediction: Week 10 Odds, Picks & Best Bet (Nov. 15)
Kirk Cousins being reunited with the Vikings prior to this road meeting with the Packers serves as the backdrop and biggest storyline for this NFC North rematch, and my Vikings vs. Packers prediction backs Green Bay to take advantage of Minnesota’s changes on a short week, even if the trade for Cousins is the best thing for the Vikings long-term.
Kickoff from Lambeau Field is set for 1 p.m. ET on Sunday (FOX), and the Packers are 3.5-point betting favorites.
Vikings vs. Packers picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 10 based on the latest NFL odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Packers -2.5 | -135 via BetMGM | 1 unit to profit 0.74 units |
| Under 42.5 | -120 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.83 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 12 at 2 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 2 units | Profit if all picks win: 1.57 units
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Vikings vs. Packers prediction & best bet
Packers -2.5 (-135 via BetMGM)
Green Bay is playing its best football of the season as it looks to elevate out of last place in the NFC North. The Packers are coming off season-highs in points (45) and total yards (478), and their +60-point margin since Week 4 is second-best in the league. It was also Green Bay’s fourth 45-point road game since 1966 and the first since 2011.
While Jordan Love’s connection with the receiving duo of Christian Watson and Matthew Golden is getting much of the hype around the league, Green Bay’s defensive improvement is just as important to its latest 5-1 stretch. Since Week 4, the Packers are tied for first in sacks (19), second in takeaways (17), second in pressures (103), and third in points per game allowed (16.7).
📡 SBR Edge: Minnesota's poor quarterback play
Vikings quarterbacks rank 28th in Total QBR, 31st in passing yards, and 27th in passing touchdowns. There is little doubt that Kirk Cousins will help improve upon those numbers, but it's hard to believe his impact will be immediate with having less than a week to re-acclimate to Kevin O'Connell's system.
Love's success against the blitz
We know Brian Flores’ Vikings defense loves to blitz and is doing so at one of the highest rates through nine weeks in NFL history. But Jordan Love has also thrown nine of his 19 touchdown passes against the blitz (tied for the second-most), and his 963 passing yards against the blitz leads all quarterbacks.
Love’s ability to stretch the field should give Minnesota pause on how aggressive it wants to be. Against New England, Love went 6-for-8 on throws of 20+ air yards (for 235 yards), including completing all 11 of his pass attempts against the Patriots blitz for 170 yards. For the season, on throws of 20 or more air yards, Love’s 24 completions and 892 passing yards lead the league, while he is tied for fourth with four passing touchdowns in that split.
Play to: Packers -3 (-110), pass at -3.5 or higher
Score prediction: Packers 24, Vikings 17
Live Vikings vs. Packers odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Vikings vs. Packers matchup page.
Vikings vs. Packers opening odds
- Moneyline: Vikings +135 | Packers -160
- Spread: Vikings +3 (-110) | Packers -3 (-108)
- Over/Under: Over 42 (-108) | Under 42 (-110)
Vikings vs. Packers weather
The forecast is Green Bay on Sunday is a sunny day with just a 7% chance of precipitation, temperatures in the mid 40s, and winds light at 5 mph W.
Latest Vikings vs. Packers injuries
How to watch Vikings vs. Packers: Week 10
- Date: Sunday, Nov. 15
- Kickoff: 1 p.m. ET
- Location: Lambeau Field (Green Bay, Wis.)
- TV/Streaming: Fox
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