NBA Best Bets & Expert Picks Today: Basketball Predictions for Saturday, Nov. 14

My NBA best bets today for Saturday's five-game slate are headlined by a Pistons vs. Heat pick.

I also back the league's best against-the-spread squad, while also offering my favorite player prop of the day for Cooper Flagg against the Cavaliers.

NBA best bets: Player props & ATS picks today (Nov. 14)

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.

Total wagered: 2 units | Max profit: 1.8 units

Best NBA bet today

Pistons vs. Heat prediction: Pistons -4.5 (-114)

The Pistons are one of the league's best road teams this season. Detroit is 5-1 on the road, winning by an average of 11.5 points per game. That includes a 17-point whooping of the Heat in Miami less than a month ago.

The Heat are starting to put it together with Giannis Antetokounmpo, but their performance still lags well behind market expectations. Miami is just 3-9 against the spread and 0-2 when they have a rest disadvantage, which will be the case tonight. This is a small spread for the more-rested Pistons to cover, but there's value up to -5.5.

More NBA picks & player props for Saturday

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

Bulls vs. Timberwolves prediction: Timberwolves -14.5 (-105)

Even without Anthony Edwards, the Timberwolves have the NBA's No. 1 net rating and a league-best 11-1 record against the spread. 

The Bulls have been a strong ATS team at home, but now they have to travel on the second night of a back-to-back against a Timberwolves squad that had Friday off. This is a difficult spot for a young Chicago squad, especially without injured rookie star Caleb Wilson. Minnesota's success ATS makes me confident the T-Wolves can cover 14.5 points at home tonight. I bet a half-unit at DraftKings' -105 odds, but I'd play it down to -110.

Mavericks vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cooper Flagg Over 30.5 points + assists (-115)

Tired legs could compromise the Cavaliers' defense tonight against Cooper Flagg, as Cleveland plays its third game in four nights. Flagg has hit the Over on this combo prop total in most of his games this season.

This is a solid spot for him to do so again versus a Cleveland team that ranks in the bottom third of the NBA in defensive rating. An elite transition player like Flagg should be able to take advantage of a fatigued Cavaliers frontcourt with his playmaking ability to clear 30.5 points + assists on Saturday.