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Steelers vs. Ravens Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 17: Who Will Win AFC North Rivalry Showdown?

Shane Jackson

Last Updated: January 1, 2023 12:18 PM EST • 2 min 35 sec read.

J.K. Dobbins of the Baltimore Ravens carries the ball during the first quarter of the game against the Atlanta Falcons at M&T Bank Stadium on December 24, 2022 in Baltimore, Maryland.
J.K. Dobbins of the Baltimore Ravens carries the ball during the first quarter of the game against the Atlanta Falcons at M&T Bank Stadium on December 24, 2022 in Baltimore, Maryland. Photo by Todd Olszewski/Getty Images via AFP.

The Week 17 matchup between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Baltimore Ravens was flexed into Sunday Night Football The Ravens have secured a playoff appearance while the Steelers will need to top their AFC North rivals for a chance next week. Read on for our top Steelers-Ravens NFL pick.

The latest installment of the Ravens-Steelers rivalry takes place under SNF's bright lights following a recent NFL scheduling change. In honor of some previous showdowns, the total is set in the mid 30s and fans should expect a defensive battle when these squads meet.

Baltimore (10-5) needs a win to stay in the mix for the AFC North crown, but will have to do so without star quarterback Lamar Jackson yet again. The Steelers (7-8) hope to notch their third consecutive victory, a streak that started after a 16-14 loss to the Ravens in Week 14.

Here is our best Steelers vs. Ravens NFL Week 17 pick (odds via Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our Steelers-Ravens SGP and Sunday Night Football props.

Steelers vs. Ravens Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Jan. 1, 8:20 p.m. ET
  • TV: NBC
  • Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD
  • Weather: 47 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 2-mph winds

Steelers vs. Ravens Odds

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Steelers vs. Ravens Odds Analysis

The spread has been on the move for much of the week. Baltimore opened as a 4-point favorite, but the line is down to 2.5 or 2 depending on the shop. At Pregame.com, the Steelers attracted 69% of spread bets and 78% of the handle.

As for the total, this mark started at 36 and dropped to 35 or 35.5 across the board. Like the spread, the total saw one-way traffic with the Under receiving 68% of bets and 77% of the handle. The Ravens and Steelers combined to go 20-10 to the Under this year.

Steelers vs. Ravens Pick

Ravens -2 ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

On Friday, Baltimore head coach John Harbaugh told reporters it was a “fair assumption” Tyler Huntley would get another start at QB. Jackson hasn't practiced since suffering a knee injury on Dec. 4.

Huntley didn't throw for more than 187 yards in any of his four appearances since replacing Jackson, but this line has dropped too far. With the spread now below a key number, we like betting on this Baltimore defense at home.

The Ravens rank eighth in defensive DVOA via Football Outsiders, but the unit made strides since acquiring linebacker Roquan Smith in early November. Baltimore gave up 12.7 points per game in seven contests since the trade, and held six opponents to 16 points or fewer.

This doesn’t bode well for a Pittsburgh offense that ranks an NFL 29th with an average of 17.6 PPG. The Steelers are 18th in offensive DVOA, and are led by rookie QB Kenny Pickett, who is 21st among 35 qualified quarterbacks with a Pro Football Focus grade of 69.9.

In a battle between two elite defenses, bet on the Ravens to come out on top against a young signal caller. 

Steelers vs. Ravens Best Odds

Caesars (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
-2.5-2.5-2-2-2.5
-110-110-110-110-110

This line could be had at two different shops, with both Caesars and BetMGM offering a 2-point spread. Place your bet there, giving you the best chance of getting this ticket home.

Even so, this could be played up to 2.5 at DraftKings, FanDuel, and PointsBet. It's critical to get the line under a key number, so 2.5 should be the cutoff.

Steelers-Ravens pick made 12/31/2022 at 10:05 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Shane Jackson
After graduating with a journalism degree from the University of Kansas in 2017, Shane Jackson covered college sports for a few years before moving to Las Vegas to pursue a career in sports betting. He created sports betting content for WynnBET and served as a sports gambling content director for Bet Chicago Sports. Shane’s favorite sports to watch and bet on are NFL, college football, college basketball, NBA, WNBA, and golf. Follow Shane on Twitter (@SJacksonBET) to get access to all of his betting analysis.