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Raiders vs. Chiefs NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions for Christmas Day

Philip Wood

Last Updated: December 25, 2023 12:16 PM EST • 3 min 4 sec read.

Rashee Rice of the Kansas City Chiefs runs the ball ahead of our Week 16 NFL predictions for Raiders vs. Chiefs
Rashee Rice of the Kansas City Chiefs runs the ball during the second quarter against the New England Patriots at Gillette Stadium on December 17, 2023 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

The Las Vegas Raiders and Kansas City Chiefs clash on Christmas Day as we pick our best Raiders vs. Chiefs NFL player props for Week 16 based on the best NFL odds at the NFL prop betting sites.

When these two teams met earlier this season, the Las Vegas Raiders jumped out to a 14-0 lead. However, they were outscored 31-3 over the final 40 minutes of the game.

In that recent clash, Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco stood out by securing two touchdowns, while wide receiver Rashee Rice delivered an impressive performance with eight receptions for 107 yards and one touchdown.

Meanwhile, on the Raiders' roster, running back Josh Jacobs (who has been listed OUT in the rematch) notably achieved his second 100-yard rushing game of the season, underscoring his significant impact during the matchup against the Chiefs.

In addition to our NFL Christmas Day predictions and Raiders vs. Chiefs prediction, here are our best Raiders vs. Chiefs NFL player props for Week 16 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Raiders vs. Chiefs NFL player props: Week 16

Isiah Pacheco Over 61.5 rushing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Pacheco missed last week’s game with a shoulder injury, but he did log a full practice on Friday. Because of that, it’s likely Pacheco will immediately take over his role as the lead back in Kansas City this weekend.

Pacheco only ran for 55 yards against the Raiders in the first meeting between these two teams. However, the game script won’t be the same this week, as the Chiefs will not fall behind by two scores at home. 

The Raiders are allowing 124.9 rushing yards per game. Pacheco may not see his usual number of carries, but he won’t need many to take advantage of a defense allowing 4.3 yards per rush. You may want to consider taking over 63.5 at BetMGM for a price of -103. However, because Pacheco is coming off an injury, we recommend taking the lowest number you can find, even if the price is worse.

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Aidan O’Connell Under 210.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

Raiders backup quarterback Aiden O’Connell is coming off a magnificent performance against the Los Angeles Chargers. He threw for 248 yards and four touchdowns, leading his team to a 63-21 win. The last time he faced the Chiefs, he threw for 248 yards, and in a game where his team should be trailing, it may seem obvious that he’s going Over this total on Sunday.

However, O’Connell has thrown for fewer than 200 yards in two of his last five games, and conditions are expected to be less than ideal on Monday. Rain could play a factor in this game, which does not bode well for O’Connell against the fifth-best pass defense in football.

Oddsmakers at the NFL prop betting sites could have set this number much higher, especially considering what O’Connell did in the first matchup. Instead, it feels like the best sportsbooks are baiting bettors into the Over. FanDuel even has this total listed at 206.5, the lowest of any of the five major NFL prop betting sites.

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Rashee Rice Over 6.5 receptions (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

The major NFL prop betting sites have the same total listed, but the price varies significantly at each. BetMGM has the price for the over listed at -120, while FanDuel has it set at -102. Every other major NFL prop betting sites falls in between those two numbers, making FanDuel the obvious place to wager.

Rice has emerged as Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target. He’s caught at least seven passes in each of his last four games, totaling 32 during that span. During that stretch, he’s been targeted at least nine times in every game.

During the last four weeks, only six passes thrown to Rice have fallen incomplete. With how poorly the Chiefs’ receivers have played this season, expect Rice to continue to receive the lion’s share of the targets. And with how he’s trending, there’s no reason to fade him this week.

Raiders vs. Chiefs player props made Saturday at 9:10 a.m. ET

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Written By:
Philip Wood
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Sportsbook Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick 'Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn't make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don't. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he's also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.