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Patriots vs. Broncos NFL Player Props, Odds: Picks & Predictions

Rodrigo Villagomez

Last Updated: December 24, 2023 12:12 PM EST • 3 min 21 sec read.

Bailey Zappe of the New England Patriots warms up ahead of our Week 16 NFL predictions for Patriots vs. Broncos
Bailey Zappe of the New England Patriots warms up before the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Gillette Stadium on December 17, 2023 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

An AFC showdown concludes Sunday’s action, and our Patriots vs. Broncos NFL player props for Week 16 rooted in the best NFL odds at the best sportsbooks help you add to the excitement.

In a rare shift from their dominant position, the New England Patriots find themselves in an unfamiliar spot, ranking among the league's bottom teams for the first time in over 20 years with a 3-11 record. This struggle has led to speculation about the team's identity moving forward, raising doubts about the potential continuity of long-serving head coach Bill Belichick's tenure with the franchise in the upcoming season.

Despite a tough loss against the Lions last week, the Denver Broncos surprisingly retain a narrow chance of securing a playoff berth. Sitting at a 7-7 record, they find themselves on the outside edge of the postseason picture. Their path to staying in contention hinges on securing a crucial victory in the upcoming game to sustain their slim hopes of playoff qualification, emphasizing the critical nature of this matchup for their postseason aspirations. 

In addition to our NFL Week 16 predictions, Russell Wilson player props, Patriots-Broncos SGP, and Patriots-Broncos prediction, here are our best Patriots vs. Broncos NFL player props for Week 16 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Patriots vs. Broncos NFL player props: Week 16

Bailey Zappe longest completion Under 28.5 (+100 via ESPN Bet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Zappe has made seven starts for the Patriots this year and has completed only one pass of at least 29 yards. In fact, he is averaging only 5.8 yards per attempt this season. Overall, his completions are going for an average of 9.7 yards. As a team, the Pats are averaging the fifth-fewest yards per pass attempt (6.1) and yards per completion (8.8) in the league.

Denver has been the victim of the long ball this season, allowing a pass of at least 29 yards in all but two of their contests. However, the Broncos are holding opposing quarterbacks to just 6 yards per pass attempt at home. What’s more, they allow an average of 9.3 yards per completion, keeping the damage of yards after the catch to a minimum.

This line at the best sportsbooks is set at 29.5 and is juiced anywhere from -110 to -115 on most NFL prop betting sites. Dropping this threshold down a yard at even money is a great way to maximize the value of this prop.  

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Lil'Jordan Humphrey Over 10.5 receiving yards (-120 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

He hasn't been given many opportunities with the Broncos this season, yet whenever Humphrey is needed, he steps up. In his fourth year as a wide receiver, he's only had 14 targets and 11 receptions so far. Surprisingly, in 7 out of his 9 appearances in the 2023 season, he's exceeded these numbers. What's even more impressive is that in five of those instances, he made the most of his only catch of the game.

The Patriots are giving up an average of 223.4 passing yards per game this season. New England has allowed at least three wide receivers to eclipse this mark against them in all but one of their 14 games this year. Wideouts are actually averaging 11.9 yards per catch against the Pats in their 2023 campaign. 

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Zach Allen Over 0.5 sacks (+110 via ESPN Bet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Allen has amassed 5 sacks so far this season. The Denver defensive end has accumulated at least a half of a sack in each of his last three outings. He has been credited with a full sack in three games for the Broncos this year. Allen has one career sack in two games against New England while he was a member of the Arizona Cardinals.

This week, he tees off against a Patriots offensive line that has given up 14 sacks in their last five games. In total, current New England starting quarterback Bailey Zappe has been brought down 13 times behind the line of scrimmage in his seven appearances this year. Of those, 11 have come over his last three games as a starter. 

You can take the cushion of 0.25 sacks at -110 on DraftKings if it makes you more comfortable. FanDuel only offers a yes or no option, with +102 on the yes side and -132 on the negative. On the flip side, bet365 has a single Allen sack set at -115 on either side of the prop.  

Patriots vs. Broncos player props made Saturday at 12:00 p.m. ET

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Written By:
Rodrigo Villagomez
Rod Villagomez has been a sports writer, broadcaster, and podcaster for over 15 years. He has a passion for football whether it’s the NFL, CFL, USFL, XFL, IFL, X League, or Fan Controlled. He’s also been a fan of NASCAR for almost 20 years and enjoyed watching his favorite driver, Jimmie Johnson win seven Cup Series Championships. As a betting analyst for Sportsbook Review, Rod brings his passion for the sports betting community to any assignment be it football, stock car racing, horse racing, or even, the Oscars. If you can bet on it, he is ready to break down the odds for you.