Packers vs. Vikings Prediction: Week 1 Odds, Picks & Best Bet
Last Updated: September 12, 2026 5:00 PM EDT • 2 minute read Google News Link
Kyler Murray dons the purple and yellow for the first time this Sunday against Green Bay as I break down my Packers vs. Vikings prediction for Week 1.
Sunday's matchup kicks off at 4:25 p.m. ET from U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, airing on CBS. The Vikings are priced as a slight 1.5-point home betting favorite.
🏈 Packers vs. Vikings picks & predictions
See all of our experts' NFL picks for Week 1 based on the latest NFL odds.
Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.44 units
💰 Packers vs. Vikings prediction & best bet
Under 46.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
There are too many factors pointing to this being a low-scoring matchup, including the absence of Packers running back Josh Jacobs and the aggressive scheme of Vikings defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
There aren't many DCs better at disrupting opposing offenses than Flores, especially at U.S. Bank Stadium. The Vikings' defense allowed an average of 14.9 points at home last season.
The opening total of 44.5 gave me some pause, but the current total being two points higher makes backing the Under an easy call. There's value paying up to -118 at 46.5 at the best sports betting sites.
📡 SBR Edge
Vikings home games last season featured an average of 37.6 points, four points fewer than their road/neutral site contests.
Kyler Murray struggles
While he's an efficient quarterback that I believe will have a solid first season in Minnesota, I'm fading Kyler Murray in his Vikings debut this Sunday.
After attempting just three passes in the preseason, this is his first real game action in a brand-new offense that is built on precise timing. Murray also draws a tough assignment against a speedy Packers defense.
Green Bay is elite at containing opposing quarterbacks, like Murray, who rely on their scrambling ability. The Packers ranked sixth-best in quarterback rushing yards allowed in 2025. That limits Murray's ceiling in Week 1, as well as the Vikings'.
Score prediction: Packers 24, Vikings 21
📊 Packers vs. Vikings odds
See the latest NFL odds for every Week 1 matchup.
Packers vs. Vikings opening odds
- Moneyline: Packers -130 | Vikings +106
- Spread: Packers -1.5 (-110) | Vikings +1.5 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 (-110) | Under 44.5 (-110)
📺 How to watch Packers vs. Vikings: Week 1
- Date: Sunday, Sept. 13
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Location: U.S. Bank Stadium (Minneapolis)
- TV: CBS
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Liam Fox