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Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys scrambles with the ball against the Detroit Lions at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images via AFP.
Dak Prescott of the Dallas Cowboys scrambles with the ball against the Detroit Lions at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images via AFP.

The Jacksonville Jaguars will host the Dallas Cowboys in Week 15 featuring Trevor Lawrence in Pro Bowl form. Read on for our Cowboys-Jaguars pick and prediction.

The Cowboys almost fell victim to one of the more shocking results of the 2022 season when they trailed the Houston Texans with under a minute remaining. Yet, they found a way to pull out the win, and they are now 10-3 and have won four games in a row.

Meanwhile, the Jaguars pulled off an impressive road win over the Tennessee Titans one week after being decimated by the Detroit Lions. The Cowboys are road favorites in this one, but they’re only laying four points, likely because of last week’s results.

Here is our best Cowboys vs. Jaguars NFL pick for Week 15 (odds via Caesars Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 15.  

Cowboys vs. Jaguars Game Info

Date: Sunday, Dec. 18, 1 p.m. ET
TV: Fox
Location: TIAA Bank Field, Jacksonville, FL
Weather: 58 degrees, 10-mph wind, 5% chance of precipitation

Cowboys vs. Jaguars Odds

Cowboys vs. Jaguars Odds Analysis

When this line opened, the Cowboys were favored by 6 points. That seemed like a fair number and one that might be in danger of going above the key number. However, after the near debacle against the Texans, the spread has dropped all the way to -4. On, 58% of cash is on the Jaguars and 68% of tickets are on the Cowboys.

As for the total, the number opened at 45.5 and it has shot up to 48. On, 84% of both tickets and cash are on the Over.

Cowboys vs. Jaguars Pick

Over 47.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There is no denying that last week was bad for the Cowboys, but they did manage to get the win. They have been prone to letdown games. Don’t forget, just five games ago, they blew a 28-14 lead against the Green Bay Packers. The next week, they went to Minnesota and beat the Vikings 40-3.

The Jaguars have been one of the most inconsistent teams in the league this season, and they have traded wins and losses over the last six weeks. For as great as they looked last week against the Titans, they looked just as bad the week before against the Lions. Yet, they have also beaten the Baltimore Ravens and destroyed the Los Angeles Chargers earlier this season.

With both teams unpredictable, it’s best to avoid the spread. Instead, the play is on the Over. The Cowboys’ offense is one of the most explosive in the league, and they are averaging 27.6 points per game. 

The Jaguars are allowing 22.6 points per contest, and they have allowed 20 or more points in eight consecutive games. During that stretch, their offense has scored at least 14 in every game. That doesn’t sound like much, especially against a team allowing just 17.6 points per game. But the Cowboys have allowed 19 or more to three consecutive opponents, and they have not faced a single good offense during that stretch.

Cowboys vs. Jaguars Odds

Caesars (-110)

O 48 (-110)O 47.5 (-110)O 48 (-110)O 47.5 (-112)O 48 (-107)

There is some discrepancy between the five major sportsbooks over where this line should land. PointsBet, DraftKings, and BetMGM all have the line listed at 48. PointsBet is offering the best price at any of the books, but it’s not worth taking for the extra half point.

Instead, this bet should be placed at Caesars, which has the lowest total along with FanDuel but is offering the better price.

Cowboys vs. Jaguars pick made 12/15/2022 at 2:07 p.m. ET.

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