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Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals passes the ball to Tee Higgins for a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images via AFP.
Joe Burrow of the Cincinnati Bengals passes the ball to Tee Higgins for a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas. Photo by Richard Rodriguez/Getty Images via AFP.

On Sunday, December 18, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will face the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 15. Read on for our Bengals-Buccaneers pick and prediction.

The Bengals have won five in a row and seven of eight to get to 9-4 on the season. During their current win streak, they are 2-0 on the road, and they have beaten division leaders in the Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans.

Tampa Bay, meanwhile, is lucky to play in the NFC South. At 6-7, the Buccaneers currently lead the division by one game, but they have lost two of their last three games, and they looked terrible last week against Brock Purdy and the San Francisco 49ers.

Here is our best Bengals vs. Buccaneers NFL pick for Week 15 (odds via PointsBet Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 15.  

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Game Info

Date: Sunday, Dec. 18, 4:25 p.m. ET
Location: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL
Weather: 45 degrees, 13-mph wind, 4% chance of precipitation

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Odds

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Odds Analysis

The Bengals opened as 2.5-point favorites, but because of how both of these teams have been playing of late, it did not take long at all for bettors to help that line over the key number. At the moment, the Bengals are favored by 3.5, and an overwhelming majority of bettors on support Cincinnati. Currently, the Bengals are receiving 84% of the cash and 82% of the tickets.

As for the total, the Buccaneers' abysmal last few weeks haven’t deterred bettors from betting this one up. The number opened at 42.5, and it has risen to 44. There is some support for the Over on, as 52% of the cash and 56% of tickets expect this to hit 44 or more.

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Pick

Under 44.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There may be a temptation to take the red-hot Bengals against the spread this week. Yet, the Buccaneers are 3-0 in their last three home games, so it is hard to pick against them when they’re getting the hook.

The total offers great value in this one, because of how bad the Bucs have been offensively of late. They have scored at least 20 points just twice in their last eight games. Last week, they managed just seven points against the 49ers, and the week before, they had just three points against the New Orleans Saints before springing a miraculous comeback with three minutes remaining.

But for as bad as their offense has been, the defense has been solid with the exception of last week. They’re allowing just 19.5 points per game, which has helped them keep the total in eight of their last nine games below 44.

The Bengals are hot right now, but they haven’t been blowing anyone away with their offense. In the last three weeks, they have scored 20 points in every game, but they have not cleared 30. Additionally, they have held two of their last three opponents to fewer than 20 points. The only one who broke that number was the Chiefs.

Bengals vs. Buccaneers Odds

PointsBet (-107)

U 44 (-110)U 44 (-110)U 44.5 (-115)U 44.5 (-108)U 44.5 (-107)

Both BetMGM and Caesars have this total listed lower than DraftKings, FanDuel, and PointsBet. It’s only a half-point difference, but that half-point could be very important come Sunday.

Of the three books offering this line at 44.5, PointsBet is offering the best price, narrowly beating out FanDuel. DraftKings’ price is inflated, and it signals that this line may be about to move to 44. Therefore, keep an eye on FanDuel and PointsBet, and take whichever price is best.

Bengals vs. Buccaneers pick made 12/16/2022 at 8:24 a.m. ET.

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