The Baltimore Ravens finished in last place in the AFC North for the first time in head coach John Harbaugh’s 14-year tenure. They suffered a plethora of injuries and lost their last six games following an impressive 8-3 start. Residing in one of the most difficult divisions in football with the defending AFC Champion Cincinnati Bengals, how do we project the Ravens to perform in the 2022-2023 NFL season?
Prior to the 2021 season, the Ravens had won nine or more games in four straight seasons, finishing first in the AFC North twice during that span. With a healthy roster, a great coach in Harbaugh, and a dynamic quarterback in Lamar Jackson, can the Ravens return to one of the elite teams in the NFL?
Baltimore Ravens' 2022 Futures Odds
Baltimore Ravens 2022 Picks
To win AFC North (+160 via FanDuel)Over 10.5 wins (+135 via DraftKings sportsbook)To lose in Conference Championship Game (+750 via DraftKings)J.K. Dobbins Under 875.5 rushing yards (-115 via DraftKings)
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Ravens to Win AFC North (+160)
Most books have this number at +150, but I recommend grabbing the Ravens at +160 to win the AFC North at DraftKings or FanDuel. Despite devastating preseason injuries to running backs J.K. Dobbins and Gus Edwards last season, the Ravens were still 8-3 heading into Week 13 of their 2021 campaign.
While injuries eventually caught up to Baltimore, it now benefits from a favorable schedule as a result of its last-place finish. A midseason run of the New Orleans Saints, Carolina Panthers, and Jacksonville Jaguars sandwiching their Week 10 bye gives the Ravens an advantage over a very competitive AFC North. The Bengals may be the popular pick, but I’m backing Harbaugh and the Ravens at plus money.
Ravens Win Total Pick: Over 10.5 (+135)
Baltimore’s regular win total is listed at 9.5 wins, with heavy -150 juice to the Over. I’m willing to grab the extra win for a huge difference in price at +135 via DraftKings. Baltimore benefits from uncertainty with the Pittsburgh Steelers and Cleveland Browns rosters. The Steelers are acclimating to life without QB Ben Roethlisberger and now turn to journeyman quarterback Mitchell Trubisky. The Browns' offensive projection is still unknown due to the likely suspension of QB Deshaun Watson.
The Ravens' regular win total of 9.5 is juiced too much to the Over at all books. If I believe in Baltimore to win the AFC North, I have no problem risking the alternate win total of 10.5 games for the much more appealing odds.
Ravens to Lose in AFC Championship Game (+750)
A healthy Baltimore team is a threat to win the Super Bowl, but my overall favorite is the Buffalo Bills. The Bills are the most complete team in the NFL and have much more continuity returning from last season than the Kansas City Chiefs. Having to potentially navigate both Kansas City and Buffalo is a tough task, so I’m grabbing a Ravens AFC Championship Game loss at better than 7-1 odds.
The Ravens bring a unique run-heavy style with Jackson, and a fully healthy Dobbins and Edwards. That is a perfect counter to the fast-paced, pass-first attacks of Buffalo and Kansas City. Do I believe that the Ravens are making the Super Bowl this year? No, which is why I love this +750 bet at DraftKings.
Top Ravens 2022 Futures Prop: Dobbins Under 875.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
There is a lot of uncertainty surrounding the recoveries of Dobbins and Edwards, which gives us a chance to capitalize on an inflated rushing prop for Baltimore's lead rusher. Even though the Ravens ranked first among all teams in 2020 with 34.7 rushing plays per game, Dobbins recorded only a 44.4% snap share. In that season, Dobbins tallied 134 rushing attempts with Edwards having 144 rushing attempts. Both fell behind Jackson’s team-leading 159 attempts.
With limited wide receiving options, Baltimore’s offensive success is tethered directly to Jackson, who is a larger dual-threat part of the offense than any other quarterback in the league. Baltimore also added veteran rusher Mike Davis in free agency, and drafted speedy Tyler Badie (4.45 40-yard dash) in the sixth round.
I’m backing the Under on Dobbins' total, as he comes off injury in this crowded rushing attack.
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Ravens 2022 odds, picks, and preview made on 7/15/2022 at 12:52 p.m. ET