Marquette vs. Michigan Prediction: College Basketball Picks & Odds (Nov. 11)
No. 20 Michigan’s difficult early-season schedule continues with a home game against a Marquette team picked to finish in the top four of the Big East, and my Marquette vs. Michigan prediction expects the Golden Eagles to lean on their returning experience while not being intimidated by the road environment.
Tipoff is scheduled for 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday at Crisler Center, with the Wolverines favored by 3.5 points and the total set at 157.5. My college basketball picks focus on the Golden Eagles’ backcourt playmaking as to why they should keep this game close.
Marquette vs. Michigan picks & odds
See all of our experts' college basketball picks based on the latest college basketball odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size (units) |
|---|---|---|
| Marquette +3.5 | -108 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.93 units |
| Nigel James Jr. Over 15.5 points | -110 via bet365 | 1 unit to profit 0.91 units |
| Elliot Cadeau Over 8.5 assists | -120 via bet365 | 1 unit to profit 0.83 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 11 at 7:30 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3 units | Profit if all picks win: 2.67 units
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Marquette vs. Michigan best bet
Marquette +3.5 (-108 via DraftKings)
It is hard to be critical of Michigan after a loss to No. 4 UConn, especially in Boston, where it felt like a home game for the Huskies. But the Wolverines trailed by as many as 18 points and never led after scoring the game’s first basket, and they did exactly what one cannot do when trying to upset the Huskies. UConn improved to 20-2 over the last two seasons when shooting 40% or better from the 3-point range.
My concerns for Michigan go back further to the game against Oakland, where the Wolverines surrendered an astonishing 44.7% offensive rebounding percentage to a Horizon League school. Now, Marquette head coach Shaka Smart is likely to take a page from UConn’s playbook and do what worked, as the Huskies averaged 1.14 points against Michigan in pick-and-roll sets. That doesn’t include points scored after offensive rebounds on those sets.
Play to: +3.5 (-115)
Score prediction: Michigan 80, Marquette 79
Marquette vs. Michigan player props
Follow all of our college basketball analysis and expert predictions this season.
Nigel James Jr. Over 15.5 points (-110 via bet365)
Marquette returned three starters and over 60% of last year’s scoring, with no returnee more important than last year’s Big East Freshman of the Year. Nigel James Jr. is the Big East’s top returning scorer (19.3 points per game) and ranks in the top two among returnees in steals and assists.
UConn got over 50% of its points against Michigan from its two stars, Braylon Mullins and Silas Demary. That bodes well for Smart to lean on his star, as no player in the country took a higher percentage of his team’s shots in conference play than James. He scored in double figures in 19 of 20 league games and scored 30-plus three times.
Play to: 16.5 (-105)
Elliot Cadeau Over 8.5 assists (-120 via bet365)
Elliot Cadeau’s assist total was always going to be low when facing UConn, as the Huskies are one of the best defenses at limiting catch-and-shoot opportunities and forcing isolation (there were 16 combined assists in last year’s National Championship). Now he faces a Marquette defense that ranked 336th in assists per field goal allowed last year, with opponents assisting on 60.2% of made baskets.
Cadeau has finished with an assist rate of 33.9% and 38.2% over the last two years, and led the ACC in assist rate in his final year at North Carolina. Thus, Cadeau’s 22.4% assist rate won’t last long, especially as he is on pace for the lowest shot rate of his four-year collegiate career (and is shooting 11.1% from beyond the arc).
Play to: 8.5 (-125)
Live Marquette vs. Michigan odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Marquette vs. Michigan matchup page.
Latest Marquette vs. Michigan injuries
Marquette:
- Caeden Hamilton, F (Calf) - out
Michigan:
- Joseph Hartman, G (Shoulder) - out
- Lincoln Cosby, F (Knee) - out
- Brandon McCoy Jr., G (Knee) - out
How to watch Marquette vs. Michigan
- Date: Wednesday, Nov. 11
- Tipoff: 7 p.m. ET
- Location: Crisler Center (Ann Arbor, Mich.)
- TV/Streaming: FS1
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