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Suns vs. Pelicans Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for McCollum, Booker, Jones

Zachary Hanshew

Last Updated: April 1, 2024 7:07 PM EDT • 4 min 9 sec read.

CJ McCollum #3 of the New Orleans Pelicans handles the ball as we look at our NBA best bets & player props for Suns vs. Pelicans
CJ McCollum #3 of the New Orleans Pelicans handles the ball during the second half of the NBA game at Footprint Center on December 17, 2022 in Phoenix, Arizona. Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images via AFP.

Playoff seeding is at stake when the New Orleans Pelicans host the Phoenix Suns on Monday, and we have you covered with our Suns vs. Pelicans player props based on the best NBA odds.

With the NBA regular season coming to a close, the New Orleans Pelicans (45-29) are clinging to the No. 6 seed in the Western Conference. They hold a two-game lead over the Phoenix Suns (43-31), who invade the Smoothie King Center on Monday for an 8 p.m. tipoff with major playoff implications.

The Pelicans might be one of the favorites by the NBA Play-In Tournament odds if they didn't hold that lead over the Suns and Sacramento Kings for a top-six spot in the West. Phoenix could sure use a head-to-head win over New Orleans on Monday to close that gap.

Both teams have six wins in their last 10 outings, and have lost two of their last three. These teams have only met once this season, in January, when the Suns won the first matchup 123-109, although the teams were at full strength in January.

New Orleans will be without star forward Brandon Ingram for this meeting. While this is the only injury of note, it's big. We’ve got three plus-money player props for Monday's marquee Western Conference matchup.

Here are our best Suns vs. Pelicans player prop predictions and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Suns vs. Pelicans game info & odds

  • When: Monday, April 1
  • Tip-off: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
  • How to watch: NBA TV
  • Favorite: Suns -1 (odds via DraftKings)

Suns vs. Pelicans player props

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Suns vs. Pelicans predictions

CJ McCollum Over 4.5 made 3-pointers (+210 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

McCollum has averaged 4.4 triples across his last five games, knocking down at least four triples in four games and at least five triples twice. It’s no surprise that Brandon Ingram has been sidelined for the last five games, and McCollum has taken on an expanded role on offense. McCollum has played in 10 games without Ingram this season, including nine with at least 30 minutes. He hit at least four 3-pointers six times in those nine games. McCollum has appeared in three road games with Ingram sidelined, hitting five or more threes in each of them.

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McCollum has hit the Over on this prop just 13 times this season, including eight times on the road, but over the last 10 outings, the Suns have allowed the ninth-most made 3-pointers. The implied probability of the +210 odds is just 32.3%, but we can confidently bet the Over here, given how well McCollum has played with Ingram out. We’re climbing the ladder from the original line of 3.5, which we can get for the best odds at FanDuel for -113. That wager is a bit safer, but a $10 wager at -113 yields an $8.85 return. A $10 wager on +210 odds yields a far greater return of $21. 

Devin Booker Over 29.5 points (+180 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

Booker’s line is offered at 25.5 or 26.5 across our best sports betting sites, but we’re not simply taking the offered line when we can buy three or four more points for longer odds and a more profitable payout. On the season, Booker has 31 games with at least 26 points, 28 with at least 27 and 22 with at least 30. He’s hit the Over on our alternate points prop in 36.7% of his games, and the implied probability of our new odds is 35.7%. We’re right on track.

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Booker has struggled offensively over his last two, putting up 30 points on just 9-of-26 shooting. Phoenix won one of those games, but the Suns got blown out by the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last outing. That’s why we’re taking the alt line here. Booker will need to be better on offense, especially in such a pivotal matchup. On the season, he’s averaged more points and fewer assists on the road than at home, highlighting his scoring ability. He dropped 52 on New Orleans in this season’s first matchup and had a 58-point game against the Pels last season. He’s scored at least 30 in four of his last seven overall vs. New Orleans, and he’s got eight 30-point games in 25 career matchups with New Orleans.

Make sure to get the best value on this alt line by visiting bet365.

Herbert Jones Over 2.5 steals + blocks (+105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jones is one of the best defenders in the Association, and we’re banking on another strong performance on that end of the court Monday. On the season, Jones has averaged 2.2 steals + blocks, but he’s averaged 2.8 since the All-Star break. He’s been particularly effective over his last 10, averaging 3.3 in that span and hitting the Over on this line five times. Over the last 10, the Suns have allowed the third-most steals, making this prop even more attractive. 

Jones has 12 games with at least three steals this season and six games with at least three blocks. He’s hit the Over on this prop in just 22 of 68 games played, good for 32.3%. The implied probability of our +105 odds is 48.8%, but Jones has hit the Over in 50% of his last 10, so we’re on target here. A $10 wager on this line will turn a profit of $10.50, and we’re all in on New Orleans’ defensive stud doing what he does best to slow down Phoenix’s Big 3.

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Suns-Pelicans player props made Monday at 7:55 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Zachary Hanshew
Zak is a lucky husband and blessed father of four. He’s been writing about sports since 2018 with prior stops at FantasyPros, RotoWire, and FantasyLabs. In addition to Sportsbook Review, you can find his work at NBC Sports Edge, Yahoo, and OwnersBox. When he’s not writing, Zak can be found playing the guitar, hanging out with his family, coaching his son’s basketball team, or laughing way too hard at old Simpsons episodes.