Pelicans vs. Kings Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Williamson, Fox, Sabonis
The Sacramento Kings play host to the New Orleans Pelicans with NBA playoffs seeding at stake, as we offer our best Pelicans vs. Kings player props based on the best NBA odds.
As the NBA regular season winds down, every game could have major implications on both the latest NBA championship odds and NBA playoff seeding. That's especially true in the Western Conference ahead of Thursday's showdown between the New Orleans Pelicans (47-32) and the Sacramento Kings (45-34), which tips off at 10 p.m. ET on TNT from the Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, Calif.
This one means more for the Kings, who could bolster their NBA Play-In Tournament odds or even bypass the tournament altogether with three wins to close out the year. Conversely, a string of losses could drop them to the 10th spot in the Western Conference - a virtual death knell for the title hopes.
Meanwhile, the Pelicans appear to have the inside track for the No. 6 seed in the West. However, they could still get jumped by the Kings, Phoenix Suns, or Los Angeles Lakers. Can they avoid tripping up in Sacramento on Thursday?
In addition to our Knicks vs. Celtics player props, here are our best Pelicans vs. Kings player prop prediction and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Pelicans vs. Kings game info & odds
- When: Thursday, April 11
- Tip-off: 10 p.m. ET
- Where: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento, Calif.
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Kings -1 (-110 via bet365)
Pelicans vs. Kings player props
- Zion Williamson Over 32.5 points + assists (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- De'Aaron Fox Under 33.5 points + rebounds (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Domantas Sabonis Over 14.5 rebounds (+115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
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Pelicans vs. Kings prediction
Zion Williamson Over 32.5 points + assists (-102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Since Brandon Ingram (knee) was sidelined on March 21, the Pelicans have struggled to stay afloat in the Western Conference playoff race. But Williamson is doing his best to fill the void.
In Ingram's first game on the bench, Williamson delivered a dud with just four points and four assists. Since then, he's averaged 26.8 points and 5.3 assists - both above his season averages - and cleared this prop total in four of those eight games.
He faces a particularly juicy matchup against the Kings, who are allowing the fourth-most points (25.14) and fifth-most assists (4.66) to opposing power forwards entering Thursday. At these -102 odds via FanDuel, I like our chances of cashing here.
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De'Aaron Fox Under 33.5 points + rebounds (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Ever since their days together at Kentucky, Fox and teammate Malik Monk have been "better together" in every sense of the phrase. And, fittingly, Fox hasn't been quite the same since Monk (knee) hit the shelf in late March.
In six games since, Fox is averaging 27.7 points, which is a tick below his consensus scoring total (28.5) across our best sports betting sites. That's also carried by a 40-point effort last Friday, as he's averaged 25.2 points in his other five games and fallen below 30 points in four of them.
I'm tacking on his rebounding total to this wager, too, because of a tough matchup against a Pelicans team allowing the fewest rebounds (5.01) to opposing point guards. You can freely play the Under on Fox's scoring prop without that addendum, but I enjoy having the extra cushion without paying into his juiced rebounding market.
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Domantas Sabonis Over 14.5 rebounds (+115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
If Fox isn't grabbing rebounds for the Kings, who will? All signs point to Sabonis, who has been an absolute beast on the boards all season but especially as of late.
The three-time All-Star leads the NBA in rebounds per game (13.8) and has grabbed double-digit boards in an incredible 36 consecutive games dating back to Jan. 27 - averaging 15 rebounds per game in that stretch. He's been even better over the last month, averaging 15.3 rebounds since March 1 with 15-plus in 11 of 21 contests.
Sabonis is corraling 16 boards per game over his last five starts - twice clearing 20 rebounds - and he faces a favorable matchup against New Orleans' Jonas Valanciunas, whose rebounding totals (8.9 RPG) have dipped dramatically this season. That's to say nothing of the absence of Larry Nance (personal), who won't suit up for Thursday's contest.
This is only a three-star wager given the gaudy total, but these +115 odds via BetMGM are by far the best on the market. Because of that, this is well worth the wager even at such a high number.
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Pelicans-Kings player props made Thursday at 2 p.m. ET.
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