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France vs. Belgium Prediction, Odds, Picks: Women's Olympic Basketball Semifinal, Aug. 9

C Jackson Cowart

Last Updated: August 8, 2024 6:33 PM EDT • 1 min 43 sec read.

France guard Marine Johannes (23) dribbles the ball as we offer our best France vs. Belgium prediction and expert picks for Friday's Olympic women's basketball semifinal in the Paris 2024 Olympics.
France guard Marine Johannes dribbles the ball against Canada in the Paris 2024 Olympic Summer Games. Photo by John David Mercer / USA TODAY Sports via Imagn.

France has already punched its ticket to the Olympic final on the men's side. Now, the women's team has a chance to do the same as we make our France vs. Belgium prediction for Friday's Olympic women's basketball semifinal at 3 p.m. ET.

France is favored by 4.5 points to beat Belgium across our best sports betting sites, which have long had the French as the biggest threat to Team USA by the women's Olympic basketball odds.

France vs. Belgium predictions for Friday

France vs Belgium odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

  • France -4.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Marine Johannes Over 16.5 pts + ast (-115) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Prediction: France -4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

France has been the second-best team in this tournament behind Team USA, and that's been clear for a while now. So I'm surprised to see such a small spread separating these two teams ahead of Friday's semifinal.

Belgium has earned its way to the final four, and it's more talented than its record would indicate. Still, it lost in the group stage to a Germany team that France handled easily in the quarterfinals, and it hasn't shown the level of defensive dominance that we've seen from the tournament hosts.

The 1-2 punch of Gabby Williams (14 PPG) and Marine Johannes (13.8), paired with perhaps the best defense in the entire field, should overwhelm Belgium on Friday - even without considering the home-court advantage for the French.

Odds: -110 | Implied probability: 52.38%

Prediction: Marine Johannes Over 16.5 pts + ast ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If you haven't tuned in before to the Marine Johannes Experience™, get ready for an absolute treat on Friday.

The French guard has been making jaw-dropping plays for years, but she was relatively quiet in the group stage of this tournament. Then she turned it on in the quarterfinals, dropping 24 points in 25 minutes with five made triples.

She finished with zero assists in that one, but she had five assists in a group stage game against Nigeria and should play a major role as a scorer or facilitator (or both) in a must-win game for the tournament hosts.

Odds: -115 | Implied probability: 53.49%

France vs. Belgium odds & game info

FranceBelgium
Moneyline-200+165
Spread-4.5 (-110)+4.5 (-110)
Over/UnderOver 143.5 (-115)Under 143.5 (-115)
  • When: Friday, Aug. 9
  • Tip-off: 3 p.m. ET
  • Where: AccorHotels Arena (Paris)
  • How to watch: Universo, Peacock (streaming)
  • Favorite: France -4.5 (-110)

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Written By:
C Jackson Cowart
C Jackson Cowart is a publishing editor and lead writer for Sportsbook Review. An award-winning writer, reporter, and editor with a decade of sports media experience, "C-Jax" has worked with ESPN, Forbes, theScore, and various daily newspapers before joining the Sportsbook Review team. He's a proud graduate of the University of North Carolina, where he served as a beat writer for the Tar Heels' championship run through the NCAA men's basketball tournament in 2017. Jackson has spent the last five years covering sports betting as a predictive analyst, features writer, and industry reporter. Since joining the team in 2023, he's played a key role in Sportsbook Review's coverage of the Super Bowl, March Madness, and NBA playoffs while serving as the lead writer for the growing WNBA and NASCAR betting scenes. Though he's cashed some big bets over the years -- including Lamar Jackson to win MVP (twice) -- he's still haunted by enough second-place bet slips to wallpaper his home office. While Jackson is a committed "process over results" bettor with a keen eye for advanced stats and subtle bias in futures markets, he also embraces sports betting as a vehicle for entertainment and personal investment. He's written about everything from hot dogs to groundhogs and still hasn't forgiven his "inside source" for a sabotaged bet on the Gatorade color in Super Bowl LV.