🏀 Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props Today: NBA Playoff Picks & Best Bets for Game 6

The Minnesota Timberwolves look to close out their first-round series on their home floor against the favored Nuggets after dropping their previous game in Denver.

My Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props today for Game 6 target both Nikola Jokic and Julius Randle, the latter of whom is coming off a big-time offensive performance. Tipoff is set for 9:30 p.m. ET from the Target Center in Minneapolis (ESPN), with the Nuggets priced as a 5.5-point road betting favorite.

🏀 Best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props today: NBA playoff picks for Game 6

See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds; picks rated on a 1-to-5 star confidence scale based on betting value.

Total wagered: 1.5 units | Max profit: 1.39 units

💰 Best Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prop bet

Nikola Jokic Under 29.5 points (-102)

Nikola Jokic has finished below this scoring total in all five games so far in this series. While he shot much better from the field in Game 5, that was because he prioritized an efficient offensive game rather than the higher-volume shooting performances we saw from him previously against the Timberwolves. 

I think that's the recipe for success for the Nuggets and their superstar to force a Game 7. I expect Jokic to be impactful but not reach 30 points on Thursday. I bet this player prop at FanDuel's fantastic -102 odds, but there's value up to -112.

🔥 More Nuggets vs. Timberwolves prop picks

Julius Randle Over 28.5 points + rebounds (-122)

Julius Randle showed us something in Game 5, exploding for 36 points + rebounds without Anthony Edwards on the floor. That kind of performance gives us more than enough wiggle room with the 28.5 combo prop total across the best sports betting sites, but Randle's broader history against the Nuggets gives me even more evidence that he can hit this in Game 6.

The three-time NBA All-Star has averaged nearly 30 points + rebounds across his last 10 head-to-head meetings with Denver. This total is well within Randle's wheelhouse, and I'm backing him to exceed it at FanDuel's -122 odds.

🚀 Nuggets vs. Timberwolves same-game parlay

I'm targeting a simple 2-leg parlay for Game 6 that includes both of my favorite player props. I stayed away from including a game pick to make it a 3-legger, as I have a fair amount of uncertainty about who will win the crucial matchup.

💵 My betting record for NBA picks

All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since April 18.

💡 How I'm betting Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.

This is the second straight game that I'm fading Jokic's scoring total. Even though that number has dropped from 31.5 in Game 5 to 29.5 ahead of Game 6, I still see value in a full-unit play on the Under. We've seen enough from this matchup to know that Jokic will be less effective as a scorer versus the Timberwolves than his usual pace. Bankroll management is crucial in sports betting, so be smart with yours.

🚑 Nuggets vs. Timberwolves injuries

📺 How to watch Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game 6

• Date: Thursday, April 30
• Tipoff: 9:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Target Center (Minneapolis)
• TV: ESPN

💡 More NBA expert picks tonight

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• Nuggets vs. Timberwolves player props