Our Kings vs. Warriors NBA player props based on the best NBA odds from our best sports betting apps see a big night Thursday for two of the biggest stars from last year's Western Conference playoff series.
If you like playoff rematches, Thursday's NBA doubleheader on TNT features a pair of good ones. After the Boston Celtics and Miami Heat face off in the early slot, the Sacramento Kings and Golden State Warriors meet in a matchup between teams trying to keep their NBA Finals odds alive.
Those two clashed in a dramatic seven-game series last year in the opening round of the Western Conference Playoffs, which ultimately went in the Warriors' favor. This season has seen both teams take a step back, as Sacramento is sitting seventh in the West with a 24-18 record while Golden State is 12th at 19-22.
Will the Kings win on the road as short favorites? Or will the Warriors earn a second straight win to find some positive momentum?
To go along with our Celtics vs. Heat player props and NBA best bets, here are our best Kings vs. Warriors NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Kings vs. Warriors NBA player props: Thursday
- De'Aaron Fox Over 4.5 assists (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Andrew Wiggins Over 12.5 points (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 rebounds (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Kings vs. Warriors props
De'Aaron Fox Over 4.5 assists (-135 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Kings point guard De'Aaron Fox is seventh in the league in scoring while averaging of 27.4 points per game. But he's also 28th with an average of 5.6 assists per contest. Fox has cleared this assists prop in 61% of his regular-season games during 2023-24.
This line should be trading at 5.5. FanDuel is the only shop to set its line that high, with the Over priced at plus money. We simply prefer taking advantage of the -135 offering for Over 4.5 assists at bet365. Pinnacle, which features one of the sharper trading teams in the industry, is charging as much as -153 for the same Over.
Fox has cleared this mark in 11 of his 12 matchups against the Warriors, averaging 7.4 assists per game in this series. Take advantage of this deal before tipoff.
Andrew Wiggins Over 12.5 points (-120 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Speaking off success in this matchup, Warriors wing Andrew Wiggins has been thriving against the Kings in the past. Wiggins has been averaging 19.7 points per game in his 13 matchups against the Kings, reaching this plateau in 12 of those contests. He scored 29 at Sacramento in the previous matchup in late November.
Wiggins hasn't been as effective in 2023-24 as Golden State fans would like. He's averaging just 11.9 points per game, clearing this mark in only 32% of his regular-season affairs. But we project this game to be uptempo, giving Wiggins more opportunities to score.
While Pinnacle is featuring the best price for the Under on this points prop at +114, bet365 is providing the top value on the Over at -120. With a projection north of 14 points, that's the better play for this game.
Domantas Sabonis Under 13.5 rebounds (-118 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
The league's-leading rebounder is usually a safe bet to collect a bunch of boards, but this price seems a bit steep right now. Sacramento power forward Domantas Sabonis is averaging 12.8 rebounds per game, but he's only cleared this mark in 14 of his 42 outings.
Sabonis collected 21 rebounds to increase his January average to 14.2 boards per game. But the veteran has recorded 14-plus rebounds in only four of his 11 matchups this month.
Take advantage of the market pricing this prop a touch high, even if it will be a sweat until the very end. With a projection of 12 rebounds, there's a solid edge when placing an Under bet on this lofty total through FanDuel.
Kings-Warriors NBA player props made Thursday at 12:45 p.m. ET.
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