Phillies vs. Braves Pitcher Props: Game 3 NL Wild Card Player Props & Picks (Oct. 1)
📡 SBR Edge: Back Nola in Atlanta
My Phillies vs. Braves pitcher props for Game 3 include Aaron Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts (-128) and Ray Kerr Under 5.5 pitcher outs (+170). Nola is still an above-average strikeout pitcher, while Kerr typically pitches fewer than two innings.
⚾ Best Phillies vs. Braves pitcher props: Game 3
See all of our experts’ MLB picks based on the latest MLB odds.
| Pitcher prop | Bet size | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts (-128 via FanDuel) | 1.92 units to win 1.5 units | Nola ranks in the 64th percentile with a 27.1% whiff percentage. |
| Ray Kerr Under 5.5 pitcher outs (+170 via BetMGM) | 0.59 units to win 1 unit | Kerr has pitched 2+ innings in just 4 of his 9 appearances this season. |
Total wagered: 2.51 units | Max profit: +2.5 units
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💰 Best Phillies vs. Braves pitcher prop
Follow all of our MLB analysis and expert predictions.
Aaron Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts (-128 via FanDuel)
Nola has had a couple of down seasons when it comes to suppressing runs, but he's still an above-average strikeout pitcher. He ranks in the 64th percentile in MLB with a 27.1% whiff percentage.
This number is being dragged down by his poor outing against the Rays to wrap up the regular season, but we can't overreact to one start on short rest. He has recorded four or more strikeouts in 12 of his 14 starts since the All-Star break.
Nola Over 3.5 strikeouts (-128 via FanDuel) is the best line available among the top MLB betting sites.
🔥 More Phillies vs. Braves pitcher props
Ray Kerr Under 5.5 pitcher outs (+170 via BetMGM)
The Braves have announced that Kerr will serve as the opener today, but I'm still expecting Grant Holmes to follow him as a bulk reliever. Holmes hasn't started since Friday and pitched just four innings in that outing, so he should be fully rested.
In an elimination game, I don't expect Kerr to get a very long leash once the Phillies start getting on base. Plus, he has pitched two or more innings in just four of his nine appearances this season. Kerr Under 5.5 pitcher outs (+170 via BetMGM) is the best line available among the top sports betting sites.
📺 How to watch Phillies vs. Braves
- Date: Thursday, Oct. 1
- First pitch: 8 p.m. ET
- Ballpark: Truist Park (Atlanta)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
- Phillies starter: Aaron Nola (Regular season: 7-12, 4.67 ERA)
- Braves starter: Ray Kerr (Regular season: 0-0, 1.47 ERA)
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