Jackson Holliday Player Props & Odds: Top Picks for Orioles vs. Red Sox
The Baltimore Orioles called up the No. 1 prospect in baseball on Wednesday ahead of their game with the Boston Red Sox, and we're offering our top Jackson Holliday player props based on the best MLB odds.
After starting the 2024 regular season in the minors, baseball's top prospect is getting his call to the show. Baltimore Orioles infielder Jackson Holliday is set to make his major-league debut on Wednesday against the Boston Red Sox.
Despite owning a 6-4 record, the Orioles have struggled at the plate compared to last year. Their worst hitter thus far has been infielder Ramon Urias, who owns a slash line of .091/.130/.091.
Meanwhile, Holliday has been abusing Triple-A pitching through his first 10 games. He's batting .333 with two homers and an absurd 18 runs scored. Holliday has struck out only eight times in 56 plate appearances and recorded 12 walks. It's safe to say he's ready for the majors.
Will the 2022 first-overall pick kick off his campaign to top the MLB Rookie of the Year odds in style on Wednesday, or will the Red Sox shut down his bat in his debut?
Here are our best Jackson Holliday player props and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Orioles vs. Red Sox game info & odds
- When: Wednesday, April 10
- First pitch: 7 p.m. ET
- Where: Fenway Park, Boston, Mass.
- How to watch: NESN
- Favorite: Red Sox (-115 via Betway)
Jackson Holliday player props
- Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 hits (+160 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 walks (+255 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 runs scored (+125 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
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Jackson Holliday prediction
Jackson Holliday Under 0.5 hits (+160 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
I know, it's not fun to fade baseball's No. 1 prospect in his major-league debut, but we'll offer some Overs after this one.
Holliday is a talented hitter with strong bat-to-ball skills, and he's managed a near-.300 average at every minor-league level throughout his career. However, we're seeing real value on him going hitless against the Red Sox on Wednesday.
We don't have many projections for Holliday ahead of his first major-league game, but we do have one for his hits total on Wednesday. NumberFire projects Holliday to finish with 0.71 hits against the Red Sox. Based on that projection, we're getting better than 28% positive expected value on this Under.
Additionally, Holliday could get fewer chances to record a hit, as he's expected to slot into the No. 9 spot in the Orioles' lineup. Between potentially limited plate appearances and a favorable projection, this Under profiles as a good bet, no matter how depressing it may be.
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Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 walks (+255 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Now, we may be betting on Holliday to go hitless, but the Over on his walks total is too enticing to pass up.
Holliday walked in 21.4% of his plate appearances during 10 Triple-A games to open the season, and that came after he managed a walk rate hovering around 18% across four minor-league levels last year.
Boston's starting pitcher for Wednesday's game, Kutter Crawford, has had a strong start to the season, allowing only one earned run across 10 2/3 innings. However, he lasted only 4 2/3 frames in his last appearance, mostly due to three walks leading to a high pitch count.
Holliday grew up around the game and he understands how baseball works. He knows what his job is as a bottom-of-the-order table-setter: he needs to get on base so the top of the lineup can hit with runners on.
We're looking for Holliday to remain patient at the plate and work a walk in his debut, and these +255 odds via DraftKings are offering great value with an implied probability of only 28%.
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Jackson Holliday Over 0.5 runs scored (+125 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
If Holliday can get on base via the walk or break our hearts and record a hit, then he's a great bet to score a run thanks to Baltimore's dangerous top of the order.
Leadoff man Gunnar Henderson and No. 2 hitter Adley Rutschman - two contenders by the MLB MVP odds - have combined for 12 RBIs so far this season, and that was with Urias usually hitting at the bottom of the order.
Now, the two stars will be treated to hitting behind a potential on-base machine, and Holliday could eventually work his way to the leadoff spot with those two sliding down right behind him.
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Jackson Holliday player props made Wednesday at 12:30 p.m. ET.
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