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Blue Jays vs. Yankees Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Gausman, Schmidt, and Springer

Sean Tomlinson

Last Updated: April 6, 2024 5:51 PM EDT • 4 min 8 sec read.

Kevin Gausman of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches against the Colorado Rockies in the first inning at Coors Field as we look at our Blue Jays-Yankees player props.
Kevin Gausman of the Toronto Blue Jays pitches against the Colorado Rockies in the first inning at Coors Field. Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images/AFP.

The Toronto Blue Jays and New York Yankees continue their series from the Bronx on Saturday night, and we're looking at the best Blue Jays-Yankees player props based on the best MLB odds.

It's a fierce clash Saturday night as two formidable AL East adversaries, the Toronto Blue Jays and the New York Yankees, lock horns in Game 2 of their series at 7:05 p.m. ET at the iconic Yankee Stadium.

The Yankees stormed into the season with an explosive start, boasting an impressive 6-1 record prior to their home opener on Friday. However, their momentum hit a roadblock as they found themselves entangled in a pitcher's duel, succumbing to a 3-0 shutout against Toronto. This setback marks the Yankees' second scoreless outing in their last three games.

Can Blue Jays' ace Kevin Gausman stifle the Yankees' offense once more? Meanwhile, the Blue Jays find themselves grappling with a slump of their own, prompting questions about their ability to reignite their offensive firepower and turn the tide in their favor.

Here are our best Blue Jays-Yankees player prop predictions and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Blue Jays vs. Yankees game info & odds

  • When: Saturday, April 6
  • First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
  • Where: Yankee Stadium, New York, N.Y.
  • How to watch: Sportsnet, YES Network
  • Favorite: Yankees (-115 via Betway)

Blue Jays vs. Yankees player props

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Blue Jays vs. Yankees prediction

Kevin Gausman Under 6.5 strikeouts (-120 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐  

Yes, this would usually be dangerous territory, and the sort of bet that would end with shedding far too many pounds in sweat while watching a white-knuckle ride play out.

Kevin Gausman is well-known for riding his lethal splitter to sky-high strikeout numbers. He finished first in the American League and third in the majors with his 11.53 K/9 in 2023, and his 237 punchouts ranked behind only the Atlanta Braves' Spencer Strider.

You can often strap in for the ride throughout the season and profit as Gausman soars past many of the strikeout totals our best sportsbooks set for him. Incredibly, nearly a third of his starts in 2023 (nine) ended with double-digit strikeouts.

However, it might be wise to wait at least one more start before buckling up for that fun. Gausman is still gradually progressing to a full workload after dealing with a shoulder injury during spring training. He threw only 69 pitches during his first start of 2024 while lasting 4 1/3 innings during a win over the Tampa Bay Rays.

He was efficient in limited time while still recording six strikeouts. But that number sat below his total for Saturday, and Gausman's is likely at least one start away from being let loose. His pitch count will stay low, limiting his opportunities.

That's surely why several projection models are forecasting the Under hitting on 6.5 strikeouts. Including NumberFire, which is sitting at 6.34. The -120 price implies a 54.6% probability, and a $10 wager translates to $8.33 in profit.

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Clarke Schmidt Under 5.5 strikeouts (-167 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐⭐  

Jump aboard the fade train as it chugs toward both starters in this game falling below their strikeout totals.

However, Gausman's fate if the Under cashes is somewhat out of his control as he ramps back up following an injury. Clarke Schmidt, meanwhile, can't escape the reality that he simply doesn't generate many strikeouts. And when he does get hit, it's often in missile form. That leads to plenty of extra bases, and the potential for an elevated pitch count and an early call to the bullpen.

Clarke is coming off a career-low 8.4 K/9 in 2023. That means he's giving up plenty of contact, and the right-hander has ranked among the bottom 3% in average exit velocity during two straight seasons, according to Baseball Savant.

Even worse, he's not facing an especially strikeout-prone opponent. The Blue Jays' offense continues to struggle mightily in many areas, but it ranks a solidly mid-pack 12th in strikeouts. Many of the same hitters remain from a team that finished seventh-best in that regard during 2023, too.

That's why the Under is juiced so heavily. But it still offers value, as Pinnacle, which features one of the industry's most respected trading teams, is posting a -187 price. The -167 odds imply a 62.6% probability, and a $10 bet leads to $5.99 in profit.

George Springer Over 0.5 runs scored (+105 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐

The Blue Jays' offense in the early days of 2024 has too often been a joyless experience. It's been no-hit, shut out twice already, and scored one or fewer runs three times.

But as dire as it might feel in the early going, positive regression will surely come for a team that was a more serviceable 14th in runs scored during 2023, as opposed to its 25th ranking now with a largely similar lineup. And Toronto is well-positioned on Saturday against Schmidt given the laser beams he often allows, and his lack of strikeout stuff.

More specifically, the Blue Jays' leadoff hitter George Springer is teed up nicely. Springer has cooled off after a hot start that featured a home run in each of the first two games. But he's still getting on base frequently while sporting a .314 on-base percentage. That's often coming due to his plate discipline, as he's walked seven times already over eight games, including twice during the series opener against the Yankees on Friday.

Combine that with Springer's power against a hurler who allowed 24 homers in 2023, and the +105 odds through Betway here are appealing, especially compared to the -110 through FanDuel. Those odds imply a 48.8% probability, and a $10 wager would lead to a $10.50 win.

Blue Jays-Yankees player props made 4/6/24 at 10:10 a.m. ET

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Written By:
Sean Tomlinson
Sean Tomlinson has been in the sports media wilderness since 2009, with stops at theScore, Bleacher Report, and now Sportsbook Review. The NFL has been his focus for much of that time, beginning as a features writer at theScore, and then as a national writer at B/R. He has survived Tebowmania in all of its forms, and vividly remembers watching the butt fumble live. Sean now leans on the knowledge gained from past experience in his role as a Publishing Editor and writer here at Sportsbook Review.