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Blue Jays vs. Astros Player Prop Prediction, Odds: Top Picks for Yordan Alvarez, Kevin Kiermaier

Andrew Brennan

Last Updated: April 1, 2024 7:10 PM EDT • 3 min 21 sec read.

George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays celebrates with teammate Kevin Kiermaier after hitting a three-run inside-the-park home run, and we offer our top Blue Jays vs. Astros player props based on the best MLB odds.
George Springer of the Toronto Blue Jays celebrates with teammate Kevin Kiermaier after hitting a three-run inside-the-park home run. Photo by Mark Taylor/Getty Images via AFP.

Monday features a potential playoff preview when two of the top teams in the American League square off, and we're offering our top Blue Jays vs. Astros player props based on the best MLB odds.

Two contenders by the World Series odds face off Monday as the Houston Astros host the Toronto Blue Jays at Minute Maid Park after losing their first four games of the season. First pitch is slated for 8:10 p.m. ET.

It's also a tilt featuring two contenders in the MLB MVP odds, with Kyle Tucker and Yordan Alvarez taking center stage for the Astros on Monday. Those two sluggers will look to do damage against an inexperienced starting pitcher for the Jays.

The Blue Jays send 27-year-old Bowden Francis to the mound, with just 37 major-league innings to his name. However, the Jays will also get an inexperienced pitcher in Ronel Blanco, who has also logged fewer than 60 MLB innings in his career.

Can we expect some of the game's biggest names to take advantage of potentially weaker starting pitching? Or will one of these hurlers shine in this highly anticipated matchup?

To accompany our MLB Player Props & Best Bets, here are our best Blue Jays vs. Astros player prop prediction and MLB picks (odds via our best MLB betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Blue Jays vs. Astros game info & odds

  • When: Monday, April 1
  • First pitch: 8:10 p.m. ET
  • Where: Minute Maid Stadium, Houston, Texas
  • How to watch: Space City Home Network (SCHN)
  • Favorite: Astros (-130 via Betway)

Blue Jays vs. Astros player props

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Blue Jays vs. Astros prediction

 Ronel Blanco Over 4.5 strikeouts (-105 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐

Astros right-hander Ronel Blanco has logged just 58 1/3 innings at the major-league level, but he's far from a youngster. Blanco has been with the Astros organization since 2016, and he's racked up strikeouts in bunches across various minor-league levels.

Blanco punched out exactly one batter per inning in 52 frames last season (seven starts in 17 appearances), and he actually had better strikeout rates as a starter than a reliever.

Opposing Blanco is a Jays team that's tough on opposing pitchers, as it struck out at the sixth-lowest rate last season. Toronto has been equally tough through four games this campaign, striking out in only 21.7% of its combined plate appearances.

However, Blanco is projected to record 5.01 strikeouts on Monday. When we run that projection against Betway's -105 odds, we get roughly 10% positive expected value. We'll gladly take that for our first three-star pick of this game.

If you want to back Blanco to have a strong performance in an Astros win, you can get boosted odds at Betway from +213 to +240 by parlaying Houston to win along with the Boston Red Sox and New York Mets!

Yordan Alvarez Over 1.5 total bases (-125 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐

Astros DH Yordan Alvarez is one of the most feared hitters in the majors, but the New York Yankees completely shut him down in their four-game set. Alvarez managed just two hits in 19 plate appearances, finishing the series with a .118/.211/.118 slash line. However, he's projected to do some damage on Monday, and those struggles are a big reason we're getting a good price on this Over.

Alvarez can hit either righties or lefties (he had a .292 and .295 average last season against each, respectively), but he showcases more of his power against the former. The big DH smashed 25 home runs in 264 at-bats against right-handers last season compared to only six in 146 ABs against southpaws.

That bodes well for Alvarez's chances to get an extra-base knock on Monday, and his projections confirm those beliefs.

When we run Alvarez's hitting projections against this price at Betway, we're getting better than 13% +EV. This -125 price is the best across any of our best sports betting sites, so act quickly.

Kevin Kiermaier Over 0.5 total bases (-180 via Betway) ⭐⭐⭐

Blue Jays outfielder Kevin Kiermaier had a nightmare series against the Tampa Bay Rays, striking out in five of his 10 plate appearances across three games. However, we're betting on him to bounce back on Monday.

Based on Kiermaier's projections, we're getting a ton of value by attacking the Over on his total bases prop, and these -180 odds at Betway represent the best price across any of our best sports betting apps.

The outfielder was far better on the road last season compared to at home, and now that he's escaped his old stomping grounds of Tropicana Field (where he regularly recorded worse stats as a member of the Tampa Bay Rays), he should get back on track at the plate.

Blue Jays vs. Astros player props made Monday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Andrew Brennan
Andrew Brennan is a publishing editor for Sportsbook Review. He also heads the website’s MLB coverage, from the various futures markets to daily picks. Andrew believes a math-based approach is the best way to enjoy long-term success in sports betting, and he’s spent the better part of the last year fine-tuning his own process for MLB, NBA, and NFL picks. Andrew uses eight different sportsbooks to find the best odds available and various projection models to gather as much information as he can. His most used sportsbooks are bet365, FanDuel, and theScore Bet. When it comes to daily projection models, he regularly references NumberFire across all sports, as it’s one of the best free tools available. In terms of which daily markets Andrew attacks, he almost exclusively bets on pitcher strikeouts for baseball. When the winter rolls around, you’ll see him providing more variety when it comes to the NBA (points, assists, rebounds) and NFL (almost any offensive-based player prop). He used these tools to go +150 units in 2023. Andrew is also a passionate fantasy sports player. He’s played fantasy football, fantasy Premier League, and fantasy baseball for the last decade. He graduated from Durham College with his diploma in journalism after earning his degree in law from Carleton University. He’s worked in sports media since early 2017, first contributing at FanSided before moving to theScore. He joined SBR in 2022.