Texas Tech vs. Iowa State Prediction, Picks & Odds: Week 10
It’s a shame that Iowa State’s matchup with Texas Tech isn’t a night game, as fans could have enjoyed a better view of the impending fireworks display. Iowa State is a leading contender in the Big 12 championship odds.
Our Texas Tech vs. Iowa State prediction views Rocco Becht and the Cyclones as a poor matchup for Texas Tech’s abysmal pass defense.
The Cyclones (-13.5) host the Red Raiders at Jack Trice Stadium in Ames, IA on Saturday at 3:30 p.m. ET (ESPN).
Best Texas Tech vs. Iowa State picks
College football picks based on the odds from our best college football betting sites. Odds subject to change.
- Against the spread pick: Iowa State -13.5 (-106 odds via FanDuel) vs. Texas Tech ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- My best bet: Rocco Becht Over 254.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State against the spread prediction: Week 10
Iowa State to cover the spread: -13.5 (-106) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State opening odds:
- Texas Tech: +14.5 (-110)
- Iowa State: -14.5 (-110)
Although Texas Tech has lost only three games, two of those defeats have come by a margin greater than this 13.5-point spread.
Unbeaten thus far in Big 12 play, three of Iowa State's four conference wins have been of the 12-plus-point variety. Two of those victories came against opponents ranked higher than Texas Tech in the Football Power Index.
Cyclones create a no-fly zone
Texas Tech’s offense is predicated upon a quality passing attack, as the Red Raiders compile 275.3 passing yards per game (23rd in FBS). But leaning on that aerial attack against the Cyclones could be difficult. Iowa State ranks third in the nation in limiting opposing passing success, allowing just 135.8 passing yards per contest.
Red Raiders QB Behren Morton is expected to start after missing last week’s second half with a shoulder injury. But any limitations against a stout Cyclones secondary could be problematic.
FanDuel’s -106 odds on Iowa State covering -13.5 is favorable compared to the -110 odds at the rest of our best college football betting sites.
Best odds: -106 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 51.49%
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Texas Tech vs. Iowa State best bet
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Rocco Becht Over 254.5 passing yards (-114) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Iowa State QB Rocco Becht has thrown for 265-plus passing yards in three straight conference games. Now he might get his most favorable matchup of the season this week.
Raid Tech through the air
The Red Raiders rank 120th in the FBS in pass defense, allowing 280.0 passing yards per game. That ranking considers only stats accumulated against FBS opponents. But Abilene Christian from the FCS also torched Texas Tech's secondary for over 500 passing yards.
Texas Tech has allowed 274 or more passing yards to every opposing quarterback over its last five games, giving up 289.4 passing yards per outing over that span. How Becht’s line isn’t a dozen yards higher is a mystery.
FanDuel's line on Becht’s passing yardage is 254.5 with -114 odds on Over. That's slightly preferable to the -115 odds on the same line through BetMGM.
Avoid the -120 odds at DraftKings on Over 254.5 passing yards while making your college football Week 10 predictions.
Best odds: -114 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 53.27%
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State odds
See all of this week's college football odds and NCAAF scores.
Texas Tech vs. Iowa State game info
- When: Saturday, Nov. 2
- Kickoff: 3:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: 57 degrees, 30% chance of precipitation, wind 12-mph SE
- Favorite: Iowa State -13.5 (-106 via FanDuel)
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