Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati Prediction: Week 8 Odds, Picks & Best Bet (Oct. 24)
My best Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati prediction centers on No. 8 Texas Tech's run defense shutting down a one-dimensional offense that relies heavily on the run. I also highlight why Cincinnati's poor defensive play should lead to an offensive explosion for the nation's 16th-ranked offense.
Texas Tech is favored by 10.5 ahead of Saturday's noon ET game at Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati. The game will air on FS1 and stream on FOX One.
Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati picks & predictions
See all of our experts' college football picks for Week 8 based on the latest college football odds.
| Pick | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech -10.5 | -110 via DraftKings | 2 units to profit 1.82 units |
| Over 56.5 | -110 via DraftKings | 1 unit to profit 0.91 units |
Picks submitted: Oct. 22 at 2 p.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 3 units | Max profit: +2.73 units
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Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati prediction & best bet
Check out all of our college football predictions for more analysis across this week's slate.
Texas Tech -10.5 (-110 via DraftKings)
Cincinnati's greatest offensive strength is its rushing attack. Led by Cole Tabb and Gi'Bran Payne, Cincinnati is averaging 231.2 rushing yards per game and 5.93 yards per carry. However, Cincinnati has only faced one Big 12 run defense that ranks in the top seven in rushing yards allowed per game, and in that contest, the Bearcats managed just 74 yards on 28 carries.
Not only does Texas Tech lead the Big 12 in rushing yards allowed per game, but it also ranks fifth nationally. The Red Raiders are allowing just 2.86 yards per carry, which ranks 12th nationally, and when they faced Houston's 16th-ranked rushing attack earlier this season, Texas Tech held their Big 12 rivals 45 yards below their season average.
📡 SBR Edge: Red-zone chances
Texas Tech is only allowing 17.7 points per game, and opponents have only managed 14 red-zone opportunities. 21 of Cincinnati's 29 touchdowns have been scored in the red zone this season, so if the Bearcats can't get inside the 20, touchdowns are going to be hard to come by.
Cincinnati's defense stands no chance
Cincinnati is allowing 26.8 points per game, which is the third-most in the Big 12. The defense has allowed at least 34 points in back-to-back games and is allowing an average of 35 points per game to Big 12 opponents.
Texas Tech just scored a season-high 53 last weekend and has now scored at least 28 in every game this season. Although Texas Tech's offense ranks 46th in yards per game, it also averages 37.8 points per contest, ranking 16th nationally. Cincinnati ranks 15th in the Big 12 in total defense and yards allowed per play.
Play to: Texas Tech -13.5
Score prediction: Texas Tech 38, Cincinnati 21
Live Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati odds
See the latest odds movement and more on our Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati page.
Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati opening odds
- Moneyline: Texas Tech -450 | Cincinnati +340
- Spread: Texas Tech -12 (-110) | Cincinnati +12 (-110)
- Over/Under: Over 55.5 (-110) | Under 55.5 (-110)
Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati weather
Weather will have no impact on this game. Winds are expected to gust to just 6 mph, and there is no rain in the forecast.
Latest Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati injuries
- Texas Tech: Cameron Dickey (RB) — OUT (ankle)
- Texas Tech: Donte Lee Jr. (WR) — OUT (knee, season-ending)
- Texas Tech: Peyton Morgan (S) — Questionable
- Cincinnati: Gi'Bran Payne (RB) — Questionable (ankle)
- Cincinnati: DaMari Witherspoon (TE) — OUT
- Cincinnati: CJ Crite (S) — Questionable
How to watch Texas Tech vs. Cincinnati: Week 8
- Date: Saturday, Oct. 24
- Kickoff: Noon ET
- Location: Nippert Stadium (Cincinnati)
- TV/Streaming: FS1/FOX One
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