We comb through the final full college football slate of the regular season for value in the Over/Under markets. Read on for our total picks and predictions.
We went 1-2 last week, as Notre Dame’s 44-0 blowout of Boston College burned us on the Over 45. Let’s look to finish the regular-season college football slate on a high note.
Top Over/Under Bets of College Football Week 13
- Michigan-Ohio State Over 57 (-110 via DraftKings)
- Louisville-Kentucky Under 43.5 (-110 via FanDuel)
- Oklahoma-Texas Tech Under 64 (-110 via DraftKings)
Top Over/Under NCAAF Week 13 Predictions
Michigan-Ohio State Over 57 (-110) ★★★★
Michigan and Ohio State are on opposite ends of the spectrum when it comes to totals this season. Michigan games are 2-8-1 on Overs, while Ohio State contests are 8-3 on Overs. The last three matchups between Ohio State and Michigan have resulted in scoring bonanzas that have cleared the total set for The Game on Saturday in Columbus.
Though this year’s rosters feature two top-10 units in terms of defensive efficiency, we’re also going to see a pair of top-15 offenses on display. Ohio State has the highest scoring average (46.5 points per game) and the top offensive efficiency in the country. The Buckeyes have scored fewer than 30 points in this rivalry game only once over the past decade, which was last year’s 42-27 loss at Michigan.
Only two Ohio State games have fallen below this total all season, and in the battle of two elite units, the Buckeyes’ offense at home can win the day. FanDuel offers the Over at 57.5 with -105 odds. With the 2016 edition of The Game finishing at 30-27, we prefer the standard -110 odds on the line of Over 57 offered by DraftKings.
Louisville-Kentucky Under 43.5 (-110) ★★★★
Kentucky’s defensive display last week against Georgia was the most impressive effort any team has had against the top-ranked Bulldogs this season. The Wildcats allowed just 16 points to Georgia, marking the Bulldogs’ lowest scoring output since the 2021 opener against Clemson.
Kentucky has the highest rate of Unders in FBS this season, with just one game of 11 going Over the total for the Wildcats. Louisville actually has the better defensive efficiency (No. 14) than Kentucky (No. 20) on the season. The Cardinals are narrowly better than Kentucky in offensive efficiency, but both sides fall outside the top 50 in FBS. Louisville has allowed just 19.6 points per game and has seen its games go 4-7 on Overs.
The BetMGM total is set at 43.5 but with extra juice at -115. The FanDuel total is the most favorable spot to bet this Under, with the odds at a standard -110. Avoid the Under at DraftKings, where the total is listed at only 43 points.
Oklahoma-Texas Tech Under 64 (-110) ★★★★
Oklahoma has posted some big scoring outputs this season, but the Sooners have been held in check over the past couple of weeks by some pretty nondescript defenses. Oklahoma has scored just 48 total points over the past two weeks against teams with defensive efficiencies ranked 103rd and 36th in FBS.
Texas Tech boasts a defensive efficiency of No. 33 in FBS. Even in the high-flying Big 12, the Red Raiders have had four of their last five games fall short of this total. Though Texas Tech homes games are 5-1 on Overs, that edge is negated by Oklahoma road games finishing 1-3 on Overs this season.
DraftKings appears to be the best spot to bet the Under, as DK offers the total at 64 with standard -110 odds on the Under. We view that as an improvement relative to the -108 odds on Under 63.5 offered by FanDuel.
Where to Bet on Week 13 Over/Under Picks
Here are our top-rated sportsbooks:
Week 13 Over/Under college football picks made 11/21/2022 at 4:00 p.m. ET.