SEOUL TRAIN - Next stop - ATP Tennis - St. Petersburg Open - 9/17

KidSeoul · 09-17-12, 09:37 AM

Also adding from the ATP Tour Open de Moselle:

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : J. BLAKE 9/17/2012 2:10 PM - (EST)
Spread -1½ -122 for Match
Amount : Risking 122 To Win 100 USD

Blake has been playing well this year. Expect nothing less today!

KidSeoul · 09-17-12, 11:13 AM

Geez, Lopez getting broken way too often!

KidSeoul · 09-17-12, 12:44 PM

Garcia-Lopez prevails showing that experience does out last youth. Good start to the day!

Now Blake gets his match and off to a good start for the week!

jbart28 · 09-17-12, 03:09 PM

Nice work

Sawyer · 09-17-12, 04:19 PM

Nice call man, great call. Everybody was on donskoy.

KidSeoul · 09-17-12, 05:42 PM

Thanks fellas!

Originally posted by Sawyer

Nice call man, great call. Everybody was on donskoy.

Yeah, I was a bit surprised to see that. But it wasn't a pretty match and fortunately my thoughts on experience versus youth played a huge part in the match ultimately.

There are some good matches tomorrow in the Open de Moselle. I will be back shortly with a play!

KidSeoul · 09-17-12, 06:33 PM

So started off the week well today and looking to continue doing so.

Benoit Paire vs Xavier Malisse at the Open De Moselle

I normally like Malisse as a not too heavy favorite. He typically plays hard, consistent and ultimately does well overall in the first few rounds of most tournaments he plays in. As a matter of fact, he's won the first two rounds of matches eight times in the last ten tournaments he's participated in. The Open de Moselle is an indoor hardcourt venue so I looked a little deeper and found that Xavier Malisse has a 26-29 record on indoor hard courts. Benoit Paire has a 7-4 record. Malisse is 110-92 overall on hard courts while Paire is 15-19. I watched Malisse's last outing against John Isner and it was a long, well fought match but Isner took a lot out of him - both mentally and physically. Paire is young, upcoming and certainly plays better on his side of the pond! And being at home to play in front of his countrymen, I think the value is clearly on the youngster.

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : B. PAIRE 9/18/2012 9:00 AM - (EST)
Money Line +122 for Match
Amount : Risking 100 To Win 122 USD

Wish everyone the BOL and see you all in the morning!

Current Record: 2-0 +2.12

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 06:39 AM

Just checked the lines for Malisse vs Paire and s I expected, the line moved in favor of Paire who is now +110 dog, which is still a good value!

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 07:32 AM

I have my second play for Tuesday 9/18:

ATP Open De Moselle
Gael Monfils vs Olivier Rochus

These two have faced each other five times starting way back in 2005 at the Australian Open, where Rochus defeated Monfils. Then the next two encounters, both in 2006, were also won by Rochus. In 2007, at the French Open, Monfils was able to finally beat Rochus. In their most recent meeting in 2010, Monfils again was victorious.

The Open de Moselle is an indoor hard court tournament. The only time these two played on an indoor hard court was the last meeting where Monfils won.

Currently Rochus is ranked #97 in the world and in his past twelve tournaments, he was only able to advance twice to the second round where he was then proceeded to be knocked out both times. In his most recent first round exit, at the US Open, he was knocked out by Julienn Benneteau, another Frenchman, in straight sets. Rochus is 10-21 this year and although he can turn up his game and put together a few good wins, like he did at the Heineken Open earlier this year, he's starting to show a little slow down in his game possibly due to being 31 years old.

Currently Monfils is #69 in the world and has successfully advanced six times out the seven events he's played this year. He holds a 14-7 record this year and is playing at home in France which always spurns on more of an effort.

In the last two meetings between these two, Monfils has won by 6 games and 7 games respectively. Monfils is 2-3 versus Rochus but the tides have clearly turned. I expect Monfils to not only win but cover the spread -3.5 (-103) which is a great value in relation to the money line of -252. But I will still put something on both, so here goes:

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : G. MONFILS 9/18/2012 11:10 AM - (EST)
Money Line -252 for Match
Amount : Risking 252 To Win 100 USD

And to cover the spread, a little extra $ :

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : G. MONFILS 9/18/2012 11:10 AM - (EST)
Spread -3½ -103 for Match
Amount : Risking 150 To Win 145 USD

Finished yesterday 2-0, and like my chances of doing that again today between this play and the Benoit Paire play!
BOL everyone!

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 08:45 AM

UPDATE:

1st Set Complete
Paire 6 - Malisse 1

So far so good!

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 09:18 AM

UPDATE:

Match Complete!
Paire wins in straight sets 6-1 and 6-4 against Malisse.

Now onto Monfils vs Rochus!

Anyone on this match?

PharaohUB · 09-18-12, 09:53 AM

I'm on Monfils -1.5 sets +115.

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 10:04 AM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

I'm on Monfils -1.5 sets +115.

What book are you using that's posting those odds?

Dillonious Monk · 09-18-12, 10:45 AM

Up a set!

Dude's serve is wicked when it's on...it was off a bit his first service game but he got that break back pretty quick and it's looking great now.

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 10:46 AM

UPDATE:

Monfils wins the first set 6-3!

So far, so good!

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 10:48 AM

Originally posted by Dillonious Monk

Up a set!

Dude's serve is wicked when it's on...it was off a bit his first service game but he got that break back pretty quick and it's looking great now.

Yeah! Rochus is having a lot of problems with Monfils second serve too!!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-18-12, 10:59 AM

Nice work. I didn't have the guts to go clownin' today with Monfils. Figured he'd probably try hard here early, but he's difficult enough to read when he has some form to go on ... having months off was tough to gauge.

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 11:09 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Nice work. I didn't have the guts to go clownin' today with Monfils. Figured he'd probably try hard here early, but he's difficult enough to read when he has some form to go on ... having months off was tough to gauge.

Thanks! I understand your reservation which is why I looked at this one extra closely. And I thought Monfils would be rested but he's starting to huff and puff in the middle of the second set. Luckily enough, he's serving well and he's able to capitalize on most of Rochus' mistakes.

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 11:23 AM

UPDATE:

And that's the match! Monfils beats Rochus in straight sets 6-3 and 6-2.

That's another perfect day, 3-0, and a great start to the week!

Current Record: 5-0 +5.79

I should be back later this evening with plays to catch the over night lines!

bane · 09-18-12, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by KidSeoul

UPDATE:

Match Complete!
Paire wins in straight sets 6-1 and 6-4 against Malisse.

Thanks for this. Enjoy tennis and wanted something fun between college football. Tailed you and it worked out.

PharaohUB · 09-18-12, 12:20 PM

Originally posted by KidSeoul

What book are you using that's posting those odds?

Heritagesports. It's great value in certain spots.

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by bane

Thanks for this. Enjoy tennis and wanted something fun between college football. Tailed you and it worked out.

Glad to hear! Plenty of more time between now and college football so stay tuned!

KidSeoul · 09-18-12, 12:57 PM

Originally posted by PharaohUB

Heritagesports. It's great value in certain spots.

Nice! Glad you cashed nicely!!

KidSeoul · 09-19-12, 10:36 AM

WEDNESDAY 9/19/12

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga versus Clement Reix. Not much of a write up here since Tsonga is #8 in the world, 41-17 this year, and 42-12 on indoor hard courts! Clement Reix is not ranked, is 12-19 this year and has played on an indoor hard court once, his last match which he won Roger-Vasselin. I don't see how this match makes it into the 3rd set. I considered Tsonga -4.5 (-157) but that is a hefty price to pay for what really should be Tsonga -5 for a more reasonable price. This also tells me that the score should be something like 6-3, 6-4 Tsonga. The Over/Under is 19.5 with the Under at +102. I think that is a tremendous value considering that Tsonga should win by 5 or more games.

Snatch it up!

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : J. TSONGA/C. REIX 9/19/2012 12:10 PM - (EST)
Total Points UNDER 19½ +102 for Match
Amount : Risking 100 To Win 102 USD
Current Record: 5-0 +5.79

Let's get this! BOL Everyone!!!

MrWD · 09-19-12, 01:06 PM

Nice, Tsonga game ended at 18 pts.

TC Woods · 09-19-12, 01:10 PM

Aeiou1x2 · 09-19-12, 01:21 PM

Obban GangNam Style!!

KidSeoul · 09-19-12, 02:10 PM

Well, it wasn't 6-3, 6-4 as I thought but 6-3, 6-3 is certainly close enough, if not better!

KidSeoul · 09-19-12, 02:12 PM

Originally posted by Aeiou1x2

Obban GangNam Style!!

I can't get that damn song outta my head!! lol. But thanks! Btw, its Oppa Gangnam Style.

MrWD · 09-19-12, 03:38 PM

Originally posted by KidSeoul

I can't get that damn song outta my head!! lol. But thanks! Btw, its Oppa Gangnam Style.

I thought it was "oppan"?

kobee24 · 09-19-12, 05:15 PM

Thanks for the picks KidSeoul, got in on the under also. I like the way you're going slow but efficient. Keep it comin'!!

KidSeoul · 09-19-12, 05:37 PM

Originally posted by kobee24

Thanks for the picks KidSeoul, got in on the under also. I like the way you're going slow but efficient. Keep it comin'!!

Very nice Kobe! Always enjoy when people cash in together!

I will continue to do my best. Slow and steady wins the race!

You should also check out my <a href="http://forum.sbrforum.com/baseball-betting/1905138-seoul-train-next-stop-mlb-baseball-monday-9-17-plays.html">baseball thread. </a> I'm starting to heat up there too!

KidSeoul · 09-20-12, 07:51 AM

THURSDAY 9/20/12

Nikolay Davydenko vs Gilles Muller

This is a great match up between two experienced and gritty professionals. They have faced each other three times prior to today's match. In 2006 and 2007, Davydenko beat Muller in straight sets but at the 2008 US Open, Muller was able to outlast Davydenko and beat him in four sets. Both are strong hard court players. Davydenko is 154-89 on hard courts and Muller is 98-72. Essentially this match is ultimately a coin flip but Muller looked sharper and played much better against Mathieu than Davydenko did against Zverev. I like Muller to pull the series even today and at +100, the play has good value.

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : G. MULLER 9/20/2012 10:10 AM - (EST)
Money Line +100 for Match
Amount : Risking 200 To Win 200 USD

Current Record: 6-0 +6.81

BOL Everyone! Let's get this!!

KidSeoul · 09-20-12, 09:22 AM

ADDED PLAY

Mikhail Youznhy vs Rajeev Ram

This match has been catching my eye for the past 12 hours and I finally am going to act on my intuition. Youznhy is definitely the superior player in this match but Ram always finds a way to hang around and stay in the match till the end. Which is why the spread of +5.5 -127 looked so tempting!

I can imagine it now, Youzhny muttering to himself, just like KGB did in Rounders, "Hanging around, hanging around. Kid's got alligator blood. Can't get rid of him."

Wager Type : Straight Bet

Sport : ATP Tennis
Selection : R. RAM 9/20/2012 11:10 AM - (EST)
Spread +5½ -127 for Match
Amount : Risking 127 To Win 100 USD
BOL everyone!