US Open 2012 Selections

CommonSense · 08-28-12, 02:00 PM

Christina McHale vs Kiki Bertens
Mchale loves to play close matches and Bertens had a good hardcourt season so far. At the French Open, they went 3 sets with Mchale coming out on top. Both retired from their last match so barring any retirement, I expect another close match. 6-4, 4-6, 6-3.

C.Mchale Games Won/K.Bertens Games Won* Over 20.5 (-108) - 1 unit

BOL to all!

CommonSense · 08-30-12, 09:46 AM

Bad start but today is another day.

8/28/12 Results: 1-2 (- 1.51 units)
C.Vandeweghe Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Over 17 (-135) - l
A.Kerber Games Won/A.Keothavong Games Won* Over 17 (-116) - l
C.Mchale Games Won/K.Bertens Games Won* Over 20.5 (-108) - w

P.Andujar Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Over 38 (-128)
I see 5 sets written all over this match: 6-4, 3-6, 7-6, 6-2, 6-4

T.Smyczek Games Won/K.Nishikori Games Won* Over 35 (-110)
Smyczek has won 2 of 3 against Nishikori and this can go 4 sets min. 6-3, 4-6, 7-6, 6-2.

G.Voskoboeva Games Won/A.Hlavackova Games Won* Over 21 -120
Two evenly matched players usually means a 3 setter. 6-4, 6-4, 6-4.

D.Cibulkova Games Won/B.Jovanovski Games Won* Over 19½ -120
I see a 6-4, 6-4 match in this one.

CommonSense · 08-30-12, 11:42 AM

M.Fish Games Won/N.Davydenko Games Won* Over 34½ (-122)
This shouldn't be a sweep and should go at least 4 sets. 6-3, 4-6, 6-4, 7-5.

C.Suarez Navarro Games Won/A.Radwanska Games Won* Under 18 (-135)
Radwanska should take this in straight set: 6-2, 6-3.

M.Martinez Sanchez Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Under 16 (+100)
Serena a bit too powerful for Sanchez: 6-1, 6-2.

CommonSense · 08-30-12, 01:28 PM

J.Konta Games Won/O.Govortsova Games Won Over 20 (-110)
I see a tight match between the two and could even go 3 sets: 7-5, 6-4.

A.Ramos Games Won/F.Verdasco Games Won* Over 34½ (-145)
This could be a classic Verdasco 5 setter: 6-4, 5-7, 4-6, 6-4, 6-3.

CommonSense · 08-30-12, 05:00 PM

V.Dushevina Games Won/S.Errani Games Won Over 18½ (-120)
This could be a close match: 6-4, 6-3.

CommonSense · 08-30-12, 07:08 PM

A.Kerber Games Won/V.Williams Games Won* Over 21½ (-125)
Looking forward to a tight close match: 7-5, 6-4.

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 09:42 AM

8/30/12 Results: 7-4 (+2.35 units)
P.Andujar Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Over 38 (-128) - w
T.Smyczek Games Won/K.Nishikori Games Won* Over 35 (-110) - l
G.Voskoboeva Games Won/A.Hlavackova Games Won* Over 21 -120 - w
D.Cibulkova Games Won/B.Jovanovski Games Won* Over 19½ -120 - w
M.Fish Games Won/N.Davydenko Games Won* Over 34½ (-122) - w
C.Suarez Navarro Games Won/A.Radwanska Games Won* Under 18 (-135) - l
M.Martinez Sanchez Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Under 16 (+100) - l
J.Konta Games Won/O.Govortsova Games Won Over 20 (-110) - w
A.Ramos Games Won/F.Verdasco Games Won* Over 34½ (-145) - w
V.Dushevina Games Won/S.Errani Games Won Over 18½ (-120) - l
A.Kerber Games Won/V.Williams Games Won* Over 21½ (-125) - w

YTD: 8-6 (+.84 units)

8/31/20
I.Sijsling Games Won/D.Ferrer Games Won Under 29½ (-140)
Ferrer should win this in straight sets: 6-3, 6-2, 6-4

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 09:50 AM

N.Li Games Won/L.Robson Games Won* Under 19½ (-120)
Robson should have a letdown after beating Clijsters. I look for Li to win 6-3, 6-4.

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 10:26 AM

P.Parmentier Games Won* +7 (-114) vs P.Kvitova Games Won
I look for Parmentier to keep this semi-close: 6-3, 6-3.

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 01:16 PM

N.Petrova Games Won/L.Safarova Games Won* Over 21½ (-130)
This match can be extremely close and may even go 3 sets: 7-5, 6-4.

D.Novikov Games Won* +9 (-114) vs J.Benneteau Games Won
If Novikov can serve like his last match, he'll sneak in under the number or even win a set: 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, 6-2.

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 01:54 PM

M.Sharapova Games Won/M.Burdette Games Won* Under 16½ +105
Maria should overpower Burdette: 6-1, 6-2

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 04:38 PM

P.Kohlschreiber Games Won/B.Paire Games Won* Over 39 (+105)
This looks like another 5 setter or at least a couple of tiebreakers in there: 7-6, 4-6, 6-3, 7-6

CommonSense · 08-31-12, 10:43 PM

8/31/20 Results: 5-2 (+2.4 units)
I.Sijsling Games Won/D.Ferrer Games Won Under 29½ (-140) - l
N.Li Games Won/L.Robson Games Won* Under 19½ (-120) - l
P.Parmentier Games Won* +7 (-114) vs P.Kvitova Games Won - w
N.Petrova Games Won/L.Safarova Games Won* Over 21½ (-130) - w
D.Novikov Games Won* +9 (-114) vs J.Benneteau Games Won - w
M.Sharapova Games Won/M.Burdette Games Won* Under 16½ (+105) - w
P.Kohlschreiber Games Won/B.Paire Games Won* Over 39 (+105) - w

YTD: 13-8 (+3.24 units)

A side note. I got the Ferrer match in last night at under 30.5 but I posted the updated line from today and what a difference one game can make.

Till tomorrow.

terpkeg · 08-31-12, 11:37 PM

Nice work.

CommonSense · 09-01-12, 09:48 AM

09/01/12
N.Almagro Games Won/J.Sock Games Won* Over 38 (-135)
Sock continues his run and this could go 4 sets: 6-4, 6-7, 6-3, 6-4

D.Cibulkova Games Won/R.Vinci Games Won* Over 21 (-115)
I see a close match and could go 3 sets: 7-5, 6-4

J.Jankovic Games Won/A.Radwanska Games Won* Over 21 (-110)
Last 2 matches have gone 3 sets and this could be no different: 6-3, 4-6, 6-3

CommonSense · 09-01-12, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by terpkeg

Nice work.

Thanks, BOL to you today!

CommonSense · 09-01-12, 11:05 AM

A.Murray Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Under 30 (-114)
Look for Murray to finish off Lopez in straight sets: 6-3, 6-4, 6-3

E.Makarova Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Under 17½ (+100)
Serena should be fired up to avenge her Australian Open loss to Makarova: 6-2, 6-3

CommonSense · 09-02-12, 05:00 AM

09/01/12 Results: 2-2-1 (-.29 units)
N.Almagro Games Won/J.Sock Games Won* Over 38 (-135) - w
D.Cibulkova Games Won/R.Vinci Games Won* Over 21 (-115) - l
J.Jankovic Games Won/A.Radwanska Games Won* Over 21 (-110) - p
A.Murray Games Won/F.Lopez Games Won* Under 30 (-114) - l
E.Makarova Games Won/S.Williams Games Won* Under 17½ (+100) - w

If Jankovic or Cibulkova held their serve to win the 2nd set, I would've had a winning day.

YTD: 15-10: 60% (+2.95 units)

Hewitt can still play and I think Ferrer drops his first set here: 6-4, 4-6, 6-3, 6-3:
L.Hewitt Games Won* +7 (+105) vs D.Ferrer Games Won

Djokovic finally gets a worthy opponent and Benneteau can keep it close: 6-3, 6-4, 6-2:
J.Benneteau Games Won* +9½ (+103) vs N.Djokovic Games Won

Mayer has good ball striking ability and giving him 8 games may be too much: 6-4, 6-3, 6-4:
L.Mayer Games Won* +8 (-105) vs J.M.del Potro Games Won

CommonSense · 09-02-12, 08:58 AM

Gasquet should handle Johnson in straight sets: 7-5, 6-3, 6-4.
R.Gasquet Games Won/S.Johnson Games Won* Under 33½ -110

CommonSense · 09-02-12, 12:04 PM

Roddick will play another day: 6-3, 6-4, 6-3
A.Roddick Games Won/F.Fognini Games Won* Under 34½ (-120)

Robson continues her good play and could surprise Stosur here: 7-5, 4-6, 6-4
L.Robson Games Won/S.Stosur Games Won* Over 21 (-120)

CommonSense · 09-02-12, 05:13 PM

Azarenka shouldn't have any problems with Tatishvili: 6-2, 6-2:
V.Azarenka Games Won/A.Tatishvili Games Won Under 16½ (-125)

CommonSense · 09-02-12, 07:50 PM

In Isner matches against good opponents, I have to take the games: 7-6, 7-6, 7-6:
P.Kohlschreiber Games Won* +4 (-112) vs J.Isner Games Won

CommonSense · 09-03-12, 09:58 AM


					9/2/12 Results: 4-4 (-.48 units) L.Hewitt Games Won* +7 (+105) vs D.Ferrer Games Won - l J.Benneteau Games Won* +9½ (+103) vs N.Djokovic Games Won - l L.Mayer Games Won* +8 (-105) vs J.M.del Potro Games Won - w R.Gasquet Games Won/S.Johnson Games Won* Under 33½ -110 - w A.Roddick Games Won/F.Fognini Games Won* Under 34½ (-120) - l L.Robson Games Won/S.Stosur Games Won* Over 21 (-120) - l V.Azarenka Games Won/A.Tatishvili Games Won Under 16½ (-125) - w P.Kohlschreiber Games Won* +4 (-112) vs J.Isner Games Won - w YTD: 19-14: 58% (+2.47 units) 9/3/12 7-team parlay: $100 to win $220.37: Virginia Tech -320* vs Georgia Tech Roger Federer -1610* vs Mardy Fish B.Bryan/M.Bryan -625* vs S.Gonzalez/S.Lipsky Serena Williams -3500* vs Andrea Hlavackova Angelique Kerber -435* vs Sara Errani Agnieszka Radwanska -270* vs Roberta Vinci S.Williams/V.Williams -700* vs M.Kirilenko/N.Petrova This looks like a tight match: 7-5, 6-4: Pironkova Games Won/A.Ivanovic Games Won Over 20 -115* 2 good players = tight 4 or 5 setter: 6-4, 5-7, 6-4, 4-6: N.Almagro Games Won/T.Berdych Games Won Over 41 -110*

CommonSense · 09-03-12, 11:16 AM

Hlavackova has a really good game and could get 5 games off Serena: 6-3, 6-2:
A.Hlavackova Games Won* +7½ (-135) vs S.Williams Games Won

Roger hasn't dropped a set and it should continue against Fish: 6-4, 7-6, 6-4.
R.Federer Games Won/M.Fish Games Won u33½ (-115)*

This looks like a 4 or 5 setter: 7-6, 5-7, 6-4, 4-6, 6-4:
M.Cilic Games Won/M.Klizan Games Won o39½ (-115)*

CommonSense · 09-07-12, 12:29 PM

Had a lousy labor day. Let's see if I can rebound:

9/3/12 Results: 0-5 (-5.75 units)
7-team parlay: $100 to win $220.37 - l
Pironkova Games Won/A.Ivanovic Games Won Over 20 -115* - l
N.Almagro Games Won/T.Berdych Games Won Over 41 -110* - l
A.Hlavackova Games Won* +7½ (-135) vs S.Williams Games Won - l
R.Federer Games Won/M.Fish Games Won u33½ (-115)* - canceled
M.Cilic Games Won/M.Klizan Games Won o39½ (-115)* - l

YTD: 19-19: 50% (-3.28 units)

9/7/12
On hardcourts, Azarenka has beaten Sharapova in 2 sets 4 straight times. I think it will be a 5th straight time: 6-3, 6-3
Victoria Azarenka* (-225) vs Maria Sharapova

Unless Errani plays the game of her life, Serena should over power her: 6-2, 6-2
S.Williams Games Won/S.Errani Games Won* Under 17 (-120)

CommonSense · 09-08-12, 11:07 AM

9/7/12 Results: 2-0 (+2 units)
Victoria Azarenka* (-225) vs Maria Sharapova - w
S.Williams Games Won/S.Errani Games Won* Under 17 (-120) - w

YTD: 21-19: (-1.28 units)

9/8/12
I think this only goes 4 sets: 6-3, 4-6, 6-3, 6-4
T.Berdych Games Won/A.Murray Games Won u41½ (+120)*

CommonSense · 09-08-12, 02:06 PM

Djokovic is just too good: 6-4, 6-4, 6-4
N.Djokovic Wins 3-0 (-165) for Game