ATP Citi: Hidalgo +590 and +5.5

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30064

    #1
    ATP Citi: Hidalgo +590 and +5.5
    There is no way Dolgopolov should be a -800 favorite
    tonight vs. Hidalgo. Look at them rake in the juice, with
    Hidalgo paying +590.
    I put $100 on Hidalgo +590 and $125 on Hidalgo +5.5 (-125).

    Hidalgo just beat Ebden in the last match. No small feat !!!
    And, it was in convincing 6-3,6-2 fashion. People are only
    looking at the large string of consecutive losses on the Hidalgo
    sheet without considering that his recent form must be improving
    if he can trounce Ebden, who has done a heck of a lot of Hard court
    touring recently. Also, if you look at his losses he almost always
    takes a Set or pushes to a tiebreaker. He took Mardy Fish to a
    3rd Set tiebreaker in Wimbledon.
    Also, people are not considering that Dolgopolov has been losing
    most of his matches also. He only beat Cipolla in the last match.
    That is meaningless because just about anyone beats Cipolla if
    they are ATP players, not Challenger players.
    In early 2011, these two faced each other on Clay and Dolgo won,
    but it was a close 7-5,6-4.
    Sometimes you have to go for the dogs and lay winnings on them
    if you want to push the envelope.
  • mdfizzle
    SBR Sharp
    • 10-19-10
    • 392

    #2
    Saw this earlier and was intrigued as well. I'll back this too.
    Comment
    • ParlayininHTown
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-27-10
      • 7561

      #3
      If Dolgo loses, he tanked. Plain and simple.

      I'm not conspiracy theory guy. I don't think matches are rigged for the most part, but I know enough about RRH to say that there is no F'ing way that he legitimately beats Dolgo tonight. I have watched RRH ... even recently. He is old and worn down, and he rarely plays hard-court matches. The ML bet is a waste of money, but I admire the bold move. Who knows? Maybe Dolgo will get paid enough to make tanking this match worth his while.

      I don't know what's more of a joke ... RRH winning back-to-back ATP World-Tour level matches on hard court (which he hasn't done since I was in college), or Dolgo being such a huge favorite.

      This match has crap written all over it.
      Comment
      • JNic
        SBR MVP
        • 01-03-10
        • 4272

        #4
        Well Dolgo was absolutely destroying the ball against Cipolla, like absolutely teeing off on second serves and I don't think that wil change against RRH
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30064

          #5
          +600/-900
          i'm definitely in the minority on this one.
          Comment
          • mdfizzle
            SBR Sharp
            • 10-19-10
            • 392

            #6
            Still pulling the trigger on this?
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30064

              #7
              Originally posted by mdfizzle
              Still pulling the trigger on this?
              i did earlier.
              the play is a longshot, i like it for reasons stated
              but it's truly a tail at your own risk play.
              Comment
              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30064

                #8
                line is up to +740 now.

                but it's still only +5.5 and that's juiced -130
                Comment
                • The Bet Master
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-29-10
                  • 2665

                  #9
                  Yeah I wish it went to +6
                  Comment
                  • The Bet Master
                    SBR MVP
                    • 09-29-10
                    • 2665

                    #10
                    +865 now
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Dolgo might be on one of his hot streaks. RRH had no chance.
                      Comment
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