Atlanta Parlay:[+191] Muller (-130) / Ebden-Harrison (-155)

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30076

    #1
    Atlanta Parlay:[+191] Muller (-130) / Ebden-Harrison (-155)
    Even though Muller advanced, he was losing to Fish, and it
    was a freak accident that brought him here. Still, he was
    keeping things close. 4-6,2-3. There is no important
    H2H here, a Muller over Ebden @ Nottingham (grass) last season
    is all.
    Both players have played their last 2 on Hard @ Atlanta, with their
    directly previous on grass. Muller lost to van der Merwe at Newport,
    Ebden lost to Raonic. Muller lost to Paire at Wimble, Ebden lost
    to Benneteau.
    Atlanta matches thus far:
    Ebden over Blake: 6-7(6), 6-4,6-4
    Ebden over Bubka: 5-7,6-1,6-1
    Muller over Fish: 4-6,2-3 (ret)
    Muller over Matosevic: 7-6(5), 6-4

    Ebden rank 82, Muller rank 63.
    Ebden no inj. since 2010, Muller no inj. since 2011.


    - Muller has faced the stiffer competition in this tournament.
    - Muller played tight vs Fish, forced him to put great effort into the match.
    - He beat Matosevic who ranks 40 & 60 slots higher than Ebden's competition.
    - Ebden is ranked higher in Doubles than Singles.
    - Ebden won Atlanta Doubles last year with Bogo.
    - Muller was paired with Bogo this 2012 Atlanta tournament
    and they lost to Fleming/Hutchins (no shame there, Fleming-Hutchins
    always play together and Doubles is their career)
    - Ebden is defending the Atlanta 2011 Doubles title with Ryan Harrison.
    They won 2011 Newport Doubles title together. Earlier this season,
    Ebden/Harrison reached the 1/4 Finals in the French Open.
    - Ebden/Harrison are playing today, so Ebden's 100% focus "may"
    not be on the Singles match vs. Muller, as he is defending Doubles title.
    - Ebden/Harrison have played many matches as a Doubles pair.
    They are (-155) favorites over Anderson/de Voest whom have only
    played two matches together. Ebden/Harrison just beat Huey/Inglot
    last match. That is a lot more convincing than Anderson/de Voest's win over
    Lorenzi/Ram. Lorenzi/Ram were in their first pairing ever and Lorenzi
    ranks 402 in Doubles.

    $200 to win $382
  • Dmoneytx
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-09-12
    • 6450

    #2
    I was really looking at Muller today, bec I was thinking the same thing about Ebden doubles match with Harrison. Muller has the huge serve anyways, if he gets clicking he will be tough to beat today. That was a good write up! Great job Snowball.
    Comment
    • Demonata
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 07-12-11
      • 26578

      #3
      Originally posted by Dmoneytx
      I was really looking at Muller today, bec I was thinking the same thing about Ebden doubles match with Harrison. Muller has the huge serve anyways, if he gets clicking he will be tough to beat today. That was a good write up! Great job Snowball.
      I almost want to parlay muller with whoever is playing donald young in doubles today. lol
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30076

        #4
        if Muller wins, chances of this winning go up a lot.
        the first game is the hump.
        Good to see you are thinking alike DMoney.
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30076

          #5
          Muller vs. Ebden is a 1:00 match
          although I have no idea if it's going off as scheduled.
          Comment
          • Hangoverblack
            SBR MVP
            • 01-27-12
            • 1900

            #6
            All right I'm tailing on Muller. Thanks for write up.
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30076

              #7
              Originally posted by Hangoverblack
              All right I'm tailing on Muller. Thanks for write up.
              most of us never tail blind, the bet has to make sense to the one
              who lays the $ on it.
              Comment
              • Hangoverblack
                SBR MVP
                • 01-27-12
                • 1900

                #8
                Gotcha. Better stated as:

                Thank you for the great write up, and the time you put in sharing all that objective data with the forum.

                I liked Muller as well; however I was very reticent to make the play because of the -150 chalk. In tennis, I have found those slight favorites, when they have a higher ATP rank then their opponent, are frequent targets for the bookmakers looking to trap action seekers.

                The discussion helped me pull the trigger on Muller ML for sure.

                G/L !
                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30076

                  #9
                  where was Muller -150 ? He was still -130 @ 5D to tip off
                  or whatever they call it in tennis.
                  Comment
                  • Hangoverblack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-27-12
                    • 1900

                    #10
                    Local book's offshore PPH.
                    Comment
                    • Snowball
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 11-15-09
                      • 30076

                      #11
                      yeah those are the best for no bs payouts, hangover.
                      but often their lines are juiced.
                      Comment
                      • Snowball
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 11-15-09
                        • 30076

                        #12
                        Ebden-Harrison up to -180 now.
                        Comment
                        • Snowball
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 11-15-09
                          • 30076

                          #13
                          Harrison is playing like crap
                          c'mon turn this around
                          they are running 8% on 1st Return points won
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30076

                            #14
                            chicken dinner
                            Comment
                            • Snowball
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 11-15-09
                              • 30076

                              #15
                              i'm so glad i won this. you don't want to know what kind of swing it
                              meant in my account. now i can relax and play smaller for a while.
                              it's a frikkin battlezone.
                              Comment
                              • Hangoverblack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-27-12
                                • 1900

                                #16
                                Great win Snowball! Well deserved.

                                Go small on three home MLB teams tonight:
                                KC, Mets, As.
                                Comment
                                • Lakey
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 05-06-12
                                  • 430

                                  #17
                                  Great call Snowball.
                                  Comment
                                  • BrianLaverty
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-02-07
                                    • 2183

                                    #18
                                    Nice call snowball.... Muller's serve was lights out.
                                    Comment
                                    • Snowball
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 11-15-09
                                      • 30076

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by BrianLaverty
                                      Nice call snowball.... Muller's serve was lights out.
                                      thanks.
                                      Comment
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