Late Line Movement on Tipsarevic Match

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  • PharaohUB
    SBR MVP
    • 01-23-07
    • 4866

    #1
    Late Line Movement on Tipsarevic Match
    I was on Heritage and about 10 minutes before the match Fischer was +500. 5 min later match dropped to +385. Threw $40 on it when I saw the movement. Not over yet, but looking pretty good. I should only make tennis plays based on late line movement. I think I'd come out ahead.
  • PharaohUB
    SBR MVP
    • 01-23-07
    • 4866

    #2
    so much for that. he was just broke back and will probably lose now. guess tipsy does want to win today oh well.
    Comment
    • beefcake
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-26-09
      • 14029

      #3
      Be very careful with first matches after guys just won tourneys.Saw this one coming 100 miles away that tippy would not be top notch here.Actually put a few bucks on Fischer at +800 but sure enough the stiff cant serve it out.Thats why he is Martin Fischer!!
      Comment
      • PharaohUB
        SBR MVP
        • 01-23-07
        • 4866

        #4
        0-30 sees three straight 2nd serves. can't win one of the three points to get a break chance.
        Comment
        • PharaohUB
          SBR MVP
          • 01-23-07
          • 4866

          #5
          match point chance i should say
          Comment
          • PharaohUB
            SBR MVP
            • 01-23-07
            • 4866

            #6
            This guy doesn't have a snowballs chance in hell at taking the third set. Wish I had a betfair account. 1.33 on tipsy for live betting.
            Comment
            • ParlayininHTown
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 06-27-10
              • 7561

              #7
              Fischer gave Tipsy all he could handle ... just made key mistakes and wasn't good enough to win today.
              Comment
              • PharaohUB
                SBR MVP
                • 01-23-07
                • 4866

                #8
                Him not serving it out really cost me. I rolled the $40 bet into the Mets ML. Would have paid off over $300 when all was said and done if he could have held one service game. Oh welL!
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #9
                  Late line movement is no more accurate than line movement period in tennis. Anyone who thinks they know what line movement means in tennis is insane. Sometimes there may be a valid reason for the movement and it may reflect the eventual outcome. More often than not, it means shit.
                  Comment
                  • PharaohUB
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-23-07
                    • 4866

                    #10
                    Add Blake to the list of people who couldn't serve out a set who have cost me money. Kuznetsov, Coco, Fischer and the list goes on in the last couple of days. That's what I get for betting on shit players.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      Here is another example bro. Maybe the line move was "sharp" or what have you, but at the end of the day it didn't pan out to be a winner. Again my own belief that line movement means shit in tennis. Might save you or help you, but I think more often following the line move will piss you off.
                      Comment
                      • PharaohUB
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-23-07
                        • 4866

                        #12
                        Not the best example. +500 dog serving for the match I'll take any day of the week. But I get your point.
                        Comment
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